NFL betting picks: Best bets for Chiefs vs Bengals
Mike Ortiz Jr. makes his Sunday Football picks and predictions for Kansas City Chiefs at Cincinnati Bengals in NFL Week 13.
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NFL Schedule Week 13 - Chiefs @ Bengals
Kansas City Chiefs (9-2, 4-1 Away) vs Cincinnati Bengals (7-4, 3-1 Home)
Date: Sunday 4 December 2022
Time: 4:25 pm EST
Venue: Paycor Stadium - Cincinnati, Ohio
TV Channel: CBS
Live Stream: FuboTV, NFL+
Live Radio: WLW-AM (700)
Chiefs vs. Bengals Preview
Get your popcorn ready for this one, as every time these two teams meet it’s complete fireworks. The two career matchups between Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes and Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow have seen a combined total of 116 points.
“It goes down to both the quarterbacks,” Bengals wide receiver Tyler Boyd said. “I think these are the two best quarterbacks in the league. At least in the top three. It’s going to be a high-powered offensive game.”
High-powered offensive game indeed. The Bengals will get back star wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase, who’s recovering from a hairline fracture in his right hip but has returned to practice and told reporters that he’ll be good to go on Sunday.
While it’s not a true rivalry just yet, Mahomes and company didn’t forget that the Bengals ended their Super Bowl hopes as they beat the Chiefs in the AFC Championship game last year 27-24 in overtime. While there are a few great matchups this week, this game will undoubtedly steal the spotlight.
Chiefs vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - Sunday Odds Week 13
Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs -125, Cincinnati Bengals +105
Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5, Cincinnati Bengals +2.5
Total: Over/Under 52.5
Chiefs vs. Bengals Predictions and Sunday Picks Week 13
While both defenses rank within the middle of the pack in opponents points per game, with the Cincinnati Bengals allowing 21 points per game and the Kansas City Chiefs allowing 22.1, things will be a lot harder on defense for these teams on Sunday. Even though both have shown up against other offensive weapons throughout this season, facing Mahomes or Burrow is always a different beast.
Defensive lineman Chris Jones has been dominant this season 10 sacks so far and has had at least a half sack in six straight games. The Bengals' offensive line has been an ongoing issue and Jones’ presence won’t make it any easier.
For the Bengals, their secondary has been pretty good, led by safety Vonn Bell who’s tied for third in interceptions this season with four and has helped cause headaches for opposing passing attacks. The Bengals allow 216.1 passing yards per game, which ranks 14th in the NFL. Cornerbacks Eli Apple, Mike Hilton and Cam Taylor-Britt will have their hands full with Mahomes on Sunday but will get a slight break against a banged up Chiefs wide receiving corps.
Mecole Hardman is already ruled out, Kadrius Toney is listed as questionable - and more towards doubtful - with a hamstring injury and JuJu Smith-Schuster batting an illness, which will help give some relief to this Bengals secondary on Sunday.
Though Batman will still have his Robin as tight end Travis Kelce will be out there ready to go and looking to extend his touchdown streak to four games. Kelce, who has 12 total touchdowns already on the season, will look to build on that mark come Sunday.
While both defenses may be more improved than they were in past matchups, these two quarterbacks are just too good and they both have some very impressive weapons at their disposal. It’s a high total but give me the over in this one.
The Pick: Over 52.5 (-110)
While both quarterbacks are downplaying the questions about their past matchups and both stating that it’s a new season and new year, there’s no way that Mahomes and the Chiefs didn’t have this game circled.
“I think you have to keep stuff in perspective,” said Mahomes. “It's a brand new season. Any time a team beats you before, you want to beat them, especially when they beat you in a game like they did to go to the Super Bowl.”
This is a revenge game for the Chiefs, no ifs or buts, and with the way the Chiefs' defense has been playing along with how poorly this Bengals offensive line has been, give me the Chiefs all day. Yes, the Chiefs' wide receivers are depleted and banged up, yes the Bengals get back their superstar wide receiver in Ja’Marr Chase, but you’re nuts if you think I’m betting against Houdini and his favorite magic trick, Travis Kelce. Give me Chiefs moneyline in a thriller.
The Pick: Kansas City Chiefs ML (-125)
Best Chiefs vs. Bengals Props
I touched on this earlier, but Kelce has been on an absolute tear this season with 12 touchdowns and 912 yards on 73 receptions. He’s been virtually unstoppable and although the Bengals defense has only allowed two touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season, Kelce is the elite of the elite at the position. The only comparable tight end that the Bengals defense saw this season was the Baltimore Ravens' Mark Andrews, who went for eight receptions, 89 yards and a touchdown in the Bengals' Week 5 19-17 loss. So give me a Kelce anytime touchdown scorer prop in this one.