Champions League picks: 4-leg parlay (+711) for Quarter Finals Leg 2 games
Alex Buck reveals his Champions League parlay picks, and predictions for the quarterfinals Leg 2 games, with 4 best bets.
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The UEFA Champions League quarterfinals have reached the second leg, and the excitement is at its peak.
In the first leg of the Champions League quarterfinals, Manchester City showed their dominance with a convincing 3-0 win over Bayern Munich, putting them in a strong position to advance to the semifinals. Meanwhile, Real Madrid also demonstrated their superiority over Chelsea and now take a comfortable two-goal lead into the second leg at Stamford Bridge. Will Frank Lampard's side be able to mount a comeback, or is it the end of the road for the Blues?
Napoli, on the other hand, missed their chances and suffered a 1-0 loss to AC Milan in their first-leg encounter. The defeat puts Milan in a confident position as they head to Naples, having also thrashed the Serie A champions-elect 4-0 just weeks prior at Diego Armando Maradona Stadium.
Inter Milan secured a commanding position in their quest for a spot in the final four with a 2-0 away win over Benfica in their first-leg match. Will they be able to hold on to their advantage in the second leg and progress to the next round?
Let’s dive into my free soccer picks for the Champions League quarterfinals’ second leg ties, as I serve up my best prop bets today.
Best 2023 UEFA Champions League Quarterfinal Parlays Today: 4-leg Parlay Picks (+711)
Chelsea vs Real Madrid Odds – Champions League Betting Lines 4/18
Moneyline: Chelsea (-170) | Draw (+250) | Real Madrid (+140)
To Qualify: Chelsea (+600) Real Madrid (-1400)
1st Goal: Chelsea (+105) | No Goal +900 | Real Madrid (-106)
Both team to score: Yes (-143) No (+110)
Chelsea or Draw (-188)
Chelsea or Real Madrid (-334)
Draw or Real Madrid (-211)
Chelsea vs Real Madrid Prediction and Pick
Both Teams to Score
We came out on top with my 2-leg (+140) SGP soccer betting picks in my Leg-1 Champions League Quarterfinal predictions last week that had Real Madrid winning and Karim Benzema to score anytime. So, it’s time to flip the focus to next Tuesday, when Chelsea looks to keep their Champions League hopes alive.
Chelsea staged a dramatic second-leg comeback last season against Real Madrid, only to lose to the eventual CL champions in extra time of their quarterfinal matchup. It’s a classic case of déjà vu for Lampard’s men, because they are up against it again in this second leg after falling 2-0 in Madrid. Will Chelsea vs. Madrid history repeat itself? I can’t wait to see how this plays out.
Despite Chelsea's lack of cutting edge in attack during the first leg, Chelsea manager Lampard remains upbeat and believes his team can turn things around in the second leg.
"I just said to the players that special things can happen at Stamford Bridge,” Lampard said when asked about the upcoming second-leg match. “They (Real Madrid) are a very good team, but we have to believe."
Taking that into consideration, for this Champions League best bets, we are backing the both-teams-to-score market. Despite Chelsea's recent lack of goals -- failing to score in each of their last four matches -- they have the advantage of playing at home in the second leg against Real Madrid.
Chelsea’s Joao Felix, Mason Mount, and Raheem Sterling were all guilty of squandering good chances to score in the first leg. To get back in this tie, they will need to be bold and take risks. Luckily, with Real Madrid’s high line and intense press, there will always be opportunities for Chelsea to capitalize. However, it's unlikely that they will be able to keep a clean sheet themselves against Real Madrid’s high-quality attacking lineup.
If you’re looking for another market for your Champions League parlays, Karim Benzema as an anytime goal-scorer at (+120) looks appealing, since he has scored six goals in his five previous meetings with Chelsea.
Leg-1 Parlay Pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes (-143)
Napoli vs AC Milan Odds – Champions League Betting Lines 4/18
Moneyline: Napoli (-134) | Draw (+250) | AC Milan (+350)
To Qualify: Napoli (+100) AC Milan (-138)
1st Goal: Napoli (-182) | No Goal +700 | AC Milan (+200)
Both team to score: Yes (-100) No (-130)
Napoli or Draw (-500)
Napoli or AC Milan (-350)
Draw or AC Milan (+105)
Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction and Pick
Thanks to a goal from Ismael Bennacer, AC Milan came away with a 1-0 win despite being outplayed in the first leg of their Champions League quarterfinal series at San Siro Stadium. The second leg is scheduled for Tuesday, April 18, in Naples. Although Napoli trail in the tie, they remain hopeful and view the situation as one they can reverse.
Napoli's performance was solid until the final third of the pitch, but star striker Victor Osimhen’s absence was a glaring issue. AC Milan might face a tough challenge in the second leg of their Champions League quarterfinal tie against Napoli, because Napoli manager Luciano Spalletti has confirmed that Osimhen will be available for Tuesday’s home match at Maradona Stadium.
"He will be there," Spalletti said of Osimhen, who certainly boosts Spalletti’s attacking lineup options.
Milan's defense has been impressive with three consecutive clean sheets, but with Osimhen back in the Napoli lineup, I don't believe Milan will be able to contain the Napoli attacking threat. Osimhen tops the Serie A charts with 21 goals this season and has also scored four goals in five CL games to help Napoli to reach the quarterfinals.
Expect Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to play an important role alongside Osimhen, as the Napoli winger looks to add to his 14 goals and 16 assists across Serie A and the CL this season.
I’m backing Napoli to get an early first-half goal at home and take control of this tie.
Leg-2 Parlay Pick: Napoli to Win (-134)
FC Bayern Munich vs Manchester City Odds – Champions League Betting Lines 4/19
Moneyline: Bayern Munich (+162) | Draw (+260) | Manchester City (+137)
To Qualify: Bayern Munich (+1000) Manchester City (-10000)
1st Goal: Bayern Munich (+105) | No Goal +1200 | Manchester City (-115)
Both team to score: Yes (-211) No (+160)
Bayern Munich or Draw (-175)
Bayern Munich or Manchester City (-350)
Draw or Manchester City (-211)
FC Bayern Munich vs Manchester City Prediction and Pick
Both Team to Score
Another one of our midweek (+170) 3-Leg SGP winners came in the first leg of this matchup, where we covered City to win, over 2.5 goals, and Erling Haaland to score anytime.
In that first leg, Manchester City dominated Bayern Munich with a resounding 3-0 victory, putting them in a strong position to advance to the Champions League semifinals. Rodri's stunning curled goal from long range gave the hosts an early first-half lead, and City's relentless attack in the second half left the visitors overwhelmed. Bernardo Silva capitalized on Dayot Upamecano's error, which allowed City to extend their lead, and shortly afterward, the prolific Haaland added to the scoreline.
City are peaking at the right time of the season. Unfortunately for Bayern -- even with Thomas Tuchel at the helm -- they were not tactically ready to stop Pep Guardiola’s men. With a mountain to climb in this return leg, Bayern will be forced to come out with all guns blazing if they stand any chance of making up the deficit. Of course, this strategy does not improve Bayern’s ability to contain the quality of City’s attack.
I can see this being a high-scoring affair, with City prevailing and Bayern getting on the scoresheet at least once. Bayern are the top scorers in the Bundesliga with 77 goals in 27 matches and, like Manchester City, they still concede around one goal per game despite being a dominant team in their league. We should see a few goals in this one, so I’m backing the both-teams-to-score market for my third parlay pick.
Leg-3 Parlay Pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes (-211)
Inter Milan vs Benfica Odds – Champions League Betting Lines 4/19
Moneyline: Inter Milan (+110) | Draw (+230) | Benfica (+230)
To Qualify: Inter Milan (+800) Benfica (-3300)
1st Goal: Inter Milan (+134) | No Goal +800 | Benfica (+137)
Both team to score: Yes (-130) No (+100)
Inter Milan or Draw (-300)
Inter Milan or Benfica (-334)
Draw or Benfica (-138)
Inter Milan vs Benfica Prediction and Pick
Inter Milan put themselves in strong position to reach the final four after securing a 2-0 away win over Benfica in the first-leg meeting. That match followed a clichéd pattern -- with the second half bursting to life after a very quiet first. At halftime, both teams combined had only managed to create 0.19 xG.
With its 2-0 win, Inter Milan achieved four successive clean sheets in the UEFA Champions League for the first time. Given that fact, the total-goals market for the return leg offers great value to round out my CL parlay bet.
My wager is on there being fewer than 2.5 goals scored. Inter's previous four home matches have all ended in such fashion, with an average of only 1.3 goals per game. Similarly, four out of Benfica’s last five away games ended with fewer than 2.5 goals scored for an average 2.0 goals per game over that stretch.
Leg-4 Parlay Pick: Total Goals 2.5 - Under (-118)
Odds are subject to change*
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