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The Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Los Angeles Lakers tonight at Arena after enduring perhaps their most embarrassing week of drama at the worst possible time.

A scuffle on the bench between Kyle Anderson and center Rudy Gobert resulted in the big man throwing a punch and the two having to be separated by teammates. Gobert has been left at home for tonight’s game and doesn’t appear likely to make a return anytime soon.

The Timberwolves traded a wealth of picks and players for Gobert over the summer, and he’s now the subject of a story that might end Minnesota’s season in very disappointing fashion.

Gobert is not the only one out, either, since a frustrated Jaden McDaniels had earlier fractured his hand punching a wall inside the tunnel. The damage was significant, and he is now out indefinitely with zero chance of returning during the playoffs.

So, when it comes to putting together an NBA same-game parlay for the game tonight, it’s important to factor in the utter self-destruction of an otherwise promising Minnesota Timberwolves team.

Timberwolves vs Lakers Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under – NBA Play-In Tournament Odds Lines 4/11 

Moneyline: Minnesota Timberwolves (+290), LA Lakers (-371)
Spread: Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5 (-115) , LA Lakers -5.5 (-106)
Total: Over/Under 227.5 points 

Best NBA Play-In Tournament Same Game Parlay Picks Today for Timberwolves vs Lakers: 4-Leg Parlay Picks (+700)

Points Total

The LA Lakers scored an average of 127.2 points per game over the final five games of the regular season, and Minnesota just lost two of its most reliable defensive players for senseless reasons.

Jaden McDaniels has been a promising talent for the T-wolves with stout defending and new career-highs in points and 3-point shooting on the offensive end. However, his frustrations got the better of him, and he will now miss the playoffs with a fractured hand. That gives Minnesota one less capable body to try and cover LeBron James, Anthony Davis, and the high-flying Lakers offense.

Minnesota should still be able to find points offensively with Anthony Edwards and Co. taking on a below-average Lakers defense. The combination of those two factors should result in a high-paced, high-intensity game and a lot of points. I’ll take the over in my NBA same-game parlay picks for today, with the Lakers dropping 130-plus points.

If you still need convincing, consider that the Lakers have cashed eight straight overs since LeBron returned to the lineup.

Leg-1 SGP Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers Over 232.5 points (-120)

LeBron James Points Total

LeBron has been back in the Lakers lineup for eight games now and has steadily increased his shooting volume while reintegrating himself into the starting five.

The Lakers forward has quickly gone from an average of 16.3 field-goal attempts in his first three games back to 21.8 in the five games he’s played in April. Over those five, LeBron has had three games of 30-plus points, including 37 in the April 4 OT win over Utah and 36 against the Jazz on April 9.

Minnesota has imploded its own defense at quite literally the most crucial time of the season, and nobody is more likely to capitalize on that mistake than LeBron James. Only one team has allowed more free-throw attempts per game this season than Minnesota, which has yielded opponents an average of 26 FTA throughout the year.

While it might be a slightly more optimistic number than the more conservative 25-plus points option, I’m of the opinion that playoff LeBron smelling blood in the water equals 30-plus points on his home court tonight.

Leg-2 SGP Pick: LeBron James 30+ points (+105)

Anthony Davis Rebounds Total

Let’s stick with the Lakers for the third selection in tonight’s NBA same-game parlay predictions, because Anthony Davis has a major opportunity off the glass.

Davis has averaged 12.5 rebounds per game over the 2022-23 season and currently sits at 13.6 so far in April. However, that number is heavily boosted by his 21-rebound night against the Phoenix Suns.

Rudy Gobert’s absence is a 7-foot hole in the Timberwolves’ rebounding presence. Even with him on the floor, Minnesota has not performed well when it comes to allowing rebounding opportunities. The Timberwolves’ average of 11.3 offensive rebounds allowed to opponents is the fourth-highest total in the NBA this season, and Minnesota ranks in the bottom 10 in overall opposition rebounding, too.

Given their current situation, facing Anthony Davis is probably the last thing Minnesota wants. Davis ranks fourth in the NBA for offensive rebounds with an average of 3.5 per game. Therefore, in tonight's game, his ability on both ends of the court should result in an above-average rebounding performance by the Lakers' big man.

Leg-3 SGP Pick: Anthony Davis 12+ rebounds (-265)

Spread Bet

All signs point toward the Lakers winning this one by a sizable margin. The spread has been moving further and further away from Minnesota, now settling at 8.5 points in LeBron and Co.’s favor.

Minnesota’s lack of defensive presence is going to be a problem, and its sudden unraveling with the season on the line is a shame for some of the T-wolves’ key players.

Anthony Edwards has set new career-highs in just about every category in his third year with 24.6 points, 5.8 rebounds, and 4.4 assists per game. He is also shooting a career-best 36.9 percent from 3-point range. Karl Anthony-Towns has had a promising return in recent weeks, and Jaden McDaniels has also been a bright spark this year.

Unfortunately, that young core is now going to suffer at the hands of the Lakers. They face a real uphill struggle if they want to win. Although Edwards might have an impressive scoring performance -- which Minnesota needs if it has any chance to win -- that simply won't be enough to stop LeBron James and the Lakers.

I have the Lakers covering the 8.5 to round out the NBA same-game parlay picks for today.

Leg-4 SGP Pick: Los Angeles Lakers -8.5 (-110)

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