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Jets vs. Bills Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Betting Lines Week 11

Moneyline: New York Jets +275, Buffalo Bills -334
Spread: Jets +7 (-110), Bills -7 (-110)
Total: Over/Under 40.5 points

Best Same-Game Parlay Picks for Jets vs. Bills Week 11: 4-Leg Parlay Pick (+2500) 

Spread Bet

Leg 1: New York Jets +7 (-110)

Total Points

Leg 2: Under 40.5 Points (-110)

Passing Yards

Leg 3: Josh Allen Under 249.5 Passing Yards (-135)

Anytime Touchdown Leg 4: Latavius Murray Anytime Touchdown (+300)

NFL SGP @(+2500): (Bet $100 to Win $2600). Get the best odds at Betway Sportsbook.

NFL Schedule Week 11 – Game info - Jets at Bills

2023 NFL Regular Season Game
New York Jets (4-5) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-5)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 19
Time: 4:25 p.m. ET

Venue: Bills Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y.
TV Channel: CBS
Live Stream: FuboTV

The Buffalo Bills will host the New York Jets on Sunday afternoon in what has turned into a critical AFC East matchup for both teams. The Jets are desperately trying to remain in the playoff hunt while quarterback Aaron Rodgers looks to make a miraculous recovery from the torn Achilles tendon he suffered in Week 1.

Meanwhile, the Buffalo Bills are also trying to stay alive after slipping to 5-5 by falling to the Denver Broncos on Monday night. Buffalo’s 24-22 home loss to a struggling Denver team was dismal, and someone had to take the fall for it after the game. The result was the firing of offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, which pushed quarterbacks coach Joe Brady into the position of interim OC.

Jets at Bills Preview 

The Buffalo Bills have struggled against lesser opponents on multiple occasions this season. They barely scraped past the New York Giants a few weeks ago and played poorly enough on Monday to allow the Denver Broncos to kick a game-winning field goal.

The Bills have already lost to the New York Jets once this season, back in Week 1 when Jets QB Aaron Rodgers tore his Achilles tendon. Another loss to the Jets on Sunday would make Buffalo 1-3 in the division, and the Bills would lose the playoff tiebreaker against the Jets should it come into play at the end of the regular season.

A win on Sunday afternoon is therefore absolutely critical for this Buffalo team, which has a mountain to climb if it wants to qualify for the playoffs’ wild-card round. Buffalo is one win behind Miami, which has a game in hand, and the Bills’ schedule for the rest of this season appears devastatingly tough.

Buffalo is slated to face the Eagles, Chiefs, Cowboys, Chargers, Patriots, and Dolphins in their remaining six games after Sunday’s meeting with the Jets. That makes for an extremely difficult route to the postseason.

Rodgers’ potential to return to the Jets’ lineup in December is keeping New York’s dream of a deep playoff run alive. If QB Zach Wilson can hold down the fort long enough and keep the Jets within striking distance of a playoff berth, Rodgers could return to finish the job in the season’s final stretch.

Wilson has played quite well in recent weeks. He is by no means flawless, but he has thrown for at least 240 yards in each of the past three games. The Jets’ problem has been scoring points, and their red-zone conversion rate is dreadful. This team has put up an average of only 10.3 points per game over its last three outings, converting just 22 percent of its trips to the red zone into touchdowns. That’s the worst rate in the NFL by a full 10 percent.

Thankfully, an elite defense has been keeping the Jets’ playoff hopes alive. New York ranks third in the NFL for passing defense and has already put the squeeze on some of the league's best quarterbacks this season.

That could mean trouble for Buffalo QB Josh Allen, who has been committing costly turnovers all season. The first turnover in Monday night’s loss to Denver wasn’t his fault, in fairness, but the second was a pass floated into coverage – something that has become far too common for the Bills quarterback.

With former offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey now out of the picture, the hope for Buffalo is that its offense will be less predictable. Quarterbacks coach Joe Brady will call the plays on Sunday, but his previous tenure as an offensive coordinator did not go all that well in Carolina. 

The bottom line is that Allen needs to play better. He has now thrown seven picks in his last six games and has 11 on the season -- leading the NFL in a category no quarterback wants to dominate.

It is only a matter of time before tensions rise around this offense, and if it becomes apparent that Dorsey was in fact not the problem, then Buffalo has a very difficult situation in the making. 

Bill wide receiver Stefon Diggs has been quieter in recent weeks, although rookie tight end Dalton Kincaid is thankfully looking like the first-round talent he was believed to be. Other than its emerging tight end, this offense is still short a pass catcher or two who can consistently produce alongside WR1 Diggs. 

Jets vs. Bills Prediction and Pick 

The Buffalo Bills’ offense is extremely pass heavy, and at times predictable, often leading to turnovers by quarterback Josh Allen. The Bills leaned into the run on Monday against Denver, but by that point it almost felt like too little too late, because the team had completely ignored James Cook for the balance of the first half after Cook’s opening-drive fumble.

The New York Jets should be thrilled to be facing this Bills team after its Monday night meltdown against Denver. Buffalo quarterbacks coach Joe Brady, the interim offensive coordinator, has had limited time to build a game plan that will eradicate some of Buffalo’s aerial woes against one of the best passing defenses in football.

I expect a low-scoring game in which the Jets will force at least one turnover that gives them a shot at winning. If Buffalo loses, it will likely tank the Bills’ playoff hopes, and this Jets defense is not the one you want to be facing in a desperate situation like that.

The Pick: New York Jets +7 (-110)

The under looks appealing in this one, even though it's set at 40.5. The Jets are 3-6 when it comes to hitting overs this season, allowing an average of 17.7 points per game in their last three.

New York has one of the NFL’s top three pass defenses -- giving up fewer than 170 passing yards per game – and the Jets will be up against a team that just hit the panic button as far as its passing offense goes. 

While the Jets are playing extremely well defensively, their offense continues to struggle at times, particularly when it comes to scoring points. All signs point toward the under for me here, so I will take it despite the low total.

The Pick: Under 40.5 Points (-110)

Best NFL Player-Prop Bets for Jets vs. Bills

Josh Allen

This won’t be a surprise after the way things have played out of late, but I don’t believe Bills quarterback Josh Allen will have a big passing day on Sunday.

The Jets’ defense will be able to sense any hesitation in Allen as he works under a new play-caller. The QB will undoubtedly fear making mistakes in what is going to be a critical week for the Bills franchise.

Allen’s likely approach will -- and should -- be more conservative. Buffalo will be taking short gains and running the football to open up a couple of deep shots when the time is right.

Allen might break 200 passing yards, but he could easily go under that number, and I like the odds on the under here for his total passing-yardage line.

The Pick: Josh Allen Under 241.5 Passing Yards (-120)

Latavius Murray

The Buffalo Bills have been thoroughly enjoying their use of running back Latavius Murray near the goal line. His opportunities might have been a little exaggerated against the Denver Broncos on Monday after James Cook’s fumble on the opening drive and subsequent benching for the next hour of the game, but Murray continues to be a threat in short yardage 

Since Buffalo is up against a very strong Jets team, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Murray in this game trying to convert a short-yardage situation into a touchdown. If the Bills can get into the red zone, he has a great shot at doing that, and these odds feel good at +300.

The Pick: Latavius Murray Anytime Touchdown (+300)

Odds are subject to change*

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