Cardinals vs Browns Predictions, Odds, Picks, Props and SGP (+1000)
Alex Buck makes his picks and predictions for Cardinals at Browns in Week 9 of the 2023 NFL season.
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Best Same-Game Parlay Picks for Cardinals vs Browns Week 9: 3-Leg Parlay Pick (+1000)
Leg 1: Cleveland Browns -8 (-110)
Leg 2: Under 37.5 (-110)
NFL SGP @(+1000): (Bet $100 to Win $1100). Get the best odds at Betway Sportsbook
NFL Schedule Week 9 – Game info
2023 NFL Regular Season Game
Arizona Cardinals (1-7) vs. Cleveland Browns (4-3)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 5
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium in Cleveland, Ohio
TV Channel: CBS
Live Stream: FuboTV
The plucky Arizona Cardinals team that started the season well has disappeared in recent weeks. Scoring 24 points in a home loss to Baltimore last Sunday was a good effort, but Arizona is now 1-7 and isn’t challenging opponents in the way it was able to earlier this year. The only prize the Cardinals seem likely to achieve is the No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, so nobody should be holding out hope for a dramatic turnaround despite starting quarterback Kyler Murray’s imminent return.
The Cleveland Browns also have question marks at the quarterback position. Deshaun Watson, who hasn’t played a full game since Sept. 24, has been back at practice this week, but that hardly guarantees his return to the field on Sunday. Even if he is able to play, his performance when healthy has been far from impressive. Backup quarterback PJ Walker has been doing an admirable job during Watson’s absence, but there is no doubt that the Browns will go back to Watson once he is ready.
Sitting in a three-way tie for second place in the AFC North, the Browns still have to like their chances in this division. Cleveland is up against it, however, because the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens both look like true Super Bowl contenders. Thankfully, this week’s game against the Cardinals, on paper at least, offers the opportunity to notch another win. Is there anything the Cardinals can do to make life tricky for their hosts?
Cardinals vs. Browns Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Week 9
Moneyline: Arizona Cardinals +290, Cleveland Browns -350
Spread: Cardinals +8 -110, Browns -8 -110
Total: Over/Under 37.5 points
Cardinals at Browns Preview
A battle of backup quarterbacks could be in store for fans this weekend, since Cleveland’s PJ Walker is expected to face off against Arizona rookie Clayton Tune, a fifth-round draft pick in 2023. While Walker has already helped his team defeat the 49ers and Colts this year, Tune has completed only one pass in the NFL -- a solid 4-yard connection to Michael Wilson, for anyone interested in those details. It is very difficult to know what to expect from Tune, but making his professional debut against the elite Browns defense doesn’t bode well for the rookie.
Cleveland’s secondary is stacked, and it offers opposing QBs the NFL’s lowest completion percentage. Of course, not all that success can be attributed to just the Browns’ cornerbacks and safeties, because defensive end Myles Garrett has chipped in some production of his own. The behemoth on Cleveland’s D-line has already recorded 8.5 sacks and forced four fumbles this year. He is making a solid case for the NFL’s Defensive Player of the Year award and is a weekly nightmare for opposing offensive linemen.
It is hard to see Tune being able to produce against the Cleveland defense. This will be a true baptism of fire, which helps to explain the lopsided nature of the spread for Sunday. If Arizona starting quarterback Kyler Murray, who tore his ACL last season, manages to return, he would be facing a brutal matchup for his first game back. Even if Murray plays, I don’t see him moving the ball well either.
To help their quarterback out, the Cardinals might resort to running the ball as much as possible. The only problem is that James Conner, their starting running back, remains on IR. That leaves undrafted rookie Emari Demercado, who has shown flashes of great potential since taking over the job. However, finding room against this Browns defense will be a whole new challenge for him.
When the Browns have the football, I would also expect them to offer a heavy dose of rushing. They ran the ball 40 times against the Seahawks last week, giving running backs Jerome Ford, Kareem Hunt, and Pierre Strong at least nine carries apiece. Cleveland runs a lot to make the most of its excellent offensive line and hide its QB as much as possible.
Cleveland quarterback PJ Walker completed less than 50 percent of his passes and threw two interceptions last week. Turnovers have been an unfortunate part of his game. He has been picked off a total of five times in the three games he has played this season. Those interceptions are part of the team’s NFL-leading total of 17 turnovers. The Browns are heavy favorites in this one, but they still need to focus on controlling the football. One too many fumbles or interceptions could be just the lifeline that the Cardinals need to register an unlikely win.
Despite all the turnovers, Walker has had a good connection with No. 1 receiver Amari Cooper. There was a quiet game for them two weeks ago against the Colts, but Cooper and Walker combined for 197 yards against the Seahawks and 49ers. On Sunday, this duo will go up against a Cardinals pass defense that ranks near the bottom of the league, according to most metrics. That suggests yet another big Walker-Cooper game could be on the way.
Another candidate for a big game this week is Browns tight end David Njoku, whose usage has ticked up quite a bit over the past two weeks. In the games against Indianapolis and Seattle, Njoku had 17 total targets and posted season-highs for yardage in both (54 against the Colts, followed by 77 vs. Seattle). Those 131 yards, plus his touchdown last weekend, suggest that the Browns are looking to get Njoku more involved. Cleveland should post a healthy number of points in this one, and seeing Njoku on the scoresheet wouldn’t come as a surprise.
Cardinals vs. Browns Predictions and NFL Picks Week 9
If we assume that Clayton Tune will be Arizona’s starter, then I just don’t see how the Cardinals are going to put up any points. The Browns' defense has been elite this year, making life difficult for some of the league’s best quarterbacks. Tune would be bound to struggle in his first NFL start.
It is also hard to see the Cardinals having success on the defensive side of the ball. Cleveland quarterback PJ Walker is not a daunting opponent, but he is capable of finding his playmakers, and the Browns have too much in both their passing and rushing attacks for Arizona to stand a chance. I will be taking Cleveland to cover.
The Pick: Cleveland Browns -8 (-110)
I will be taking the under in this game. If Cleveland’s Deshaun Watson and Arizona’s Kyler Murray both end up playing quarterback, then I would be much less confident, but with Clayton Tune and PJ Walker looking more likely, I like the under. Tune is in a horrendous spot for his first professional start, and I suspect that reaching a double-digit point total will be a real challenge for his offense. Walker has enough playmakers to score for the Browns, but his own drawbacks should prevent Cleveland from getting too far ahead of Arizona.
The Pick: Under 37.5 (-110)
Best NFL Player Prop Bets for Cardinals vs. Browns
The Cardinals have allowed opposing quarterbacks a very generous 70.7 percent completion rate this season – the NFL’s third-worst defensive performance in that category. Cleveland quarterback PJ Walker is not a star, but he has hooked up well with wide receiver Amari Cooper in his three starts, and Cooper is simply too good for these Cardinals cornerbacks. The Browns' offense should run through their running backs and Cooper this week. I expect him to blow past his line.
The Pick: Amari Cooper over 57 receiving yards
Odds are subject to change*
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