NFL futures betting: NFL MVP best bets
We pick out three best bets for NFL Most Valuable Player ahead of the 2022 season.
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Justin Herbert | QB | Los Angeles Chargers (+1400)
When it comes to betting on NFL MVP, the formula is simple: stick with the quarterbacks of teams that will stack up plenty of wins.
It’s no surprise that the top contenders in the market are the signal callers for some of the league’s best offenses. Of those, Herbert looks the most enticing bet at +1400.
The Chargers quarterback ranked second in the NFL in passing yards, attempts and completions last season – behind Tom Brady in all three categories – and led his team to a 9-8 record, missing the playoffs by a single game.
After being selected sixth overall in the 2020 NFL Draft, Herbert broke the record for passing touchdowns as a rookie and then took a major step forward last season. He’s already one of the best passers in the league, and, at just 24 years of age, has plenty of scope for further improvement in 2022.
At +1400 odds, the Chargers are a popular Super Bowl pick this season and now look to have a defense that can support an offense packed with weapons. Should they win the AFC West, Herbert will have a huge shot at MVP.
Lamar Jackson | QB | Baltimore Ravens (+600)
Jackson was named NFL MVP in 2019, becoming just the second player ever to win the vote unanimously after leading the league in touchdown passes and breaking the record for rushing yards by a quarterback.
That was just three seasons ago, and although things haven’t gone perfectly for Jackson since then, there’s a real chance he returns to that level of production in 2022.
Although the Ravens went 8-9 last season and missed the playoffs for the first time since they drafted Jackson in 2018, it’s worth noting the incredible amount of misfortune they suffered in 2021.
They lost JK Dobbins, Gus Edwards, LJ Fort and Marcus Peters to season-ending injuries before the regular season even started, and yet were 8-3 and in strong playoff contention come the end of Week 12. They then lost six straight – with Jackson missing the final four games through injury – and ended the season with a league-high 19 players on IR.
Jackson was on track for over 1,000 rushing yards and a career high in passing yards before injury struck last season, and he’s now in a contract year, with plenty of motivation to earn a monster extension.
With just a little more luck this season, the Ravens should be in a straight shootout with the Cincinnati Bengals for top spot in the AFC North. If they can win that battle, Jackson will receive plenty of credit from the MVP voters.
Trey Lance | QB | San Francisco 49ers (+5000)
Lance has been a hot property in fantasy football since he was named the 49ers’ starter during the offseason, and his MVP odds have gradually shortened as the hype has built over the summer.
At +2500, the dual-threat quarterback is still worth a bet.
In 2021, Lance appeared in six games – with two starts – and threw for 603 yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions, adding 168 yards and another touchdown on the ground.
The 49ers reached the NFC Championship game with Jimmy Garoppolo at quarterback, and look poised to go deep into the playoffs again this year with a roster that is stacked with talent on both sides of the ball.
Lance will have Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, Brandon Aiyuk and Elijah Mitchell among his array of offensive weapons. His passing ability remains in question, but there were similar concerns around Lamar Jackson ahead of the 2019 season, which he entered as a 66-1 longshot for MVP and ended as the unanimous winner.
That’s Lance’s ceiling this year. He has the tools to put up huge numbers for a team that should win enough games to get him into MVP contention.
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