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Saints vs Rams, Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under – NFL Odds Week 16

Moneyline: New Orleans Saints +165, Los Angeles Rams –200
Spread: Saints +4.5 (-125), Rams -4.5 (-105)
Total: Over/Under 45.5 Points, Over -105, Under -115

NFL Schedule Week 15 – Game Info - Saints at Rams 

2023 NFL Regular Season Game

New Orleans Saints (7-7) vs. Los Angeles Rams (7-7)
Date: Thursday Dec 21st, 2023
Time: 8:15pm ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, in Inglewood, California
TV Channel: Amazon Prime Video
Live Stream: FuboTV

Week 16 of the 2023 NFL season begins on Thursday night from the City of Angels, as the New Orleans Saints travel west to face the Los Angeles Rams. Both teams hold identical records of 7-7, battling through a competitive, if messy, NFC playoff race.

Both the Rams and Saints have stuttered at points this year, but both are going into this one off the back of comfortable Week 15 victories against the Washington Commanders and New York Giants respectively. Thursday night is the biggest game yet for these two as they aim to book their place in the postseason, with a clear advantage over the other on the line.

As we get into the real business end of the 2023 season, we’ll take a look at this intriguing, and crucial, Thursday night matchup.

Saints vs Rams Preview

Sean McVay’s Rams are the more in form side in this matchup, having won four of their last five. Their only loss came in overtime on the road against the AFC’s number one seed, the Baltimore Ravens. Last Sunday’s 28-20 victory over Washington wasn’t quite as close as the scoreline suggested, as the Rams never looked to be in much danger at all over the course of the sixty minutes.

That Commanders game also marked a second-consecutive 100+ yard game for one of the league’s elite receivers in Cooper Kupp. Kupp hadn’t cracked fifty yards in any of the previous six games, but has looked back to his All-Pro self recently as a core part of offensive coordinator Mike LaFleur’s unit.

Kupp’s return to prominence has come at just the right time for the Rams, giving Matthew Stafford ample opportunity to share the ball between Kupp and rookie sensation Puka Nacua. The fifth-round pick out of BYU has been a real breakout star on this team and now has over 1,100 yards on the year.

Both Nacua and second-year RB Kyren Williams have played a major role in the Rams offense, ranking in the top ten in both scoring and yardage. Dealing with Kupp, Nacua and Williams will prove a tough task for this Saints defense on Thursday night, but few are better prepared defensively.

In many ways, this has been a frustrating year for Who Dat Nation, as they continue to battle it out in the league’s poorest division – the NFC South. While they’ve had their struggles, the defense has continued to impress, currently on course to be a top-ten scoring defense for the 4th season in a row.

Led by veterans Cameron Jordan, Demario Davis and Tyrann Mathieu, this Saints unit is tough to crack, and has given up just 12 points over the last two weeks. Whilst we might expect the Rams to outperform those numbers, Sean McVay and his roster will be well aware of the difficulty posed by Dennis Allen’s defense.

The other side of the ball has been the real concern for New Orleans this year, as big money free agent signing Derek Carr hasn’t lived up to the expectations of many. Carr has come under heavy criticism this year and was booed at the Superdome against the Panthers recently, but pulled it back last week against the Giants in typical yo-yo fashion. Carr completed 23 of 28 pass attempts for 3 touchdowns and a passer rating of 134.8, albeit against one of the league's worst defenses.

Thursday night poses a slightly tougher challenge for Carr and the Saints, but this Rams defense is far from elite, ranking 19th in points allowed. The unit is still led by future Hall of Famer Aaron Donald, who remains a dynamic force despite his advancing years. The Rams could do with a big game from Donald here, as they look to push for one of the remaining NFC Wild Card slots.

Saints vs Rams Prediction and Pick

The Rams are narrow favorites in this one, which is understandable when you consider their recent form. Recent performances have included an impressive 36-19 win in Week 13 over one of the league’s best defenses in the Cleveland Browns, and a narrowly fought win over Seattle.

However, I do foresee this being a close matchup between two sides with identical records. This is a critical game for the Saints season, and this is a team that’s only lost by double digits once this year. Expect a tight one and expect this defense to keep the Saints in it until the end.

The Pick: New Orleans Saints +4.5 (-110)

This game is a clash between two of the league’s elder statesmen QBs, capable of turning in big performances at critical moments. As we mentioned, Stafford has plenty of options to choose from, namely Kupp and Nacua, as well as TE Tyler Higbee.

Despite missing last week’s game and being limited at practice this week with an ankle injury, WR Chris Olave will suit up, according to head coach Dennis Allen. This offense can also turn toveteran Alvin Kamara, deep threat WR Rashid Shaheed and eternal Swiss-army knife Taysom Hill. Don’t expect last Thursday’s 84 points, but with the amount of firepower on both sides, 45.5 seems achievable to me.

The Pick: Over 45.5 points (-105)

Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Saints vs Rams

This Saints defense is amongst the league’s best, not just at keeping teams out of the endzone, but at forcing turnovers as well. Only four sides in the NFL have racked up more interceptions than New Orleans, with those 14 interceptions shared amongst eight different players, including Pete Werner, Marshon Lattimore and Paulson Adebo – who leads the team with four.

This secondary is bound to have a busy day dealing with Kupp and Nacua, but they have the players on their side to go toe-to-toe with them. Stafford has attempted at least 33 passes in each of his last four games, don’t be surprised if one of them ends up with this ball-hawking secondary.

The Pick: Matthew Stafford Over 0.5 Interceptions (-115)

Whilst the Saints will have no doubt spent much of their short week planning on how to stop Kupp and Nacua, they will also have to be very wary of six-year veteran receiver Demarcus Robinson, who has found the end zone in three successive weeks.

Robinson has been a real goal-line threat recently, and the former Chief could well be called upon to put six points on the board for the fourth consecutive week. And if Kupp is double-covered, he might achieve just that during the sixty minutes on Thursday night.

The Pick: Demarcus Robinson Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+300)

Best Same Game Parlay Picks for Saints vs Rams Week 16: 3-Leg Parlay Pick (+1100)

Total Points

Leg 1: Over 45.5 Points (-110)

Spread Bet

Leg 2: New Orleans Saints +4.5 (-125)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

Leg 3: Demarcus Robinson to score anytime (+300)

Odds are subject to change*

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