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NFL Schedule Week 17 - Bills @ Bengals

2022 NFL Regular Season Game
Buffalo Bills (12-3) vs Cincinnati Bengals (11-4)
Date: Monday 2nd January
Time: 8:30 pm EST
Venue: Paycor Stadium - Cincinnati, Ohio
TV Channel: ESPN
Live Stream: FuboTV/NFL+
Live Radio: Sirius XM

Bills vs Bengals Preview

The undisputed game of the week will kick off at 8:30 pm on Monday. The Cincinnati Bengals host the Buffalo Bills at the Paycor Stadium for a spectacle that could cause a real quake at the top of the AFC Playoff picture.

Buffalo currently holds the top spot with a 12-3 record, equal with the Kansas City Chiefs but strong-arming them out of the top spot with a head-to-head advantage. The Bengals are chasing their tail at 11-4, and a win over Josh Allen and the Bills on primetime would result in them leapfrogging Buffalo into a higher seed.

The Bengals are undefeated in their last seven, and the Bills have been on a run of their own too, notching six wins on the bounce. The winning form is going to come to an end for one of these AFC giants in Week 17, and that losing team could find themselves out of reach for that all-important number-one seed.

Bills vs Bengals Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Week 17

Moneyline: Buffalo Bills -115, Cincinnati Bengals -110
Spread: Buffalo Bills -1, Cincinnati Bengals +1
Total: Over/Under 49.5

NFL Playoff Scenarios

This AFC battle has all the makeup of an instant classic on Monday Night Football. These two franchises are both in contention for the AFC Championship title and a rightful place in the Super Bowl in February. You can't help but feel this matchup between Josh Allen and Joe Burrow could be something we see repeated in just a few weeks when the stakes are even higher.

While that might be possible, the ability to earn a very important advantage ahead of the postseason kicking off is very tangible. If Buffalo can knock off the Bengals they will remain the No. 1 seed. The only obstacle then standing in the way of the wildcard bye is a Week 18 visit from Mac Jones and the Patriots.

Cincinnati may not directly jump into the No. 1 spot, but beating the Bills would see them jump ahead with an equal record and a head-to-head advantage. That outcome does open the door for the Kansas City Chiefs to take sole ownership of the one seed should they beat the Broncos in their Week 17 home game.

In all likely cases, Mahomes and the Chiefs should win out for the rest of the year. The Denver Broncos have just fired their head coach and have been a total dumpster fire this season. KC will then travel to play the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 18, who have effectively given up the chase for the year, benched Derek Carr, and announced Jarrett Stidham as the starter.

The Chiefs have the easiest run into the postseason without a doubt, and the stakes are considerably higher for the Cincinnati Bengals. Let's not forget that they are just one game ahead of the Baltimore Ravens and are yet to wrap up the division title. A loss against Buffalo and a Ravens win against the Steelers would set up a Week 18 game between the two AFC North teams for the division title.

Game Preview

As I mentioned, these two teams have been on a roll. Neither has lost in the last six weeks and both are finding a way to win even if it’s not always the most glamorous of victories.

Buffalo have shown they can lean on their run game when required, whereas the Bengals have been finding the end zone with some of their less likely candidates in recent weeks with so much defensive focus on Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.

Joe Burrow and Josh Allen are second and third respectively in touchdowns thrown this season, with both playing the lead role in an explosive offense. Burrow threw the football 52 times last weekend against the Patriots, the second time he's thrown more than 50 balls in a game this season (Week 1 vs Pittsburgh). It wasn't the Bengals' best game offensively with Burrow completing 40 of his 52 passes for a 77 per cent completion rate, 375 passing yards, and three touchdowns while throwing two interceptions.

Neither quarterback has been shy in the interception department recently. Burrow has thrown four in his last three outings, while Josh Allen threw a couple of ugly ones against the Bears during a sluggish start for Buffalo. While the turnovers haven't been too damaging or cost either team a win, both will be looking to tidy up the errors with post-season football on the horizon. That differential could be the difference between these two giants this weekend.

The Bills' run game has come to life with James Cook seemingly improving week after week and earning his stripes in the lineup. Cook was used sparingly in the first nine weeks, with just one outing of 10+ carries in Week 2, while the rest offered him five or less. In recent weeks Cook has carried the football at least 10 times in three of the Bills last seven meetings, including a 20-touch game against the New England Patriots in early December.

Buffalo have two healthy backs that are complimenting each other well and keeping former Colts running back Nyheim Hines out of the lineup. The Bills traded for Hines before the deadline earlier this season, and in the eight games he’s been active since, he’s managed just 11 touches. With the three-pronged attack of Singletary, Cook, and of course, the ever-threatening Josh Allen, Hines has been surplus to requirements.

Stefon Diggs missed some practice this week with an illness, but Sean McDermott is hopeful for his return ‘sooner rather than later’. Diggs has had another monster year for the Bills, hitting the 100 receptions mark against Chicago at the weekend. Diggs now has 101 catches for 1,325 yards and 10 touchdowns this season, and his fifth 1,000-yard season in a row.

His usage and productivity have however been down compared to earlier games in the season. In two of the Bills last three games Diggs has been almost a non-factor, with three catches for 37 yards against the New York Jets and two catches for 26 yards against the Bears this past weekend. Diggs had six 100+ yard games in the Bills opening nine but has not hit one since, and a lack of targets has caused some head-scratching at times. Fans are questioning offensive play caller Ken Dorsey on the scheming of the team's superstar weapon.

Cincinnati has it pretty good at wide receiver too, and the attention their two stud wideouts are attracting has meant the depth on the roster is getting a shot. Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase have put together another impressive season catching passes from Joe Burrow, and the threat they pose is causing problems for opposition defenses. Trenton Irwin has caught three touchdowns in as many weeks and is becoming a real contributor in a Cole Beasley type role, doing a great job of getting himself open or finding the soft spot in coverage.

One key note for the Bengals will be the loss of right tackle La’el Collins for the season with a torn ACL. Cincinnati will need to move some things around on the offensive line, and rumors are even hinting toward the return of former Bengals legend Andrew Whitworth. The 41-year-old retired after winning the Super Bowl with the Rams and has since been working in the media but hasn't closed the door on padding up once again to help his former franchise in the postseason.

The game is sure to present fireworks with these two teams boasting two of the top five wide receivers in yards per game. Stefon Diggs is hitting 88.3 yards per game while Ja’Marr Chase stands at 87.3. Chase missed four weeks of the season this year with a hip injury but is still just 40 yards shy of the 1,000-yard milestone with two games left to play. Tee Higgins stepped up in a major way in his absence, and having both on the field together creates one of the league's most threatening wide receiver duos.

On the defensive side, both teams have lost a key pass rusher in recent weeks. The Bengals are without Sam Hubbard and the Bills will be without Von Miller after his knee injury turned out to be a torn ACL, ruling him out for the season. While both will be worse off without one of their best men coming off the edge, both teams still possess the talent to trouble the opposition's quarterback. For the Bengals, the need for Trey Hendrickson to come up big is mounting, and Greg Rousseau is also coming into his own for the Buffalo Bills, which could be an uncomfortable matchup considering the loss of the Bengals' starting right tackle.

Both defenses feature in the top seven for run defense. The Cincinnati Bengals proved last week that they are not going to allow teams to run the ball up the gut, silencing Rhamondre Stevenson for a woeful 2.3 yards per carry and eradicating the Patriots game plan as a result. The Bills are equally stubborn, and both teams are allowing less than 110 yards rushing per game.

The outcome on Monday Night Football is just destined to be a shootout between two of the AFC's premium quarterbacks. A sight to behold for the neutrals and a back-and-forth nail-biter for those decked out in the colors of either team.

Bills vs Bengals Predictions and MNF Picks Week 17

The Buffalo Bills are averaging over 400 yards of offense per game, which makes it pretty hard to consider any other outcome than all chips on the Bills Mafia. However, the Bengals' 367 offensive yards aren't all that far off.

Buffalo have played three struggling teams in their last four games. Neither the Jets nor the Patriots have had any consistent success on offense this year, and the Chicago Bears have left Justin Fields out there to fend for himself with no weapons.

The Bills hosted the Miami Dolphins a couple of weeks ago after they'd had two very poor performances on the road, and barely beat them with a last-second field goal. Tua Tagovailoa was able to throw the football and hit his spots, and without enough pressure, Burrow could do the same and a lot worse.

Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals pose a very different level of threat, and in my mind, I think they’re in a better position to win this game.

The Pick: Cincinnati Bengals +1 (-110)

Points! Points, points, points, and more points.

Two of the league's best offenses trading blows under the lights in Cincinnati makes for a beautiful spectacle for football lovers.

While I respect both defenses and what they've been able to do in recent weeks, I can see this one coming close to the 30-point mark for both teams.

The Pick: Over 49.5 Points (-110)

Best Monday Night Football Player Prop Bets Today - Week 17

Joe Burrow is currently -190 to throw at least two touchdowns in the game, while Josh Allen is better valued at -120. At close to evens, I like Josh Allen over 1.5 passing touchdowns here.

Allen has thrown 2+ touchdowns in four of his last five games and will have to trust his arm in this one against a Bengals defense that can be stubborn against the run.

The Pick: Josh Allen Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-120)

I can see Josh Allen running enough in this game to hit his rushing over. The Bengals might be a great run defense, but to me, that's even more reason to run the quarterback to the outside edges and pick up yardage on the ground that way.

I'd expect to see a few read-option plays and Josh Allen scrambling enough to hit the 46.5-yard total.

The Pick: Josh Allen Over 46.5 Rushing Yards (-110)