Jannik Sinner, who has been winning the respect and hearts of tennis fans around the world, will compete in his first Grand Slam event final against Daniil Medvedev at the Australian Open on Sunday.

Sinner, a 22-year-old from Italy, has been ranked No. 4 in the world since October 2023. It is his highest placement so far as a pro, and winning a Grand Slam event would certainly support his continued pursuit of the world’s No. 1 ranking.

Sinner’s opponent on Sunday, Daniil Medvedev, made the Australian Open final despite being down two sets against Sascha Zverev in Friday’s semifinal round. The remarkable comeback was another reminder that Medvedev is extremely dangerous when opponents fail to dispatch him in straight sets. Indeed, he has proven himself to be one of the world’s best five-set players.

Medvedev, who fought back against Zverev by winning three straight sets, has reached his third Australian Open final in the past four years. The 2021 U.S. Open champion has been hunting for a second Grand Slam event title ever since, and the Australian Open would appear to offer his best opportunity to get it.

Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev Odds, Moneyline, and Spread – Australian Open Betting Men’s Odds 1/28

Match Winner: Sinner -300, Medvedev +230
1st Set Winner: Sinner -223, Medvedev +150
2nd Set Winner: Sinner -225, Medvedev +150
Total Games:
(36.5) Over (-143), Under (+105)
(37.5) Over (-125), Under (-112)
(38.5) Over (-112), Under (-125)
(39.5) Over (+100), Under (-138)

Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev Preview

Jannik Sinner’s semifinal-round performance against world No. 1 Novak Djokovic was one of the best matches I have seen anyone play against the Serbian in a very long time. Djokovic is not accustomed to losing at the Australian Open, having won titles each of the last four times he entered it. However, Sinner, who prevailed 6-1, 6-2, 6-7 (8-6), 6-3, was a tiebreaker point away from beating Djokovic in straight sets -- a feat nobody has accomplished at the Australian Open since 2018.

Sinner was better, more athletic, and more dangerous throughout the match, and Djokovic had to work hard just to keep the points going. The Italian was dominant from the baseline, surrendering only three total games through the first two sets. Things could have gone sideways for him after Djokovic claimed the third-set tiebreaker, but Sinner responded valiantly in the fourth set to claim his spot in the Australian Open final.

The young star has been very impressive at this year’s tournament. He doesn’t make a sound on the court, doesn’t speak to his trainer, and doesn’t gesture to the crowd. Instead, he just goes about his business. Sinner’s tennis does the talking, and it has a lot to say.

Sinner’s championship-match opponent, Daniil Medvedev, snatched victory from the jaws of defeat in the semifinals against Sascha Zverev and is now one win away from his second Grand Slam event title. Medvedev’s performance against Zverev was stunning -- considering the high stakes he found himself in – and he fought back relentlessly over the final three sets.

At one point in this year's Australian Open it looked as though the 27-year-old Russian, ranked No. 3 in the world, was destined for an early exit. As he has done on multiple occasions in the past, Medvedev could be heard loudly arguing with his coach, Gilles Cervara, while struggling in the early stages of his second-round match against Finland’s Emil Ruusuvuori.

Medvedev also fell behind by two sets in that match, and he almost lost it in a tense, fourth-set tiebreaker. Ultimately, the five-set magician prevailed. He went on to replay that performance against Zverev in the semifinal round.

One might argue that a slow start could be devastating for Medvedev against Sinner on Sunday, but the world’s No. 3 player seems eerily comfortable playing from behind. He is never out of a match until it's truly over. That can be dangerous for his opponents, as Zverev learned the hard way.

In any event, with Djokovic out, we will have a first-time Australian Open champion for the first time since Switzerland’s Stan Wawrinka won it in 2014. Since then, the event’s only winners have been Roger Federer, Djokovic, and Rafael Nadal.

Will it be Italy’s Sinner winning his very first Grand Slam event, or will it be Daniil Medvedev claiming his second?

Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev Predictions and Pick

This is, of course, a tough one to predict. On one side, there is the calm and composed Jannik Sinner, who frankly just slaughtered Novak Djokovic -- almost getting the job done in straight sets. He never flinched in that match, and he dominated.

On the other hand, there is Russia’s Daniil Medvedev, who always refuses to lay down. Those watching this tournament so far might have already written him off on multiple occasions. Medvedev’s latest victim, Sascha Zverev, was coming off a brilliant performance in hist quarterfinal victory over Carlos Alcaraz. Zverev might not be Djokovic, but he is no slouch either, and he had a two-set lead over Medvedev with one foot seemingly in the final. Still, even that wasn’t enough.

I don’t doubt that this final between Sinner and Medvedev will be a long match or that we will see some incredible tennis from two of the game’s best competitors. If it weren’t for Djokovic’s outrageous dominance of the men’s game in recent years, Medvedev would have already won multiple Grand Slams events. Sinner, meanwhile, is clearly a star on the rise.

I have Sinner winning this one, but if it goes to five sets -- which I suspect it will -- it’s going to be very tight. In the head-to-head history between the two, Medvedev began by beating Sinner six times in a row, but Sinner has won the last three matches.

The only caveat here is that none of Sinner’s previous three wins came in best-of-5 matchups, which is where Medvedev can be most dangerous. I’ll take Sinner to win this one in a very close contest.

The Pick: Jannik Sinner to win (-300)

While Jannik Sinner might be my slight favorite to win, seeing this match go five sets wouldn’t surprise me in the least. As mentioned already, Daniil Medvedev has made it increasingly difficult for opponents to send him home once matches get into the late stages, and that often leads to a fifth-set showdown.

Sinner will want this match to be over within four sets, and it could well be, but given Medvedev’s track record of late comebacks, I think betting the over on 4.5 sets offers great value.

The Pick: Over 4.5 Sets (+230)

Odds are subject to change*

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