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Lakers vs. Suns Player-Prop Bets for Friday, Nov. 10, 2023

As a side bet with your buddies, try not to be the guy who predicts a pass out to the Lakers’ Cam Reddish in the corner for Friday night’s game-deciding shot. We saw that happen on Tuesday, and when Reddish missed, social media was flooded with vitriol the same way it always is when LeBron James does not take the deciding shot in a one-point game.

Since that loss at Miami, the Lakers dropped a 34-point decision to the lowly Rockets in Houston on Wednesday. Congrats to all of you who took the Rockets on the alternate spread line at -33 and covered. Hopefully, you spent Thursday and Friday at the Ferrari dealer trying to dispose of all your winnings.

Tonight, the Lakers are in Phoenix for the final stop of their four-game road trip, and they are already 0-5 away from El Lay. This will be a revenge game for the Suns, who lost to the Lakers on the second night of the season. This time, however, Phoenix will have Bradley Beal available, although Devin Booker is listed as doubtful.

Phoenix is favored by 3½ points.

Grayson Allen, 4+ 3-pointers

Phoenix’s Allen attempted 13 shots from behind the arc during the Suns’ overtime victory over the Chicago Bulls two nights ago. He made eight of those shots in taking  advantage of the Bulls’ decision to load up their best defenders on Bradley Beal and Kevin Durant. That was the idea when the Suns obtained Allen, who has always been a great shooter but has not always been a clutch performer. On Friday night, we expect him to try to ride his hot hand and put up another dozen or so 3-pointers. He has made threes at a 39.9 percent clip throughout his career, and is at 51 percent this season.

The Pick: Grayson Allen to make four or more 3-pointers (+240)  

Jusuf Nurkic, triple-double

The Suns’ big man from Bosnia had eight assists in his team’s last game and seven in the previous game, as Phoenix head coach Frank Vogel is using Jusuf Nurkic much more than Chauncey Billups did in Portland last season. European players are used to playing entire games in domestic leagues back home as well as in international competitions, so you are not going to hear Nurkic argue that he needs a load-management night. For this pick to hit, Nurkic’s passes out of the low post need to be converted into buckets, and in a make-or-miss league you can never be certain of that. However, he has been on the cusp of triple-doubles in the last two games, and we are playing the “third time is a charm” card.

The Pick: Jusuf Nurkic to record a triple-double (+3000)

Keita Bates-Diop, 2+ blocks

This prop drew our interest because of the price. The young man from Ohio State with Senegalese roots blocked three shots in 31 minutes against the Bulls on Wednesday, and we can’t help but wonder whether the oddsmakers did not take that into account when setting this line.  Keita Bates-Diop has had at least two blocks in two of his five games, and his playing time has been rising of late. He played 31 minutes against Chicago and appears to have taken over Josh Okogie’s job.

The Pick: Keita Bates-Diop to block at least two shots (+575)

LeBron James, 35+ points

Anthony Davis missed his team’s last game with an adductor strain and is questionable for Friday night. In Lakerland, when you are questionable you are usually out. So, we are assuming that Davis will not play, and the scoring burden will fall upon LeBron James, who is due for a big game after being held to 18 points on Wednesday against the Bulls in a game the Lakers were out of by halftime. James is +220 to score 30 or more, and we like the big odds bump from getting just five extra points.

The Pick: LeBron James to score 35 or more points: +625

Odds are subject to change*

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