NFL picks: Best bets for Week 4
Mike Ortiz Jr. makes his football picks and predictions for Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season, with four best bets for Sunday.
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Browns vs Falcons Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Moneyline: Cleveland Browns -120, Atlanta Falcons +100
Spread: Falcons +1
Total: Over/Under 47.5
Browns vs Falcons Predictions & Picks
Through the first three weeks, the Cleveland Browns and the Atlanta Falcons both rank within the top 10 in points per game this season, and it’s no fluke. Quarterback Jacoby Brissett has developed excellent chemistry with wide receiver Amari Cooper and their one-two punch backfield with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt has been booming.
As for the Atlanta Falcons, their zone-read style offense has been a well-oiled machine this season as tight end Kyle Pitts requires a double-team to at least slow him down and rookie wide receiver Drake London, who leads the team in receiving, has been beyond worthy of his eighth overall selection. Cordarrelle Patterson, who is a converted running back, is also top three in the NFL in rushing yards.
As they enter Week 4, both teams are producing more points per game than the Los Angeles Rams, Minnesota Vikings, Los Angeles Chargers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Dallas Cowboys, and other high-powered offenses. As for the defensive end, the two have both struggled as they couldn’t cover their own shadow. This is my favorite play of the week, give me the over in this one.
The Pick: Over 47.5 (-105)
Commanders vs Cowboys Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Moneyline: Washington Commanders +135, Dallas Cowboys -155
Spread: Commanders +3.5
Total: Over/Under 41
Commanders vs Cowboys Predictions & Picks
No one is respecting this Dan Quinn Cowboys defense and it’s quite mind-boggling. But it’s beneficial for you guys as, like I said last week, backup quarterback or not this Cowboys defense is the real deal and will make Sunday a very long day for this Washington offense. The Commanders, who rely on Wentz to get the offense going will have a tough task as he’ll be running for his life again on Sunday.
Wentz, who was sacked nine times by the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, is being sacked five times per game on average. Look for Micah Parsons and DeMarcus Lawrence to disrupt this Washington offense and put Wentz on his back a half-dozen times or more on Sunday. Wide receiver Michael Gallup is expected to make his season debut in this one and will give an immediate boost to this Cowboys offense that’s starting to find its stride with backup quarterback Cooper Rush.
The Pick: Dallas Cowboys -3.5 (-110)
Jaguars vs Eagles Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Moneyline: Jacksonville Jaguars +220, Philadelphia Eagles -260
Spread: Jaguars +6.5
Total: Over/Under 45.5
Jaguars vs Eagles Predictions & Picks
The Philadelphia Eagles are just bigger, better, faster, and stronger than the Jacksonville Jaguars and will absolutely dominate them on every level on Sunday. The Jaguars' 38-10 win over the Los Angeles Chargers wasn’t impressive to me given every circumstance, including the number one factor, Justin Herbert’s health. Yes, they shut the Indianapolis Colts out 24-0 in Week 2 and the Colts did beat the Chiefs, but anyone who watched the Chiefs-Colts game sticks a nice asterisk on that win as an unsportsmanlike conduct call on Chiefs defensive tackle Chris Jones on 3rd and 6 still has several spectators questioning. Either way, the results are the results, and the Jaguars enter this game at 2-1.
The Eagles won the off-season with their moves and additions, and so far at 3-0 and the only undefeated team left in the NFL, the Eagles are winning the regular season as well. Look for quarterback Jalen Hurts to continue building his case for MVP as the Eagles will cruise to a victory at home over their former head coach Doug Pederson, who fans will likely greet with a Philadelphia Santa Claus-style welcome.
The Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 (-110)
Chiefs vs Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Over/Under
Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs -115, Tampa Bay Buccaneers -105
Spread: Chiefs +1
Total: Over/Under 46
Chiefs vs Buccaneers Predictions & Picks
Despite the backup plans of moving the game to Minnesota, they will in fact play in Tampa Bay on Sunday night where I expect this game to be absolute fireworks. The Buccaneers come into this game with what I believe is the best defense in the NFL, and even though Kansas City is dealing with some injuries to their wide receivers, they’ll pose a threat to this stout Buccaneers defensive unit. Since his breakout performance for 121 yards and one touchdown on eight receptions in Week 1, tight end Travis Kelce has been quite quiet to his standards. Look for him to exploit a Buccaneers defense whose weak spot is a good tight end.
As for the Buccaneers offense, quarterback Tom Brady gets his guy Mike Evans back who served a one-game suspension for fighting in their game against the New Orleans Saints. If you think Evans doesn’t get rewarded with at least a touchdown from Brady in this game then you’re absolutely nuts. Look for Brady to pick apart this weak Kansas City secondary as the Buccaneers offense starts to resemble its second-highest-scoring offense from last season.
The Pick: Over 46 (-110)