Bills vs Bengals Predictions, Odds, Picks, Props and SGP (+265)
Alex Buck makes his picks and predictions for Bills vs Bengals in Week 9 of the 2023 NFL season.
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Best Same-Game Parlay Picks for Bills vs Bengals Week 9: 2-Leg Parlay Pick (+265)
Leg 2: Over 49.5 points (-120)
NFL SGP @(+265): (Bet $100 to Win $365). Get the best odds at Betway Sportsbook
NFL Schedule Week 9 – Game info - Bills at Bengals
2023 NFL Regular Season Game
Buffalo Bills (5-3) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (4-3)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 5
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Venue: Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio
TV Channel: NBC
Live Stream: FuboTV
The NFL’s Week 9 slate is an excellent one, and its Sunday night showdown between two AFC juggernauts could be the best game of all. The Buffalo Bills head to Paycor Stadium looking for revenge against the Bengals team that knocked them out of last season’s playoffs. It will be a quarterback duel between Cincinnati’s Joe Burrow and Buffalo’s Josh Allen, and it promises to offer plenty of fireworks.
The Bengals currently sit at the bottom of the AFC North standings, but they might just be the team with more confidence heading into this game. Cincinnati is on a three-game winning streak, and Burrow’s return to health makes the Bengals a completely different team from the one that started the season. Cincinnati swept aside the 49ers last week and will be looking to make a statement with a massive AFC win on Sunday night.
The Bills also enter this game coming off a victory, but Buffalo doesn’t have as much momentum. After jumping out to a 3-1 record to start the season, the Bills have split their last four games, including concerning losses to the Patriots and Jaguars. Buffalo’s 24-18 win over Tampa Bay last Thursday night settled some nerves, and it was good to see Allen back to the peak of his powers, but can these Bills get it done as underdogs in Cincinnati?
Bills vs. Bengals Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Week 9
Moneyline: Buffalo Bills +110, Cincinnati Bengals -140
Spread: Bills +2.5 (-110), Bengals -2.5 (-120)
Total: Over/Under 49.5 points
Bills at Bengals Preview
When one considers the troubles that Buffalo has had in recent weeks, it is hard to look beyond the Bills’ injuries on the defensive side of the ball. Linebacker Matt Milano and cornerback Tre’Davious White had been cornerstones of one of the best defenses in the league. With both studs now out of the lineup, life has been much harder for Buffalo’s defense.
All but one of the current regulars in the Bills secondary are giving up a passer rating of over 90, which could spell trouble when Buffalo goes against a fully healthy Joe Burrow on Sunday. The Bengals QB has an embarrassment of riches to target. Wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase is enjoying another dominant season -- admirably supported by Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd. Even Trenton Irwin and Andrei Iosivas are chipping in with big plays. That’s bad news for a Bills secondary that is much less intimidating without White, a former First Team All-Pro selection.
Milano’s absence is also noticeable. The Bills are giving up 4.8 yards per carry to opposing rushers, which is better than only two other NFL teams. The hard-hitting linebacker was a focal point of his team’s defense, and he leaves a gaping hole in terms of skill and leadership. Bengals RB Joe Mixon is coming off a strong game against the 49ers, so keeping him quiet will be one way for the Bills to unsettle a humming Bengals offense.
Burrow was elite in his team’s 31-17 victory last Sunday at San Francisco. He completed 28 of 32 pass attempts and proved his health by rushing for 43 yards. The Bengals might have had a rough start to their 2023 season, but the rest of the league should know by now that this Cincinnati team is here to contend.
Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen is also coming off one of his best games of the season. He threw for 324 yards and two touchdowns, with an additional 41 rushing yards, against Tampa Bay last Thursday night. Tight end Dawson Knox is on Injured Reserve, so the Bills got everyone involved in the offense against the Bucs. The strategy paid off as wide receivers Khalil Shakir, Gabe Davis, tight end Dalton Kincaid and, of course, star receiver Stefon Diggs all had productive days.
Everyone knows Davis can take over a game from time to time, but the strong showings from Shakir, who had 92 yards on six catches, and Kincaid, who had 65 yards and a touchdown, were very promising. More weapons for Allen spells bad news for everyone else.
Buffalo will really have to be on its game. The Bengals’ secondary has been excellent in recent weeks, and Cincinnati's pass rushers are no joke. Defensive ends Sam Hubbard and Trey Hendrickson have already racked up 12 sacks between them, and their presence can go a long way toward nullifying any threat posed by Allen.
One area the Bills could look to attack is the middle of the field with rookie tight end Kincaid. He has been brilliant ever since Knox went on IR. Kincaid scored his first career touchdown in Week 8, and he now faces a Bengals defense that ranks 31st in the league when it comes to dealing with tight ends. San Francisco’s George Kittle took advantage of that fact by catching nine passes for 149 yards against the Bengals last week, so look for Kincaid to be busy.
Another area to watch for is how much Allen gets involved in the Bills’ running game. He rushed for 41 yards and a touchdown last week after not topping 20 yards in his four previous games. The Bengals just allowed 49ers QB Brock Purdy to run for 57 yards, and it is fair to say that Purdy is not known for his running the ball as well as Allen.
Bills vs. Bengals Predictions and Picks
What a brilliant game this should be. It could go either way, but I feel more confident in picking the home team to win here. The Bills have had their issues lately, and it just feels as though the Bengals have rounded into the more polished team at this point in the season.
Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati passing attack look lethal, and I like the defense to do enough to satisfy the home crowd. Since the spread is so narrow, I am more than happy to take the Bengals to cover.
The Pick: Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 (-110)
In games such as this one, you don't want to be taking the under. The Bengals match up nicely against the Bills' defense, and I expect receivers Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins to have strong performances against the Buffalo secondary.
Both teams’ rushing attacks have favorable matchups as well. In terms of yards allowed per carry, the Bills and Bengals ranks 30th and 31st in the NFL. This should keep both defenses honest and allow a free-flowing game of offensive playmaking. The over is the best bet here.
The Pick: Over 49.5 points (-110)
Best NFL Player-Prop Bets: Bills vs. Bengals
It’s time for a Dalton Kincaid blow-up game. Buffalo’s rookie tight end has been impressive lately -- showing off his good hands and incredible agility against the Buccaneers last Thursday night. The Bengals are the NFL’s second-worst team when it comes to defending against tight ends, and, in a high-scoring game, Kincaid should see plenty of action. A 37.5-yard line is a gift, and I will gladly accept it.
Another player’s yardage total stands out as particularly generous in this game. Bengals receiver Tee Higgins will surely be able to hit the over on his line of 48.5 receiving yards. As mentioned, almost all the Buffalo defensive backs are giving up a passer rating of over 90, which should mean a productive day for Bengals QB Joe Burrow. Ja’Marr Chase will always get his receptions, but I think a 48.5 yardage mark for Higgins is far too low. I am very confident about this one.
Odds are subject to change*
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