2023 NASCAR at Richmond: Cook Out 400 Odds, Picks, Predictions & Sleepers
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Mike Ortiz Jr. gives his best bets for the 135th running of the 2023 Cook Out 400 in Richmond, VA including race winner, key matchups, and sleepers.
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The 2023 NASCAR season is drawing to a close, and just five regular-season races remain. The next NASCAR race is the Cook Out 400 (formerly the Federated Auto Parts 400) at Richmond Raceway. It will offer fans a bumper-to-bumper spectacle, because Richmond’s short-track style brings lots of cautions and nonstop action. With qualifying set for July 29, the time to lock in your NASCAR picks is now. Don’t wait for the NASCAR odds Sunday, because qualifying will have already changed them by then.
Cook Out 400 Schedule – NASCAR Cup Series
Date: July 30, 2023
TV, Time: USA, 3 p.m. ET
Venue: Richmond Raceway
Location: Richmond, Va.
Distance: 300 Miles
Laps: 400
Odds to win 2023 Cook Out 400 - NASCAR odds this weekend
Martin Truex Jr. (+450)
Kyle Larson (+600)
Denny Hamlin (+650)
Kevin Harvick (+750)
Kyle Busch (+850)
William Byron (+850)
Christopher Bell (+900)
Joey Logano (+1200)
Chase Elliott (+1500)
Ross Chastain (+1600)
See the full 2023 Cook Out 400 odds on Betway Sportsbook
NASCAR Cup Series: Cook Out 400 Odds – Top 5 Finish
Martin Truex Jr. -145
Kyle Larson –135
Denny Hamlin –115
Kevin Harvick +110
Christopher Bell +110
William Byron +120
Kyle Busch +120
Joey Logano +150
Ross Chastain +220
Chase Elliott +220
Ryan Blaney +300
Tyler Reddick +350
NASCAR Cup Series: Cook Out 400 Odds – Winning Manufacturer
Toyota +140
Chevrolet +160
Ford +250
2023 Cook Out 400 Starting lineup
The Cook Out 400 starting lineup will be determined on Saturday, July 29, when all drivers will first take part in a practice run at 12:35 p.m. ET. The practice run will be followed by a qualifying race at 1:20 p.m. ET. The driver with the fastest qualifying time will win the pole. The rest of the grid for the Cook Out 400 will be determined according to the remaining drivers' qualifying times.
2023 Cook Out 400 Betting Preview and Predictions
With five races left in the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series schedule, emotions will be high on Sunday. Those drivers on the bubble, as well as those on the outside looking in, will push their cars to the limit. Since a victory guarantees a playoff spot, drivers who currently sit low of the standings will push themselves even harder on Sunday, because of the win-and-in situation. Expect nonstop action at Strawberry Hill, because Richmond Raceway’s short track will result in bumper-to-bumper driving and many cautions.
Get your popcorn ready, because it’s going to be quite a show come Sunday afternoon.
2023 Cook Out 400 Best Bets: Top picks
Track history is usually is a good indicator when betting on NASCAR, however, since officials completely changed the cars last year, only 2022 and beyond really matter as far as track history goes when making NASCAR picks. Since the switch to the new cars, there have been three races at Richmond Raceway. During that stretch, Christopher Bell has finished sixth, second and fourth. A three-time winner at the Xfinity level at Richmond Raceway, Bell has all the potential to get his first win at the Cup Series level in the NASCAR race this weekend.
The Pick: Christopher Bell to win (+900)
Since joining Hendrick Motorsports in 2016, Chase Elliott has never missed a postseason. Currently positioned five spots back from the cut-off point -- due mostly to his missing the start of the season with a rib injury -- Elliott likely needs a win to secure his playoff spot and keep his postseason streak alive. He missed the first race at Richmond in April due to the injury, but he finished fifth there last August. Like Bell and Ty Gibbs, Elliott is a premiere short-track driver, and this course offer a promising opportunity for him to win and secure the automatic playoff berth.
The Pick: Chase Elliott to win (+1500)
When it comes to short-track success, Ty Gibbs has also made a name for himself in NASCAR so far during his young career. Sitting three spots back and 28 points from the playoff cut-off, Gibbs almost certainly needs a top 10 finish in this Sunday NASCAR race. A former Xfinity winner at Richmond Raceway in 2022, Gibbs has also had a lot of success there. He finished ninth at Richmond earlier this season when the Cup Series came through in April. Like Bell, Gibbs has yet to win at the Cup Series level, but the NASCAR odd today are just too much value for a driver of his skill set on short tracks.
The Pick: Ty Gibbs to win (+2800)
Martin Truex Jr. and Christopher Bell have both had a lot of success at Richmond Raceway throughout their careers. Since switching to NASCAR’s new-style cars, Bell has had much more success over the three races at Richmond. Truex only finished ahead of Bell once back in April 2022, when he placed fourth and Bell was sixth. The fact that Bell is an underdog in this matchup is quite mind-boggling because he is the best driver in the Cup series when it comes to short tracks or road courses. As Bell looks for his first Cup Series win at Richmond, he’ll also look to finish ahead of Truex for the third time in the past two years.
The Pick: Christopher Bell over Martin Truex Jr. (+110)
When it comes to NASCAR predictions involving short tracks, Bubba Wallace isn’t the driver to pick. Since he is more successful on motor speedways than short tracks, the idea that Wallace could hope to win a matchup against Ty Gibbs leaves me scratching my head. It’s just not fair. Since NASCAR’s switch to the new-style cars, Wallace’s best finish at Richmond was 13th in August 2022. In the other two Richmond races, Wallace finished 26th and 22nd. While both drivers are racing for a playoff spot, and while Wallace currently holds the second-to-last playoff berth, this matchup also looks good for Gibbs from a playoff standpoint. Gibbs is on the outside looking in, and he knows Wallace holds one of the last few playoff spots. The bottom line for this matchup: Gibbs is hands-down the better shor- track driver and significantly better at Richmond.
The Pick: Ty Gibbs over Bubba Wallace (-135)
NASCAR Sleepers Picks for Sunday on the 2023 Cook Out 400
Chase Briscoe’s 2023 Cup Series season has not gone as planned. Come Sunday, Briscoe will start the race at 31st in the NASCAR standings -- essentially needing a win in one of the last five Cup Series races to secure a playoff spot. While Briscoe’s season has been disappointing, he has had success in years past at Richmond -- finishing 11th and 12th in two of the last three races since the new cars were introduced. It’s a sleeper pick for sure, but Briscoe with +7000 odds is worth the sprinkle.
Odds are subject to change*
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