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Chargers vs. Raiders Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Week 15

Moneyline: Los Angeles Chargers +135, Las Vegas Raiders -163
Spread: Chargers +3 (-110), Raiders -3 (-110)
Total: Over/Under 34.5 points

NFL Schedule Week 15 – Game Info

2023 NFL Regular Season Game
Los Angeles Chargers (5-8) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (5-8)
Date: Thursday Dec. 14
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nev.
TV Channel: Prime Video
Live Stream: FuboTV

The Week 15 edition of Thursday Night Football takes us out West for a matchup between two struggling AFC teams. The Los Angeles Chargers travel to Las Vegas to take on their AFC West Division rivals, the Raiders, at Allegiant Stadium. Both teams come into this game at 5-8, but only one will emerge with the 6-8 record that will at least give it a slim chance at making the playoffs.

Both the Chargers and Raiders have faced challenges this season, and crucial coaching decisions loom at the end of the year for both. Thursday's game is layered with multiple storylines, so let's delve into them and make our picks before kickoff.

Chargers at Raiders Preview

Last Thursday night, NFL fans were treated to a showdown between second-string quarterbacks Bailey Zappe of the New England Patriots and Mitch Trubisky of the Pittsburgh Steelers. This week brings another such matchup that features the Chargers’ Easton Stick against the Raiders’ Aidan O’Connell. The NFL isn’t necessarily getting its biggest stars into the spotlight for these prime-time games, but this one involves plenty of important storylines.

The loss of injured Chargers No. 1 quarterback Justin Herbert for the remainder of the season will likely make it impossible for this Los Angeles team to reach the playoffs or go on a run if it does get there. The truth, however, is that the Chargers weren’t exactly playing like a playoff team even with Herbert on the field.

Los Angeles narrowly squeaked past the struggling Patriots just a week before Herbert got hurt -- securing a 6-0 victory at Gillette Stadium. Despite its relative lack of excitement, that game should not have been as close as it turned out to be.

Herbert hasn’t had the weapons he’d hoped to have this season, and wide receiver Keenan Allen has proven to be the only reliable target on offense. The rest of the receiving corps has not come through for the Chargers. Mike Williams went down in Week 3, Josh Palmer has been in and out of the lineup, and first-round draft pick Quentin Johnston has been hit-and-miss all year with an inconsistent performance.

The result has been a very underwhelming offense that should be performing at a playoff level based on the contract it recently gave to its QB. Despite adding Kellen Moore as the team’s offensive coordinator, things have seemed off for the Chargers, and a lackluster contribution from their defense certainly isn't helping matters.

Los Angeles head coach Brandon Staley has come under fire this season for his play-calling and execution on defense. When he came over from the Rams, Staley was hailed as a defensive mastermind, but the Chargers’ defense has unfortunately been one of the league’s worst so far in 2023.

That defense currently ranks 29th in the NFL for passing yards allowed -- conceding nearly 270 per game. Los Angeles also ranks 29th in total yardage allowed, giving up just over 375 yards per game. Unless the Chargers can quickly regain momentum heading into 2024, Staley might find himself out of a job by the end of the year. This makes the team’s Thursday night divisional matchup in Las Vegas a crucial, must-win situation, even though the playoffs seem all but out of reach at the moment.

Offseason changes will also likely be in the cards for the Las Vegas Raiders. Interim head coach Antonio Pierce now holds a 2-3 record, and while his players love him, a potential snub from the front office wouldn’t be the first time an interim coach has been overlooked when the Raiders had to decide on a new full-time coach.

After the franchise fired Jon Gruden in 2021, Rich Bissacia took over for 12 games. He went 7-5 and gained the respect of the entire locker room in the process. He wrote handwritten letters to each of his players at the end of the season, and those players were lobbying for him to get the job on a permanent basis heading into 2022. Instead, the team hired Josh McDaniels, and we all know how that turned out.

Pierce is auditioning for a full-time job over the remaining four games of this season, but he has his work cut out for him, thanks to a depleted roster and an offense that struggled its last time out.

The Raiders were shut out at home by the Minnesota Vikings in an extremely defensive 3-0 loss last Sunday. Las Vegas struggled to run the football, as running back Josh Jacobs was the top rusher with only 34 yards. Meanwhile, quarterback Aidan O’Connell threw for 171 yards and an interception in that game.

Like his current head coach, O’Connell is auditioning for a full-time job next season. If he shows enough promise, there’s a chance the Raiders will decide against drafting a quarterback in the first round and instead allow O’Connell to have a full season as their No. 1 QB next year. O’Connell will have a good chance to prove his worth this week against the Chargers’ defense, but he will need to find more consistency in his game if the Raiders want to win.

The other major headline this week is the Raiders’ loss of Jacobs, who suffered a quad injury in last Sunday's game. He is expected to miss the Thursday game after a short week of practice and will instead aim to get back in time for a Week 16 game against the Kansas City Chiefs.

Chargers vs. Raiders Predictions and Pick

I anticipate a low-scoring matchup between two teams that collectively put up only seven points in their most recent games. Last Sunday, the Raiders were shut out by the Minnesota Vikings, and the Chargers could only muster seven points against the Broncos in a disappointing 24-7 home loss.

The only sticking point here is the poor performance of the Chargers’ defense, but I don’t expect to see Las Vegas QB Aidan O’Connell and the Raiders put up more than 17 points, especially with running back Josh Jacobs out.

Chargers quarterback Easton Stick had thrown one pass in the NFL prior to coming into last weekend’s against the Broncos, and he will now get his first career start on the road against the Raiders. That’s a hostile environment for any QB, and his inexperience will certainly be a factor here. 

I like the under for the game since I don’t expect many fireworks from either team on Thursday night. It's worth noting that I called the under in last Thursday’s game, but New England quarterback Bailey Zappe's impressive performance caught me off guard and blew that bet out of the water. Nevertheless, this week, I'm sticking with the same prediction.

The Pick: Under 34.5 Points (-110)

The Raiders seem to be in a much better position to win this game, and that's bad news for Chargers head coach Brandon Staley’s future. Los Angeles gave up 24 points to Denver at home last weekend, and it could have been a lot more if only Broncos wide receiver Jerry Jeudy had remembered to bring his hands to the game.

Chargers QB Justin Herbert's absence doesn’t account for the dismal performance of his team’s defense this year, and Staley’s already hot seat could start to steam if he loses this one to a divisional rival.

I have the Raiders to winning a close one, with Las Vegas defensive end Maxx Crosby playing a key role in disorienting quarterback Easton Stick and the Chargers offense throughout the game.

The Pick: Las Vegas Raiders Moneyline (-163)

Best NFL Player-Prop Bets

Aidan O’Connell

Las Vegas quarterback Aidan O’Connell has been impressive at times this season, especially when one considers that he’s a rookie who was taken with a mid-round draft pick and has been forced into a starting role much sooner than any NFL observer would have anticipated. Even during a poor performance against the Vikings last Sunday, O’Connell still managed to put up 171 passing yards, and the Minnesota defense, run by first-year defensive coordinator Brian Flores, has been underrated this year.

This week, O’Connell gets to play against one of the worst passing defenses in football, and that means this is the kind of game that wide receiver Davante Adams could take over with 10-plus catches for 120-plus yards.

I’m expecting to see one of O’Connell’s best performances of the season against the Chargers on Thursday. Los Angeles just allowed Denver’s Russell Wilson to throw for 224 yards and two touchdowns, and I like O’Connell to get over the 200-yard mark here, too.

The Pick: Aidan O’Connell Over 204.5 Passing Yards (-120)

Hunter Renfrow

While most people will be looking for a big game from Las Vegas wide receiver Davante Adams, I see his fellow receiver Hunter Renfrow as a bit of a sleeper in that he could have a very strong performance here. Renfow is back in the offensive picture now that former head coach Josh McDaniels has departed, and he has had two good games over his last three.

Renfrow has been around the 40-yard mark in receiving in each of his last three games, with a low of 38 yards and a season-high 46 last weekend against the Vikings. He should be able to get loose in the middle of the field against this Chargers defense, and I have a feeling that the 25.5-yard line will be a breeze. 

The Pick: Hunter Renfrow Over 25.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Best Same-Game Parlay Picks for Chargers vs. Raiders Week 15: 4-Leg Parlay Pick (+1000)

Total Points

Leg 1: Under 34.5 Points (-110)

Moneyline

Leg 2: Las Vegas Raiders (-170)

Receiving Yards

Leg 3: Hunter Renfrow 30+ Receiving Yards (+100)

Passing Yards Leg 4: Aidan O’Connell 200+ Passing Yards (-135)

Odds are subject to change*  

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