Less than a week remains before Inter Milan hosts Atletico de Madrid for the first leg of the teams’ Round of 16 matchup. With the big day fast approaching, let’s delve into some predictions, odds, and props for this game. We’ll provide you with valuable insights for this match, so whether you're seeking free soccer picks, exploring Champions League betting tips, or considering a Champions League same-game parlay, we've got you covered.

Inter Milan vs. Atletico Madrid Odds and Spread – Champions League Betting Lines 2/20

3-way handicap: Inter -125 | Draw +240 | Atletico Madrid +350
Draw No Bet:  Inter Milan -334 | Atletico Madrid +220
Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 +115 | Under 2.5 -150
Double Chance: Inter Milan or Draw -450 | Inter Milan or Draw -350 | Draw or Atletico Madrid +100
First Goal: Inter Milan -163| No Goal +750 | Atletico Madrid +175

Inter Milan vs. Atletico de Madrid Match Preview

Date: Tuesday, Feb. 20
3pm ET (8pm GMT)
TV Channel:
Paramount +
Live Stream:

Historic San Siro Stadium in Milan, Italy, will be the setting for the first leg of a UEFA Champions League Round of 16 showdown on Tuesday when three-time league-winner Inter Milan hosts manager Diego Simeone’s Atletico Madrid. It’s a matchup of two clubs that each have a great Champions League legacy.

Atletico came so close to winning this tournament in 2014 and 2016, losing both times in heart-breaking fashion to their eternal cross-city rivals Real Madrid. Although it has failed to get past the quarterfinals in its last six Champions League appearances, Atletico will be looking to go the distance in 2023-24.

Atletico’s Round of 16 opponent, Inter Milan, is enjoying a superb season domestically, having lost just once in Italy’s Serie A this season. Inter sits alone in first place, seven points ahead of second-place Juventus. The Nerazzurri reached last year’s final at Istanbul, where they fell just short in a 1-0 loss to Manchester City.

Inter is off to a strong start in this year’s Champions League competition after going unbeaten in group-stage play. The team gained 12 points over six matches against Real Sociedad, Benfica, and RB Salzburg, which was good for second place in Group D.

Atletico, on the other, managed to win Group E outright, fending off Lazio, Feyenoord, and Celtic by scoring a total of 17 goals. With a berth in the Champions League quarterfinals now at stake, this Round of 16 matchup promises to be an intriguing battle between two of Europe’s most prominent clubs.

Inter Milan vs. Atletico Madrid Lineups and Injuries

Atletico will go into Tuesday’s game with a significant injury list that starts with leading scorer Alvaro Morata, who suffered a ligament injury in last Monday’s 1-0 loss to Sevilla. Morata has been a key part of Atletico’s season so far with 19 goals in 33 matches, including five goals in the Champions League group stage.

In addition to its current long-term absentees, Cezar Azpilicueta and Thomas Lemar, Atletico has been without veteran center-back Jose Maria Gimenez in recent weeks due to a hamstring issue. However, the Uruguayan defender has been seen at recent practices, and there is some hope that he could return in time for this game.

Inter’s injury list for Tuesday might include 36-year-old center-back Francesco Acerbi, who is doubtful due to a calf injury suffered in his team’s recent 4-2 win over AS Roma. The club’s only other likely absence for this game is Colombian right midfielder Juan Cuadrado, who has been out since December with an Achilles tendon issue. Apart from those two, Inter should be at full strength when the Round of 16 gets under way.

Inter vs. Atletico Prediction, Picks, and Betting Tips


We will kick off these Champions League prop bets in the W/D/W market. The Italian club is definitely the stronger team going into this match, as Inter has gone unbeaten in its last 18 league outings (15 wins and 3 draws). Manager Simone Inzaghi’s men look like they are well on the way to just their second Serie A title since 2010 -- a year in which they also won their third Champions League title under former manager Jose Mourinho.

Inter leads Serie A in goals scored by a distance, and it also boasts the league’s best defense --having conceded just 12 goals in 23 domestic games. Atletico, on the other hand, has been somewhat inconsistent of late -- losing four of its last 10 league games and dropping into fourth place in La Liga, some 13 points behind league-leading Read Madrid.

Atletico’s play on the road has been a major cause of concern for the club, as it has lost five of its last seven matches away from Civitas Metropolitano Stadium. Expect Atletico’s woes to continue against a team as dangerous as Inter.

The Pick: Inter Milan to win (-125)

Total Goals 2.5

Inter has scored an impressive 55 goals in 23 Serie A matches this season, however, many of them have come in routs of teams such as Monza, Udinese, and Salernitana, all of whom are currently in the lower part of the league standings.

When it comes to Champions League matches, Inter has not been anywhere near as free-flowing. The Milan club’s six group outings saw a total of only 13 goals, including the massive outlier of a 3-3 draw in Lisbon against S.L. Benfica. Although Inter is a team capable of turning it on at any moment, it is also willing to grind out solid, low-scoring wins when necessary.

Atletico could be an ideal opponent for Inter’s grinding-it-out style. Manager Diego Simeone has never been known to have his team play wide-open soccer during Champions League knockout matches – particularly those played outside of Madrid. Expect a cagey yet intriguing match on Tuesday, as both teams might be looking to keep things tight.

The Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-150)

Both Teams to Score

Building off the previous pick, it appears that this could be a particularly tough night for the visiting team when it comes to producing goals. With injured Alvaro Morata out, Atletico is missing its top-scoring threat on the eve of a crucial European road match. Factor in the recent removal of the away-goals rule, and manager Diego Simeone has even less incentive to push his club to go for the jugular.

As mentioned earlier, Inter Milan’s defense is one of the best in Europe right now, led by players such as Stefan de Vrij, Federico Dimarco, and Matteo Darmian. The Italian juggernaut has allowed just one goal at home since Oct. 7, and Inter looks well-positioned to continue that trend here against an Atletico team that has not been playing well outside of Madrid.

I expect the visitors to play cautiously and attempt to get back to Spain with a 0-0 tie. As a result, it’s easy to project that both teams won’t be scoring here.

The Pick: Both Teams to Score – No (-130)

Best Same-Game Parlay Picks Today for Inter Milan vs. Atletico de Madrid: 3-Leg SGP (+260)

Leg-1 SGP Pick: Inter Milan to win (-125)

Leg-2 SGP Pick: Under 2.5 Goals (-150)

Leg-3 SGP Pick: Both Teams to Score – No (-130)

Odds subject to change*

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