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Steelers vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Week 18

Moneyline: Pittsburgh Steelers -167, Baltimore Ravens +140
Spread: Steelers -3 (-110), Ravens +3 (-110)
Total: Over/Under 34.5 points

NFL Schedule Week 18 – Game Info - Steelers at Ravens 

2023 NFL Regular Season Game
Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) vs. Baltimore Ravens (13-3)
Date: Saturday Jan. 6
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Md.
TV Channel: ESPN
Live Stream: FuboTV

As of this Wednesday, Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh had yet to decide which of his starters would play in the team’s Week 18 game against Pittsburgh on Saturday night. Baltimore locked up the AFC’s No. 1 playoff seed by beating the Miami Dolphins in Week 17, so the Ravens now have an opportunity to rest key players rather than being forced to use them in the regular-season finale against the Steelers.

In other words, football fans might not see Baltimore quarterback and NFL MVP candidate Lamar Jackson in this game. Even if he does play, it might only be for a few drives or potentially just the first half. The Ravens will want to avoid any unnecessary injuries before the playoffs, but they also have to consider their upcoming first-round bye.

If the home team rests its starters, then a full two weeks will pass before they get to play again in the postseason’s divisional round. That might be too much time for these players to go without seeing any action, so playing at least half of this game against Pittsburgh might be preferable.

For the Steelers’ part, a win at Baltimore is almost essential to keeping their playoff hopes alive. Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin has once again guaranteed the franchise a winning season -- making it 17 in a row for him -- but his team is in danger of missing out on a playoff berth.

Pittsburgh is currently the AFC’s No. 9 seed, although the Steelers have the same overall record as the Jacksonville Jaguars, Houston Texans, and Indianapolis Colts. A win would be ideal, and if the Steelers do prevail, they would only need either the Buffalo Bills to lose to Miami, the Texans and Colts to play to a tie against each other, or the Jaguars to lose or tie their game at Tennessee.

The only scenario in which Pittsburgh can afford to lose and still get into the playoffs would be if the Texans vs. Colts game does not end in a tie, Jacksonville loses, and Denver beats the Las Vegas Raiders.

It’s very possible for the Steelers to reach the playoffs. As of Wednesday, they were favored to win their season finale against the Ravens by 3.5 points. The oddsmakers recognize that this game means a lot more to Pittsburgh than it does to Baltimore, so let’s take a closer look at the matchup.

Steelers vs. Ravens Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers have now effectively gone through a quarterback change, since Mason Rudolph has been declared the team’s starter even though former No. 1 QB Kenny Pickett is now healthy enough to play.

Rudolph, who has been with the team since 2019, will start his third game of the 2023 season after winning the first two against the Cincinnati Bengals and Seattle Seahawks. Those two victories were crucial as far as keeping Pittsburgh in the playoff race, and Rudolph deserves a lot of credit for how he handled the offense in both games.

The fourth-year QB completed 17 of 27 passes for 290 yards and two touchdowns to take down Cincinnati. One week later – even though he didn’t throw a TD pass against the Seahawks -- his 18-for-24, 274-yard performance made a huge difference for his team at Seattle.

So, Rudolph gets the start in Week 18, which creates a little controversy regarding Pickett’s future as the franchise’s No. 1 quarterback. Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin is calling on Rudolph in the biggest moment of the team’s season, as he’ll be tasked with going into Baltimore and trying to come away with a win against the Ravens.

Baltimore has been a notoriously difficult opponent when it plays at home this season. The Ravens are 6-2 at M&T Bank Stadium and have created nightmare games for the Detroit Lions, Seattle Seahawks, and, most recently, the Miami Dolphins last weekend.

The question is how many of Baltimore’s defensive starters will actually play on Saturday. If the No. 1-seeded Ravens are happy to give their backup players a chance to perform in an otherwise meaningless game, then Steelers wide receivers such as George Pickens and Diontae Johnson could both be in for a big day.

Pickens, in particular, has stepped into the spotlight in recent weeks, following heavy criticism for his apparent lack of effort during plays that didn’t directly involve him. He was called out for a weak block on a Jaylen Warren run during the Steelers’ Week 15 loss to the Colts. That play could -- and likely should -- have been a touchdown had Pickens blocked effectively.

The Steelers’ leading receiver was called every name under the sun, labeled a locker room distraction, and condemned by the masses, but he has answered the bell in excellent fashion. In the two games since that loss, Pickens has caught passes for a total of more than 320 yards and found the end zone twice. He caught both of Rudolph’s TD passes in Week 16, posting 195 yards and two scores against the Bengals. He then caught seven balls for 131 yards at Seattle last weekend.

On the Ravens’ side, great depth at wide receiver means we might still see a strong performance from Baltimore’s passing attack. Offensive coordinator Todd Monken’s system is now at peak efficiency now that his players have been together for a full season, and wide receivers such as Nelson Agholor, and perhaps even Rashod Bateman, could capitalize.

If Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson is rested for half or even all of the game, the Steelers can expect a heavy dose of Baltimore backup QB Tyler Huntley, who has already proven himself to be an effective stand-in for Jackson.

Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction and Pick

Considering the importance of this game to Pittsburgh -- and the lack of importance to Baltimore -- it's easy to chalk this one up as a Steelers victory, However, let’s not rule out the Ravens wanting to eliminate a division rival from the playoffs and give themselves additional momentum heading into the postseason.

Baltimore has treated M&T Bank Stadium like a fortress all season, and even if the Ravens starters don't play much, the atmosphere and energy surrounding the home team won't change. The defense will still play with the same passion and will still be capable of disrupting Pittsburgh QB Mason Rudolph with blitz packages and alignments.

That said, the Ravens already lost to the Steelers in a game at Pittsburgh earlier this year. The Steelers held them to just 10 points that day – Baltimore’s lowest scoring total in its high-flying 2023 season. If anybody knows how to slow down the Ravens, it's head coach Mike Tomlin and his Steelers.

I’m going to take Pittsburgh on the road, predicting a win that will clinch a playoff spot. Steelers quarterback Mason Rudolph will need to take care of the football and manage the game effectively, just as he has done over the last two weeks while playing the lead role.

The Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers Moneyline (-167)

While I like the Steelers to win here, I don’t see this as a game that will involve a lot of scoring if Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson and other starters on the Ravens’ offense don’t play. Pittsburgh will gladly take a 13-10 win, and since the Steelers’ defense will likely be playing against Ravens backups, I don’t see Baltimore scoring any more points than that.

Pittsburgh is averaging 17.9 points per game this season, which is one of the league's lower totals. The Steelers average slightly fewer points on the road. Given that this is also a game being played in one of the NFL’s tougher environments and against a division rival, I’ll gladly go with the under in this one.

The Pick: Under 34.5 Points (-110)

Best Same-Game Parlay Picks for Steelers vs. Ravens Week 18: 2-Leg Parlay Pick (+210)

Moneyline

Leg 1: Pittsburgh Steelers Moneyline (-165)

Total Points

Leg 2: Under 34.5 Points (-110)

Odds are subject to change*

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