NFL betting picks: 5 best player props for Week 11
Zach Brunner picks out five NFL player prop betting picks for the best of the Week 11 action.
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Samuel has been the best player on the 49ers’ offense this season. The 49ers are finding every way possible to get the ball in his hands, as shown by his five carries last week.
Lead ball carrier Elijah Mitchell is banged up, and while the 49ers have plenty of other running backs, Samuel is their best weapon, so look for him to touch the ball out of the backfield again in this game.
In the same game, we will take the over for Arnold’s receiving yards. Arnold is a mismatch for defenses, as the former wide receiver is larger than safeties and faster than linebackers.
He is clearly a large part of this offense, totaling over 60 receiving yards in three straight games and four of the past five.
Tagovailoa came off the sideline to play well last week. Facing a terrible Jets team on Sunday, the quarterback should keep the momentum rolling. Tagovailoa has played four full games this season and threw the ball at least 39 times in three of those.
The Jets give up a 69.3 per cent completion rate, which is the fourth-worst in the NFL. Given the amount the Dolphins should throw, Tagovailoa should complete at least 23 passes.
While Uzomah’s role is inconsistent in this Cincinnati offense, he has a good opportunity to go over this line. In only nine games, the Raiders have given up the second-most yards to tight ends this season (655).
Uzomah has three or more targets in five of his past six games, so he should certainly see some looks this Sunday. Given Las Vegas’ inability to cover tight ends, Uzomah should be able to convert these targets into a few nice gains.
Mahomes returned to form last week, posting a huge performance against the Raiders. However Las Vegas’ defensive strategy was puzzling to say the least. I’m not sure who thought playing man defense against Tyreek Hill was a good idea.
Anyways, Mahomes will continue to play aggressive, somewhat careless football. He always gives defenses a couple of plays in which they could pick him off. Combined with Trevon Diggs gambling on every route to get an interception, and Mahomes should throw at least one, as he has in seven of his 10 games this season.