With just one week remaining before Porto hosts Arsenal in the first leg of Champions League Round of 16 play, we are here to provide you with predictions, odds, and props related to the game. We’ll offer some valuable insights for this match, so whether you're seeking free soccer picks, exploring Champions League betting tips, or considering a Champions League same-game parlay, we've got you covered.

FC Porto vs. Arsenal Odds and Spread – Champions League Betting Lines Feb. 21

W/D/W: Porto +353 | Draw +260 | Arsenal -138
Draw No Bet: Porto +230 | Arsenal -350
Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 -115 | Under 2.5 -120
Double Chance: Porto or Draw +105 | Porto or Arsenal -350 | Draw or Arsenal -500
1st Goal: Porto +180 | No Goal +900 | Arsenal -182

Porto vs. Arsenal Match Preview

Date: Wednesday, Feb. 21
Time: 3 p.m. ET (8 p.m. local time in Portugal)
TV/Live Stream: Paramount+

Arsenal’s first Champions League appearance since 2017 continues Feb. 21 with a Round of 16 match in Portugal against FC Porto. The Gunners topped Group B before Christmas, picking up 13 points in six games against PSV Eindhoven, Lens, and Sevilla. Arsenal is now favored to get past Porto and reach the Champions League quarterfinals for the first time in 13 years.

After a rocky stretch around Christmas, manager Mikel Arteta’s men have been back on track of late, racking up four straight wins that included hammerings of West Ham United and Crystal Palace, as well as a thrilling 3-1 victory over league rival Liverpool at Emirates Stadium.

Porto, on the other hand, is having a disappointing domestic season – at least by its own high standards – and the team’s 3-2 loss to Arouca last Sunday saw it fall seven points behind Sporting CP and Benfica in the Primeira Liga. However, things have gone well for Porto in Champions League play, where the team placed second in Group H behind Barcelona. That second-place finish was clinched with a thrilling 5-3 victory over Shakhtar Donetsk in the final group match..

Porto last won the Champions League 20 years ago, when Jose Mourinho was the team’s manager. Although few people expect a repeat of that performance in 2024, this team will be eager for a positive result at home, since the second leg takes place three weeks later in London.

Porto vs. Arsenal Lineups and Injuries

Arsenal is likely to be without Gabriel Jesus for this match, since he is dealing with a knee injury. Jesus played 78 minutes against Nottingham Forest on Jan. 30, but he has missed his team’s last two games, and manager Mikel Arteta admitted that Jesus might have been rushed back too early.

Midfielder Thomas Partey is also questionable, having not played since October due to a thigh injury. The Ghanian had hoped to be back before now but is said to have suffered a setback in his recovery, and Arteta has not suggested when the midfielder will return.

Other doubts surround the availability of Arsenal forward Emile Smith Rowe and defenders Olexsandr Zinchenko and Takehiro Tomiyasu, since the latter just returned from playing for Japan in the AFC Asian Cup.

Porto, meanwhile, has had a relatively clean bill of health. The only notable absence is veteran center-back Ivan Marcano, who has a long-term cruciate injury that is expected to sideline him for the remainder of the season. Beyond that, the underdog team from Portugal is nearly at full strength as it prepares for the tough challenge of facing Arsenal.

Porto vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks, and Betting Tips

Win/Draw/Win We’re kicking off our Champions League same-game parlay today with a prop bet focused on the W/D/W market.

Arsenal has been playing great soccer heading into this match, and it has been seemingly scoring at will of late. Last Sunday’s 6-0 demolition of London rival West Ham showed the full extent of this team’s attacking options, as Bukayo Saka, Leandro Trossard, and Declan Rice all joined in the goal-scoring.

Right now, Porto appears to be something of a mixed bag under manager Sérgio Conceição, who is in his eighth season with the club. The Dragaões have failed to win two in a row, with last Sunday’s loss to Arouca preceded by a 0-0 draw against a Rio Ave team that is curently just one point clear of the relegation playoff.

When one looks at the history of Arsenal vs. Porto, it’s immediately clear that Arsenal has failed to win in three previous visits to Estadio do Dragaõ. However, the London team looks well-positioned to end that streak here and continue its current run of success. A Leg 1 road win is exactly what manager Mikel Arteta will be looking for, and I suspect Arsenal will get it in Portugal.

The Pick: Arsenal to Win (-138)

Total Goals

Arsenal has been one of the Premier League’s highest-scoring teams in 2023-24, as only Liverpool and Manchester City have more goals than Arsenal’s 53. England star Bukayo Saka leads the team’s scoring charts with 13 goals, but this is a well-balanced attack, and Porto will have its work cut out in having to deal with players such as Leandro Trossard and Eddie Nketiah on Wednesday night.

Porto’s man to watch is Evanilson, who has scored 19 goals in just 26 appearances so far this season, including four in this year’s Champions League group stage. Porto’s players are no strangers to high-scoring games, as their six group matches accounted for a total of 23 goals, including eight in their thrilling 5-3 win over Shakhtar.

There is definitely a chance that a lot of goals will be scored in this game, particularly if Arsenal tallies first and forces Porto to open up as it goes on the attack. Each of Arsenal’s last five games have seen more than 2.5 goals, and I’m predicting that to continue here.

The Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-115)

Both Teams to Score

Both teams have scored in all three of Arsenal’s previous Champions League road matches this season, and I expect that trend to continue. Porto has scored in 12 of its 15 home games this season, and -- buoyed by its passionate home crowd -- the team will be looking to add to that total on Wednesday night.

Porto should be fired up for this game, which could serve as a great distraction from a rather disappointing domestic season. It has weapons to hurt Arsenal beyond star Evanilson with a roster that includes Brazil’s Wanderson Galeno and Iran’s Mehdi Taremi, who just scored four goals for his country in last month’s AFC Asian Cup.

If Arsenal plays the way it did in its recent win over West Ham, then there’s no way Porto will be able to deal with the visitors from London. Expect an exciting Wednesday night of Round of 16 action, because the Gunners have set their sights on a first ever Champions League trophy. The amount of attacking talent on display here should make for a high-scoring matchup, and it’s hard to see either side failing to score.

The Pick: Both Teams to Score – Yes (-118)

Best Same-Game Parlay Picks Today for Porto vs Arsenal: 3-Leg SGP (+260)

Leg-1 SGP Pick: Arsenal to Win (-138)

Leg-2 SGP Pick: Over 2.5 Goals (-115)

Leg-3 SGP Pick: Both Teams to Score – Yes (-118)

Odds subject to change*

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