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Cardinals vs. Steelers Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Week 13

Moneyline: Arizona Cardinals +200, Pittsburgh Steelers -250
Spread: Cardinals +5.5 (-110), Steelers -5.5 (-110)
Total: Over/Under 41.5 points

NFL Schedule Week 13 – Game info - Cardinals at Steelers

2023 NFL Regular Season Game
Arizona Cardinals (2-10) vs. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-4)
Date: Sunday, Dec. 3
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pa.
TV Channel: CBS
Live Stream: FuboTV

The Arizona Cardinals have a big challenge on their hands when they visit Pittsburgh on Sunday in Week 13. At 2-10, the Cardinals are among the worst teams in the league, but quarterback Kyler Murray’s return has provided just enough playmaking ability to all but remove them from the market for one of the 2024 NFL Draft’s highly-touted quarterback prospects.

Arizona’s focus is now on assessing Murray and hopefully seeing enough to convince management that the 26-year-old remains the future of this franchise.

The Cardinals will be facing a Steelers team that appears well on its way to yet another winning season under 17th-year head coach Mike Tomlin. Catching the AFC North-leading Baltimore Ravens is going to be tough, but Pittsburgh is certainly in line to reach the playoffs. The Steelers’ 7-4 record currently has them in the AFC’s fifth playoff spot, and this matchup with the Cardinals hardly threatens that position.

Cardinals at Steelers Preview

Despite averaging just 16.5 points per game, the Pittsburgh Steelers are sitting pretty in the AFC playoff hunt. They are currently the best of the wild-card level teams (i.e. those not leading a division) and look set for yet another winning season under head coach Mike Tomlin. Things appear to be getting even better, too. Last Sunday’s game was the team’s first without fired offensive coordinator Matt Canada, and it just happened to see the offense reach 400 total yards for the first time in 59 games.

Steelers quarterback Kenny Pickett threw for a season-high 278 yards – the second-highest total of his NFL career -- in last Sunday’s 16-10 win at Cincinnati. He hooked up with a range of receivers, but it was tight end Pat Freiermuth who stole the show. After missing much of the season with an injury, Freiermuth caught nine passes for 120 yards in a reminder of how important he is to the offense.

He could have another big day on Sunday, because the Cardinals’ defense ranks 31st in the league when it comes to passer rating posted by opposing QBs. Arizona is also giving up the highest completion percentage in the NFL, so Pickett and Co. have a real opportunity to build on last week’s performance.

It wasn’t just the passing game that came through for Pittsburgh at Cincinnati. Running back Najee Harris posted an impressive 6.6 yards per carry, resulting in 99 yards and a TD. He shattered any sense that Jaylen Warren is the only explosive playmaker in the team’s backfield and proved that the Steelers boast a very useful 1-2 punch. This week, they go up against a Cardinals defense that allowed the Rams to rush for 228 yards on an average of 6.9 yards per carry last week. Surely, another 400-yard day is on the horizon for Pittsburgh at home.

While the Cardinals struggle to create pressure or stop anything on defense, the Steelers boast one of the best defensive playmakers in the league. Pittsburgh linebacker T.J. Watt leads the NFL in sacks with 13.5 and has recorded the league’s second-most quarterback hits. Arizona quarterback Kyler Murray has shown flashes of excellence in his return to the field, but a date with Watt is not something that excites NFL quarterbacks.

Murray's sack numbers have gone up each week, culminating in a four-sack day against the Rams last Sunday. Watt has his eyes trained on winning the NFL Defensive Player of the Year award, so he will look to have a big performance in this game.

When Murray is able to avoid the Steelers’ pass rush, he will be tasked with scoring on a defense that has held opponents under 21 points for seven games in a row. The Pittsburgh secondary gives up the NFL’s third-lowest completion percentage to opposing quarterbacks, but it ranks only 25th in passing yards conceded per game because the Steelers have been susceptible to the odd big play.

Wide receiver Marquise Brown is Murray’s main downfield target. The two had an excellent connection last year but have yet to show any sign of that chemistry this season. Brown’s 88 yards vs. the Rams were promising, and one wonders if he might have a bigger day this week. Arizona will need that if it plans on picking up what would be only its third win of the season.

The other major player in the Cardinals' offense is Trey McBride. The second-year tight end has emerged as a dynamic weapon since Zach Ertz went onto IR. Ertz is no longer with the team after being waived this week, so McBride is clearly a focal point of the offense and has the freedom to be creative with his routes. Murray trusts the young tight end, and it is easy to see McBride as one of the NFL’s most exciting players at that position. Can he and Brown propel the Cardinals past the 21-point mark that has eluded the Steelers’ last seven opponents?

Cardinals vs. Steelers Predictions and NFL Picks Week 13

Quarterback Kyler Murray definitely brings some juice to an Arizona team that was not impressive during the season’s early stages, but there is still not enough on this roster to help the Cardinals grind out a win. The Steelers moved the ball well last week at Cincinnati and could have put up more than the 16 points that were enough to win.

The deciding factor in this game will likely be Arizona’s defense. Whether through the air or on the ground, the Cardinals can’t seem to stop anything. Even if their offense surprises us by putting up points, this defense won’t be able to close out the game, and Pittsburgh should have no problem moving to 8-4.

The Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 (-110)

The Steelers finally put up over 400 yards of offense last week, but it still resulted in just 16 points on the scoreboard, which is bang-on as far as their average this year. Pittsburgh should rack up the yards again this weekend, but I still believe the Steelers’ offense is rather limited by having Kenny Pickett at quarterback, and that will impact the number of points they score

Pickett has thrown only six touchdown passes on the year, and I don’t expect him to turn into vintage Ben Roethlisberger just because of a weaker opponent. Since the Steelers have held their last seven opponents under 21 points, I see this game as a place to bet on the under.

The Pick: Under 41.5 Points (-115)
Best NFL Player-Prop Bets: Cardinals vs. Steelers

Najee Harris

After Steelers running back Jaylen Warren exploded for 129 yards in Week 11, everyone thought that Pittsburgh would award Warren its primary running back responsibilities. However, Warren averaged only 3.8 yards per carry last week against the Bengals, and it was fellow running back Najee Harris who stole the headlines in averaging 6.6 yards per carry. Harris is still getting the greater number of carries, but his yardage line is lower than Warren’s this week.

Harris at 51.5 yards is a low mark and one that I will be very happy on which to take the over. The Steelers are a run-first team, and the Cardinals just gave up over 220 yards on 6.9 yards per carry last week. Harris and Warren should both see considerable action, but an over on Harris’ mark of 51.5 yards is the more appealing wager.

The Pick: Najee Harris over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-125)

George Pickens

Last week, members of the Steelers’ coaching staff said that they wanted to get wide receiver George Pickens more involved in the offense, and this week’s matchup with the Cardinals is the perfect opportunity to do that. Arizona is giving up the NFL’s highest completion percentage to opposing QBs, and Pickens operates further down the field than teammate Diontae Johnson. He should be given a few deep targets, and it will only take a couple of connections to surpass his mark of 44.5 yards. This over looks very likely to hit.

The Pick: George Pickens Over 44.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Best Same-Game Parlay Picks for Cardinals vs. Steelers Week 13: 3-Leg Parlay Pick (+400)

Spread Bet

Leg 1: Pittsburgh Steelers -5.5 (-110)

Total Points

Leg 2: Under 41.5 Points (-115)

Receiving Yards

Leg 3: Najee Harris over 515 Rushing Yards (-125)

Odds are subject to change*

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