Arizona vs Arizona State Prediction, Odds and SGP Picks (+260)
Alex Buck makes his NCAAF picks and predictions for Arizona at Arizona State in CFB Week 13. Plus, best tips on SGPs.
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Arizona vs. Arizona State Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Moneyline - College Football Odds Week 13
Moneyline: Arizona Wildcats -450, Arizona State Sun Devils +350
Spread: Arizona -10.5 (-110), Arizona State +10.5 (-110)
Total: Over/Under 50.5 points
College Football Schedule Week 13– Game info - Arizona at Arizona State College Football Season 2023
Arizona (8-3, 3-2 Away) vs. Arizona State (3-8, 2-5 Home)
Date: Saturday, Nov. 25
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Sun Devil Stadium in Tempe, Ariz.
TV Channel: ESPN
Live Stream: FuboTV
Live Radio: Phoenix 620 AM and Arizona Sports 98.7 FM
What a few years it has been for head coach Jedd Fisch and his Arizona Wildcats. The team’s 1-11 record in 2021 turned into a 5-7 record in 2022. It then exploded this year, as Arizona has already secured its first winning record since 2017. This team has gone 8-3 in 2023 and is potentially in line for a Pac-12 Championship Game appearance. Fisch has got the Wildcats purring, and that 1-11 season feels like a long time ago.
On Saturday, Arizona will face an Arizona State team that has nothing to play for except pride. The Sun Devils are just 3-8, so even a bowl game appearance is no longer in their equation. Of course, they will still be motivated to ruin the party for their noisy neighbors. A shocking win by the Sun Devils to keep the Wildcats out of the conference championship game would be well received by the home crowd.
Arizona at Arizona State Preview
Arizona’s players will enter this game with a ton of confidence. Last week, facing a Utah team with a matching 7-3 record, the Wildcats were given a true test of their mettle and passed it with flying colors. In its 42-18 rout, Arizona put up 450 total yards against the Utes’ 25th-ranked defense. That just goes to show how well redshirt freshman quarterback Noah Fifita and the Wildcats’ offense is playing.
Even more impressive, however, is the state of Arizona’s defense. That unit held Utah to just 18 points last week after limiting UCLA to 10 points two weeks earlier. Thanks to head coach Jedd Fisch’s impressive additions via the transfer portal, Arizona has jumped from the No. 125 ranking in yards conceded per game to the No. 41 ranking. In 2022, the Wildcats allowed 473 total yards per game, but this year they are giving up only 352. Arizona State, meanwhile, ranks outside the nation’s top 100 when it comes to total yardage per game, which is one reason why the spread is so lopsided in Arizona’s favor.
There is a distinct lack of talent on the Sun Devils roster, and most of the team’s offensive production comes from only two players. Running back Cameron Skattebo has tried his hand at everything -- rushing for 675 yards, catching passes for 286 yards, and even throwing for both one touchdown and one interception. He is a talented weapon, but not one that can carry an entire team. In addition, Arizona allows only 3.4 yards per carry on the ground, which means the passing attack will have to be the focus of ASU’s offensive game plan.
The other standout performer on the Arizona State offense is junior wide receiver Elijhah Badger, who has caught 65 passes for 713 yards and three touchdowns this season. No ASU player other than Badger has more than 351 receiving yards. These underwhelming numbers reflect quarterback Trenton Bourguet’s disappointing stats. He has thrown for 1,486 yards with just one touchdown and four interceptions this season. Bourquet hasn’t broken the 150-yard mark in either of his last two games, and he lacks the weapons that might allow him to surprise his local rivals this weekend.
The Wildcats’ QB, Fifita, has a much better 2023 stat line of 1,988 passing yards, 18 touchdowns, and four interceptions. He has completed a very impressive 73.6 percent of his passes -- leading a well-balanced offense ranked 25th in the country for per-game yardage. He is helped by a talented receiving corps headed up by Tetairoa McMillan and Jacob Cowing. The dangerous duo has 19 touchdowns between them, with McMillan logging 976 receiving yards on the season and Cowing registering a very respectable 539.
The pass-catching talent doesn’t stop there. Arizona tight end Tanner McLachlan has chipped in 440 yards and two touchdowns, while running back Jonah Coleman has contributed 282 yards. With an array of such talented offensive weapons, it is no surprise that Fifita has completed so many passes and the Wildcats are enjoying so many victories.
What makes the Wildcats particularly dangerous, however, is the threat of their rushing attack, spearheaded by Coleman. All four Wildcats running backs with more than 30 carries this season are averaging better than 4.4 yards per rushing attempt. The best of the lot is Coleman, whose 7.1 yards per carry have enabled him to run for 834 yards and four touchdowns.
The combination of Fifita, the receivers, and Coleman in the backfield has created a perfectly balanced offense for Arizona. The Wildcats have scored at least 30 points seven times this season and must like their chances of going over 30 against ASU’s defense. The Sun Devils gave up five first-half touchdowns to Oregon QB Bo Nix last week, and I’m not sure there is much they can do to stop the Wildcats on Saturday.
Arizona vs. Arizona State Prediction and Picks
After dominating this game for the past decade, Arizona State comes into it as a major underdog. They Sun Devils fell to the Wildcats by a narrow margin when the teams met last year, but this is a vastly improved Arizona team. Its well-balanced offense, led by QB Noah Fifita, should have no trouble moving the ball against the Sun Devils, and I see the Wildcats easily stretching past the 10.5-point spread.
The Pick: Arizona Wildcats to cover -10.5 (-110)
While the Arizona defense improved a lot over last year, it is still vulnerable. The fact that Arizona State is playing at home gives me a bit more confidence that the Sun Devils can put together some scoring drives. I have all the confidence in the world that the Wildcats will surpass the 30-point mark again, which means we shouldn’t need too much from the Sun Devils to get us above 50 points. I will be betting the over and enjoying a good performance from the Arizona offense.
Best College Football Same-Game Parlay Picks today for Arizona vs. Arizona State: 2-Leg Parlay Pick (+220)
Odds are subject to change*
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