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Cleveland Browns at GREEN BAY PACKERS (-7.5) -110

Lambeau Field on Christmas? It’s going to be a magical atmosphere in Green Bay, WI on Saturday, and this mess of a Browns team isn’t going to overcome that.

Aaron Rodgers is looking like he could win back-to-back MVPs, while Baker Mayfield barely looks like he can finish a game. The Packers are 11-2 against the spread with Rodgers at quarterback this season, and 6-0 at home.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (+1) at Arizona Cardinals -110

The Colts have a lot of momentum right now, winning four out of their past five games. A big reason for that is the dominating play of running back Jonathan Taylor, who has worked himself into the MVP conversation. The Cardinals’ run defense isn’t great, allowing the fifth-most yards per carry (4.6).

The Colts have been great on the road this season, owning a 5-1 record against the spread. The Cardinals, however, have a 2-4 record against the spread at home.

LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-10) at Houston Texans -110

I’m not sure if the Chargers are embarrassed by their loss last week, but they should be. They had no business losing that game to the Chiefs, and if they didn’t let analytics make their decisions for them, they would have won.

But now they have had extra days to prepare for this game against a terrible Texans team. Houston has lost its last four home games by an average of 18.5 points. The Chargers have also been pretty good on the road, with a 4-2 record against the spread.

DETROIT LIONS (+6) at Atlanta Falcons -120

Detroit is coming off a win against the Cardinals, who were then the top team in the NFL. The Lions’ confidence is at an all-time high, and it’s clear this team is still together and fighting well despite their record.

This week, they play a Falcons team that is on their level. Atlanta has also been terrible at home, with an 0-5 record against the spread in their own stadium. Even if the Lions don’t win outright, they will keep it close.

Washington Football Team at DALLAS COWBOYS (-10.5) -110

While the Cowboys have been largely disappointing lately, they still have an 11-3 record against the spread this season. They also beat Washington by seven just a couple of weeks ago. Since then, Washington has been hit by COVID.

They also have a slightly shorter week, since they just played on Tuesday night. With some Washington players still likely to be out for much of the week, it’s clear Dallas has a massive advantage in this game.