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Best NFL Bets Week 13: Odds, Picks and Predictions

Titans vs Eagles Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Betting Lines Week 13Moneyline: Tennessee Titans (+180), Philadelphia Eagles (-222)
Spread: Tennessee Titans +4.5, Philadelphia Eagles -4.5
Total: Over/Under 44.5 points

Titans vs Eagles Predictions and Pick

The Philadelphia Eagles, despite remaining atop the NFC at 10-1, are a Matt Ryan facemask away from being 9-2 and, if the Packers had any sort of run defense on Sunday night, they would likely be sitting at 8-3. The point I’m trying to make here is the Eagles are trending in the wrong direction and it’s not smart to jump on a sinking ship.

Alright, I might’ve gone a little overboard with the analogy there as the Eagles are still a dominant team and quarterback Jalen Hurts is playing at an MVP level, but they’re going to have a true test on their hands come Sunday when Mike Vrabel and company come to town. This Tennessee Titans team continues to battle through adversity as they’ve overcome a lot of injuries this season and are still finding ways to win.

The Titans rank third in the NFL against the run, allowing 84.5 rushing yards per game. The Eagles rank 30th in passing play percentage at 47.93 per cent and that number has gone down over their past three games as they’re a true run-first team. Running the ball against the Titans, especially with Tennessee coming off of a loss, will not be a good recipe for success for this Eagles team.

Another stat to pay attention to is Vrabel has been an underdog of three points or more 28 times in his career. He’s 21-7 ATS in those games, covering the spread by 7.7 points per game. The Eagles, led by arrogant head coach Nick Sirianni, will try and try again to run the football on Sunday, and will continue to fail. Give me the plus money and the Tennessee Titans here.

The Pick: Tennessee Titans ML (+180)

Packers vs Bears Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Betting Lines Week 13

Moneyline: Green Bay Packers (-181), Chicago Bears (+150)
Spread: Green Bay Packers -3.5, Chicago Bears +3.5
Total: Over/Under 44.5 points

Packers vs Bears Predictions

After exiting their Sunday night matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles, quarterback Aaron Rodgers said on the Pat McAfee show this week that he will play Sunday against the Chicago Bears. He also told them the reason for him leaving the game Sunday was that he feared he punctured a lung and injured his ribs, but the tests came back to his liking and he’ll be good to go on Sunday.

As for Bears quarterback Justin Fields, who missed last week's game with a shoulder injury, returned to practice this week and looked like himself, according to reports. That’s not good news for a Packers run defense that ranks 31st in the league, allowing an average of 154.8 rushing yards per game.

On Sunday night, the Packers defense allowed the Eagles to rush for 363 rushing yards and Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts had 157 of them, smashing his previous career high of 106, set in his rookie season. While Hurts’ running ability is great, Fields’ is that much better - he has over 200 more rushing yards on the season compared to Hurts.

Rodgers may own the Bears, but the run game owns the Packers. The Packers embarrassed the Bears in Week 2, winning 27-10, and held Fields to just 20 yards rushing. The Packers may still come away with the win on Sunday but it won’t be the same type of game as Fields and this rushing attack from the Bears will absolutely have their way with this Packers defense.

Bears cornerback Jaylon Johnson will also have his hands full with Rodgers’ new favorite weapon, wide receiver Christian Watson, who has six touchdowns in three games. Give me the over in this one as both defenses will struggle.

The Pick: Over 44.5 points (-110)

Browns vs Texans Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Betting Lines Week 13

Moneyline: Cleveland Browns (-333), Houston Texans (+275)
Spread: Cleveland Browns -7.5, Houston Texans +7.5
Total: Over/Under 46.5 points

Browns vs Texans Predictions and Pick

While the NFL certainly had a swing and miss on the primetime football schedule this season, as the majority of primetime games have been awful, they certainly knew that they were going to get quarterback Deshaun Watson’s debut game right. Not only did they schedule Watson’s debut against his former team, but they scheduled it in his former stadium. Yes, emotions will be high in this matchup, but the Houston Texans are just no match for this Cleveland Browns team that certainly can’t be defined by their 4-7 record.

Cleveland might be 4-7 and likely out of playoff contention after playing their first 11 games without their new quarterback, but they haven’t looked bad, as four of their seven losses have come by three points or less. They’re also riding into Houston off an impressive overtime win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Running back Nick Chubb has been virtually impossible for defenses to stop this year, and he gets a Texans run defense that’s dead last in the NFL in rushing yards allowed with 168.6 yards per game. 

The 1-9-1 Texans will continue to let quarterback Kyle Allen steer the ship, but their best wide receiver Brandin Cooks has no interest in playing for them, and it’s just a bad overall situation in Houston right now. It’s beyond 'Houston, we have a problem', it’s 'Houston, run for the hills.' Give me the Browns all day here.

The Pick: Cleveland Browns -7.5 (-105)

Best NFL Player Prop Bets: Sunday Football Week 13

Tua Tagovailoa

Miami vs San Francisco is a marquee matchup and a must-watch game on Sunday. It’ll also be Tagovailoa’s toughest matchup and toughest defense that he’s faced all year. The 49ers allow the fewest points per game to opposing offenses with 15.7 points per game, and also allow just 202.3 passing yards per game, which is 11th in the NFL.

I’m not targeting points or yards in this one, though. I’m going for Tagovailoa’s completions. I think it’ll be harder for the Dolphins to move the ball, which will result in more passes, shorter routes, and more completions.

This 49ers defense is good, but have fun covering quick slants for four quarters against two of the fastest wide receivers in the NFL with Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill.

The Pick: Tua Tagovailoa over 22.5 passing completions (-125)

Jalen Hurts

As I touched on earlier in the Titans/Eagles segment, the Eagles will struggle to run the ball in this game. They can try and try and try again to run it, but they will struggle against this third-ranked run defense, and will have no choice but to throw the football.

Despite being so run heavy, Hurts still racks up a good amount of completions when he does throw the football. His prop for completions is much lower than it has been in past weeks, and it’s time to buy low. 

I think he exceeds 20 completions without a doubt by the time this game is over.

The Pick: Jalen Hurts over 18.5 passing completions (-110)