The Big Game picks: Best bets for Chiefs vs Eagles
Alex Buck makes his picks and predictions for Sunday's Big Game between the Chiefs and Eagles.
Find season-long NFL betting odds on the Betway sportsbook. You'll find all the latest spreads, parlays, totals, NFL prop bets, moneylines, and NFL futures. Or call it how you see it with our live NFL betting in-play. All your NFL betting needs are covered at our online sportsbook.
Visit Betway’s NFL picks page for picks and predictions throughout the regular season.
Super Bowl LVII Schedule - Chiefs vs Eagles
2022-23 Super Bowl LVII
Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles
Date: Sunday 12th February 2023
Time: 6:30 pm EST
Venue: State Farm Stadium, Glendale Arizona
TV Channel: FOX
Live Stream: FuboTV/NFL+
Live Radio: Sirius XM
Chiefs vs Eagles Preview
The stage is set for Super Bowl LVII, with the Philadelphia Eagles and the Kansas City Chiefs facing off in Glendale Arizona on February 12th.
Philadelphia made light work of their opponent once again to advance to the big game, causing debate about the team's level of competition on their path to the Super Bowl. Regardless of opponent, the Eagles have still been one of the most well-rounded teams of the 2022 NFL season, consistently performing well both offensively and defensively as they progressed.
The Kansas City Chiefs took the rematch against Joe Burrow and the Bengals at Arrowhead Stadium to make their third Super Bowl appearance of the Patrick Mahomes era. A dynasty is in the making with three AFC Championship wins in five seasons and five straight championship appearances. Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and the rest of the team now have an opportunity to win another Super Bowl, facing Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles.
Chiefs vs Eagles Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under – Super Bowl LVII Odds
Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs +105, Philadelphia Eagles -125
Spread: Kansas City Chiefs +1.5, Philadelphia Eagles -1.5
Total: Over/Under 51
Odds are subject to change per state*
Super Bowl 57 Game Preview
The Philadelphia Eagles' run to the Super Bowl has become quite the topic of conversation after Sunday’s NFC Championship game against the San Francisco 49ers. The Niners were extremely unlucky to lose quarterback Brock Purdy on their opening drive of the game, meaning fourth-string Josh Johnson was thrust in immediately.
San Francisco suffered losses of Trey Lance and Jimmy Garoppolo during the 2022 season, but discovered a competent quarterback in seventh-round draft pick Purdy. The former Iowa State quarterback had done everything right to help the Niners to the NFC Championship game, but his elbow injury, now confirmed as a torn UCL, was one step too far for San Francisco.
Josh Johnson tried his best but was visibly struggling before a concussion ended his game. The Niners were left without a capable quarterback in the second half, making it difficult to advance to the Super Bowl despite their determination.
As a result, people are questioning whether the Eagles had the simplest journey to the Super Bowl in recent history. They easily defeated the New York Giants 38-7 in the divisional round, with the Giants showing improvement under rookie head coach Brian Daboll but lacking the talent needed for a successful playoff run. The Eagles then easily defeated the quarterback-less 49ers 31-7 and now find themselves in the Super Bowl without facing a challenging playoff opponent.
Of course, none of that is Philadelphia's fault. They earned the No. 1 seed for a dominant regular season campaign and can only beat the opponents put in front of them.
Jalen Hurts only needed to throw for 154 yards against the Niners, and the Eagles still won by 24 points. They controlled the game from the outset by running the ball 44 times and throwing just 24 passes. Philly hasn’t needed to play from behind in the postseason or put together a meaningful drive when it matters the most, and those are the sorts of questions that we now find ourselves asking ahead of Super Bowl LVII.
Can the Eagles string it together if they go behind? How will they fare in a two-minute drill scenario late in the game? What happens if the Chiefs shutdown the Eagles run game and the outcome rests on Jalen Hurts as a pure passer?
All valid questions, but under no circumstances should this Eagles team be discounted or discredited for the season they’ve had and the roster they’ve constructed.
Philly is an excellent team both offensively and defensively in every position category. The offense boasts a dual-threat quarterback, a strong run game, two phenomenal receivers that will beat you one-on-one, and one of the league's best pass catching tight ends.
Defensively, the Eagles have a strong and experienced defensive line that effectively gave the 49ers offensive line a difficult time on Sunday. The performance deserves recognition. The 49ers were able to contain a highly skilled Dallas Cowboys front, enabling Brock Purdy to guide the team, but the Eagles utilized a variety of looks and pressures against San Francisco and dominated the line of scrimmage throughout the game, regardless of who was playing quarterback.
Philly’s secondary is one of the best I’ve seen in recent years. They are able to blanket cover just about anybody and, on their day, they might be one of the hardest secondaries to throw against in the NFL. Howie Roseman has worked wonders in the last couple of years to build a secondary that includes Darius Slay, James Bradberry and CJ Gardner Johnson, all of which were acquired in favorable trades or free agency pickups for the team.
The Eagles' secondary will be crucial in their upcoming game against the talented Patrick Mahomes II and the Kansas City Chiefs. The matchup between the two promises to be a captivating and intriguing spectacle.
Despite a high ankle sprain suffered by Mahomes at the end of the first quarter of the AFC Championship game, Kansas City practically ditched their run game against the Cincinnati Bengals.
The Chiefs ran the ball 20 times for a total of 42 yards, including three Mahomes scrambles. Mahomes then threw the football 43 times, completing 29 passes for 326 yards and two touchdowns.
Kansas City are impeccably smart with their offense. The way they utilize Travis Kelce is exceptional, whether they draw up a play to get him open or simply use him as a decoy to direct traffic away from Mahomes' other reads. Andy Reid is without a doubt an offensive mastermind.
He has his work cut out against this Philadelphia defense, but if anybody can pick their way through a defense it’s Andy Reid and his Chiefs offense.
Patrick Mahomes now has two weeks to get healthier ahead of the Super Bowl, which would feel like more important news had he not just thrown for over 300 yards just one week removed from the high ankle sprain. If he wins a second Super Bowl by the time he’s just 27 years old, the writing is already on the wall for his career.
The Chiefs' five consecutive AFC Championship game appearances, with the first one being Mahomes' debut season as the offense leader, is an outstanding accomplishment. The team has been a consistent contender every year since and journalists are struggling to find new ways to describe this winning team's success when it matters the most.
The Chiefs had ten different pass catchers against the Bengals on Sunday, and it was Marquez Valdes-Scantling who emerged as the game changer on the night. MVS had just one 100+ yard game during the regular season in his first season with the Chiefs, when he caught three passes for 111 yards against the 49ers back in October.
Mahomes has the ability to elevate his teammates and give them the chance to perform at their best. Valdes-Scantling was outstanding when it mattered most, finishing as the team leader in yards as they progressed to the Super Bowl. He made a few crucial catches in traffic deep down the field, helping the Chiefs move into scoring position.
Defensively, there were multiple standouts that will play key roles for the Chiefs if they’re to win their second Super Bowl in four seasons. The defensive line was pummeling Joe Burrow early in the game, making an offensive line that held its own in the Divisional Round look completely inept early in the Conference Championship.
The Bengals made adjustments that slowed the rush, but by that time Joe Burrow had been sacked five times and was being consistently pressured. Chris Jones and the Chiefs line played a great game, and they were helped by a very young secondary holding its own.
The Chiefs lost their most experienced corner in L’Jarius Sneed to a head injury early in the game, leaving rookies and depth players to cover Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and one of the league's best passing offenses. Rookie corners Jaylen Watson and Trent McDuffie did a great job, and they’ll need to perform at a high level again in the Super Bowl against another team with multiple threats in A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith.
Ultimately, these are two very well-rounded rosters, with two great coaching staffs. Can the Eagles withstand the test of the Chiefs on the main stage? They might be being questioned by the footballing world, but the oddsmakers have them as a slight favorite for a reason.
The Chiefs have been here before, Andy Reid has been here before. Does that experience prevail? One thing is for certain, the game is set to be a classic.
Chiefs vs Eagles Predictions and Picks for Super Bowl 2022-23
It’s going to be very interesting to see what Andy Reid comes out with as a game plan against the Philadelphia Eagles defense. They’re strong up front and won’t allow you to run between the tackles easily at all, but they’re also very strong in the secondary. If you were to try and pick a weak point, I would say it’s the middle of the field in front of the safeties.
Philadelphia will need to line up well against Travis Kelce, a role I would expect to see CJ Gardner Johnson in at points during the game.
The Chiefs' secondary is their weakest aspect and for the Eagles to win, Jalen Hurts must rely on A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith to succeed in deep ball matchups. The Eagles will periodically take shots down the field interspersed with RPO plays and numerous crossing routes.
Ultimately, I found myself picking the Chiefs. They will shut down the run and force Jalen Hurts to throw down the field. Joe Mixon was limited to only eight carries for 19 yards with an average of 2.4 yards per carry.
The experience of Andy Reid and the skill of Patrick Mahomes are expected to triumph. Either way, the matchup promises to be excellent and both teams have compelling arguments for why they deserve to win the Lombardi trophy.
The Pick: Kansas City Chiefs Moneyline (+105)
Neither defense is expected to allow 30 points in the Super Bowl, as both are too talented, well-built, and well-rounded. If both defenses can control the run, I believe the under is the right pick here.
The Pick: Under 51 Points (-110)
Best Eagles Player Props for the Super Bowl
Miles Sanders has had 12 or less carries in four of the Eagles last six games, including the win over the Niners in which Philly ran the football 44 times. Sanders had 11 runs for 42 yards and two touchdowns on the night, contributing to a wealth of points for the team but not a lot of yards.
In those last six, Sanders has only cleared 65 rushing yards once, so against a team that just totally nullified Joe Mixon, I don’t expect to see 60+ from Sanders against Kansas City.
The Pick: Miles Sanders Under 55.5 Rushing Yards (125)
Respect for the Chiefs' rookie cornerbacks is due, however, the likelihood of them being beaten deep by either A.J. Brown or DeVonta Smith at least once in this game is high. The Eagles frequently take deep shots to one of their top two receivers multiple times per game, and Jalen Hurts has the freedom to make those shots in the offense.
For the Eagles to challenge the significant offensive yardage of Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs, taking a few shots is necessary. Here's to the successful completion of one of them.
The Pick: Jalen Hurts Longest Completion Over 37.5 Yards (-115)
Excluding the game against the 49ers, which was an anomaly for the Eagles offense as they didn't need to put much effort against a team without a quarterback, DeVonta Smith has consistently been delivering strong performances in recent weeks.
Barring the Niners game, Smith has managed 60+ receiving yards for five games in a row, including a run of three 100+ yard games towards the end of the regular season. Smith gets some good looks on crossing routes and the Eagles deep shots, and he’s becoming a very reliable one on one target.
The Pick: DeVonta Smith Over 62.5 Receiving Yards (-125)
Best Chiefs Player Props for the Super Bowl
On the Chiefs side, I was surprised to see Isiah Pacheco take the lead in receiving running back passes during Sunday's game against the Bengals, surpassing Jerick McKinnon. Rookie RB Pacheco received a season-high six targets, while McKinnon received four for two catches and 17 yards.
McKinnon's usage was significantly reduced with only three touches, and he has yet to surpass 25 yards of production in the playoffs which makes his rushing + receiving line an easy pick for me. Given these numbers, I would expect Pacheco to be the main contributor in the Super Bowl.
The Pick: Jerick McKinnon Under 43.5 Rushing and Receiving Yards (-115)
I no longer anticipate a heavy workload for Isiah Pacheco in the ground game. The Chiefs have a better success rate in the passing game, and it's uncertain if they'll want to risk running between the tackles against the Eagles' strong defensive front.
It's more advantageous for the Chiefs to utilize the running backs in short passing situations, creating mismatches against linebackers. Therefore, I predict that Pacheco will rush for fewer than 52.5 yards.
The Pick: Isiah Pacheco Under 47.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Finally, a bet on the kicker. During the regular season, Harrison Butker averaged 3.15 extra point attempts, successfully making 38 out of 41. The Chiefs will score, as they have the talented combination of Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes, and Butker will be there to put up the points after touchdown. I'm betting on the over, predicting that the Chiefs will reach the endzone three times in the game.
The Pick: Harrison Butker Over 2.5 Extra Points Made (-130)
Related: Alex Buck revelas his 4-leg Super Bowl same game parlay picks (+400) for Chiefs @ Eagles, including Patrick Mahomes passing yards and DeVonta Smith receptions.