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UFC 291 Fight Card: Schedule, Predictions, Odds & Best Bets

The main event at UFC 291 will be an eagerly anticipated lightweight bout between Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje. Both highly ranked fighters will be vying for a potential title shot against the current champ, Islam Makhachev. A victory on Saturday night would undoubtedly strengthen each fighter’s case for a shot at Makhachev.

The July 29 UFC fight card showcases a lineup of highly experienced MMA fighters and big names, including a bout between light heavyweight Jan Blachowicz and Alex Pereira, as well as welterweight matchups in Stephen Thompson vs. Michel Pereira and Michael Chiesa vs. Kevin Holland.

Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje – Men’s Lightweight Main Event Fight Info:

UFC Fight Schedule 2023
Dustin Poirier (29-7-0) vs Justin Gaethje (25-4-0)
Date: Saturday, July 29, 2023
Time: Main Card @ 10 PM EST
Venue: Delta Center — Salt Lake City, Utah
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass

Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje Odds, Moneyline, Over/Under – UFC Fight Odds 7/29

Moneyline: Dustin Poirier -150, Justin Gaethje +120
Total Rounds:
-1.5 (1.5): Over 1.5 -250, Under 1.5 +180
-2.5 (2.5): Over 2.5 -130, Under 2.5 +100
-3.5 (3.5): Over 3.5 +125, Under 3.5 -160
-4.5 (4.5): Over 4.5 +160, Under 4.5 -215
Method of Victory:
Dustin Poirier KO, TKO or Disqualification +175
Dustin Poirier Decision or Technical Decision +350
Dustin Poirier By Submission +650
Justin Gaethje KO, TKO or Disqualification +225
Justin Gaethje Decision or Technical Decision +550
Justin Gaethje By Submission +2000
Draw or Technical Draw +5000 

Dustin Poirier vs Justin Gaethje Prediction and Pick

Without a doubt, this fight promises to be an all-out brawl. It features two of the toughest fighters returning to the octagon for a highly anticipated rematch of the intense and thrilling showdown that was their previous encounter.
Five years ago, when they met for the first time, it was Dustin Poirier on the front foot -- throwing combinations at Gaethje as he stood in close proximity and took damage. 

Gaethje focused in on Poirier’s lead leg and did a fair amount of damage of his own, with Poirier refusing to switch stances despite moving gingerly on that front foot.

Both men rocked each other as the second and third rounds began, but it was Poirier who emerged the winner in the fourth when he wobbled Gaethje with a powerful left-hand counterpunch. 

In this rematch, both fighters return with increased experience and higher stakes. They are now ranked Nos. 3 (Poirier) and 4 (Gaethje), higher numbers than in their previous encounter when Poirier was ranked fifth and Gaethje sixth.

Both men are 6-2 since they last met, and both have been in (and lost) title fights against Khabib and Charles Oliveira during that same period. 

It will be intriguing to see whether Poirier chooses to engage in striking exchanges with Gaethje again or if he leans towards showcasing his ground game as a more complete fighter this time around.

Personally, I like the fight to end in the same way it did the first time. I’m going for Poirier by KO/TKO in my UFC picks for July 29, anticipating another exhilarating showdown between these two warriors.

The Pick: Dustin Poirier to win by KO/TKO (+175)

While I think Poirier will win it, there’s no doubt that both fighters can withstand a serious amount of damage and battle into the later stages of their bouts. Taking that into consideration, I see this one going at least four rounds -- just as it did before. 

The Pick: Over 3.5 Rounds (+125)

Jan Blachowicz vs Alex Pereira – Men's Bantamweight Co-Main Event Fight Info:

UFC Fight Schedule 2023
Jan Blachowicz (29-9-1) vs Alex Pereira (7-2-0)
Date: Saturday, July. 29, 2023
Time: Main Card @ 10 PM EST
Venue: Delta Center — Salt Lake City, Utah
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass 

Jan Blachowicz vs. Alex Pereira Odds, Moneyline, Over/Under – UFC Fight Odds 7/29

Moneyline: Jan Blachowicz -120, Alex Pereira +100
Total Rounds:
-1.5 (1.5): Over 1.5 -145, Under 1.5 +115
-2.5 (2.5): Over 2.5 +150, Under 2.5 -188
Method of Victory:
Jan Blachowicz KO, TKO or Disqualification +250
Jan Blachowicz Decision or Technical Decision +350
Jan Blachowicz By Submission +500
Alex Pereira KO, TKO or Disqualification +165
Alex Pereira Decision or Technical Decision +650
Alex Pereira By Submission +1800
Draw or Technical Draw +5000

Jan Blachowicz vs Alex Pereira Prediction and Pick

There’s a lot at stake in this light heavyweight bout between the Polish veteran Jan Blachowicz and the imposing Brazilian Alex Pereira, who has stepped up a weight class since his last appearance.

Pereira is coming into this one after losing to Israel Adesanya in the second round and giving up the title belt in the process. As he steps up into the light heavyweight class, I expect him to be more at home, and he might pack more power into his striking at a more natural weight. 

Blachowicz’s last fight was a title shot against Magomed Ankalaev -- one in which the Polish fighter looked good out of the gate. His momentum fell off as the fight went on, and eventually, it came down to struggles in the grapple game that cost him a win by decision.

Jan now returns intent on regaining his status as one of the top light heavyweights in the UFC, and a win over Pereira would put him in the conversation for a shot at the now-vacant belt.

Pereira is stepping into a more powerful group of fighters at light heavyweight, but this should be a far more comfortable situation for him and his skill set. He’s a dangerous man with damaging power. He has multiple finishes in the UFC from flying knees to a dangerous left hand, as was seen against Sean Strickland.

It’s a slight risk to bet on Pereira, since we haven’t yet seen him compete in the light heavyweight division, but the UFC card odds are in his favor, and I like his power to show up on Saturday night.  

The Pick: Alex Pereira to win by KO/TKO (+165) 

Stephen Thompson vs Michel Pereira – Men's Welterweight Main Event Fight Info:

UFC Fight Schedule 2023
Steven Thompson (17-6-1) vs Michel Pereira (28-11-0)
Date: Saturday, July. 29, 2023
Time: Main Card @ 10 PM EST
Venue: Delta Center — Salt Lake City, Utah
TV Channel: ESPN+
Live Stream: UFC Fight Pass

Stephen Thompson vs Michel Pereira Odds, Moneyline, Over/Under – UFC Fight Odds 7/29

Moneyline: Steven Thompson -150, Michel Pereira +130
Total Rounds:
-1.5 (1.5): Over 1.5 -400, Under 1.5 +275
-2.5 (2.5): Over 2.5 -215, Under 2.5 +175
Method of Victory:
Steven Thompson KO, TKO or Disqualification +320
Steven Thompson Decision or Technical Decision +140
Steven Thompson By Submission +2200
Michel Pereira KO, TKO or Disqualification +550
Michel Pereira Decision or Technical Decision +275
Michel Pereira By Submission +1000
Draw or Technical Draw +5000

Stephen Thompson vs Michel Pereira Prediction and Pick  

Steven “Wonderboy” Thompson is back in action this weekend and looking to build on the momentum he gained from a victory over Kevin Holland last December.

That victory proved significant for Thompson, especially considering he is now 40 years old and was on the decline after consecutive losses to Gilbert Burns and Belal Muhammad.

The Thompson-Holland fight was superb -- one of the best of the year in terms of entertainment value. “Wonderboy” dealt a lot of damage, and Holland’s corner threw in the towel at the end of the fourth round. Thompson showcased exceptional striking skills and continues to possess the speed required to compete at the highest level. Presently, he holds an impressive No. 7 ranking in the welterweight division. 

His opponent this weekend is Brazilian veteran Michel Pereira, who got off to a slow start in the UFC  when he lost two of his first three fights. Since then, he has found his rhythm and is currently riding a five-fight winning streak, made up of a submission victory followed by four consecutive decisions.

I can imagine this being another very entertaining battle of striking, and both men will be willing to go through it to prove themselves in their division. This time around, I think Pereira will pull out a victory in what could be a very close call for the judges and a potential split decision.

The Pick: Michel Pereira to win by decision or technical decision (+275)

Best UFC Parlay Picks for Saturday Night Fight Card: 3-leg Parlay (+2600)

Leg-1 Pick:
Dustin Poirier to win by KO/TKO (+175)

Leg-2 Pick:
Alex Pereira to win by KO/TKO (+165)

Leg-3 Pick:
Michel Pereira to win by decision (+275)

Odds are subject to change*

UFC 291 PARLAY PICKS @ (+2600): (Bet $100 to Win $2,700). Get the best odds at Betway Sportsbook

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