World Cup betting: Same Game Parlay picks for the quarter-finals
Alex Buck picks out his best Same Game Parlay picks for all four quarter-final matches at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar.
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Quarter Finals Predictions
Croatia vs Brazil Odds
Match Winner: Croatia +800, Brazil -275, Draw +425
Total Goals: Over 2.5 (-125), Under 2.5 (+105)
Draw No Bet: Croatia or Tie (+235), Tie or Brazil (-1200), Croatia or Brazil (-525)
Croatia vs Brazil Predictions and Same Game Parlay Picks
Croatia edged past Japan on penalties following a heroic performance from goalkeeper Dominik Livakovic that saw them complete the turnaround from a goal behind.
Both sides lacked the quality to take the lead in the game until Croatia failed to clear their lines from a cross whipped in from the right-hand side that bobbled into the path of Daizen Maeda. The Japanese forward curled the bouncing ball beyond Livakovic to give the Asian side the lead, and Croatia had to fight from behind to get back into the game.
It was veteran Ivan Perisic who showed the moment of quality the Croatians needed early in the second half. Perisic met a cross with a fierce header into the far corner to draw his side level and ultimately bring the game to penalties.
While Livakovic was the difference and Croatia squeaked through to the quarter-finals, Brazil will mark quite the challenge in comparison.
Neymar returned to the lineup for Brazil's clash with South Korea, having missed two group stage games with an ankle injury. Brazil eased through with a dominant performance that showed exactly why they were favorites for the tournament when it kicked off.
Brazil had 18 shots and nine on target in the game, with some stunning goals to match. Brazil's attackers were on form and are playing extremely well together, highlighted by Richarlison's third goal. Brazil played several fast passes on the edge of Korea’s 18-yard box that ended with the Tottenham striker slotting home before South Korea could even react to what was happening.
The South American side's impressive display makes them a strong favorite over Croatia, and I’d be surprised if the Croatian side can compete with the level of talent Brazil possesses. With Neymar, Vinicius Junior, Richarlison and Raphinha all healthy, and one of the strongest and most experienced defensive units at the tournament, Brazil are going to be very difficult to slow down.
I have Brazil winning this one and I wonder how much better than South Korea the Croatians will fare. One thing is for sure, Brazil will want to put on another show for their fans and continue dancing their way to the semi-finals of the World Cup.
Netherlands vs Argentina Odds
Match Winner: Netherlands +260, Argentina +125, Tie +220
Total Goals: Over 2.5 (+140), Under 2.5 (-167)
Draw No Bet: Netherlands or Tie (-140), Tie or Argentina (-315), Netherlands or Argentina (-260)
Netherlands vs Argentina Predictions and Same Game Parlay Picks
The Netherlands looked like a totally different team with striker Memphis Depay leading the front line alongside the talented Cody Gakpo. Depay has struggled with injury issues this calendar year, being restricted to only a handful of domestic games for Barcelona.
Depay’s technical ability on the ball allowed for the Netherlands’ brand of ‘Total Football’ to come to the fore against the USMNT. This was illustrated by a superb opening goal scored by Depay, where all 11 players played their part. It was a move which consisted of 20 uninterrupted passes, the most on record for the Dutch at a World Cup since 1966. That lovely 10th-minute strike by Memphis Depay paved the way for a comfortable 3-1 win for Louis van Gaal’s side and set up a mouth-watering encounter vs Lionel Messi’s Argentina.
Argentina have Messi to thank once again for progressing past Australia and sailing into the quarter-final stages of the Qatar World Cup 2022. His wonderful trademark finish in the 34th minute of the game was the foundations for an incredibly strong and dominant display, both from himself and the team.
The final scoreline of 2-1 doesn’t do Argentina any justice or paint a true reflection of the game. Australia’s goal came from a freak deflection late into the second half, which set up a nervy last few minutes for Argentina’s fans. Annoyingly for Argentina, they failed once again to capitalize on their clear-cut chances in front of goal. They could have easily been 5-0 up and cruising to victory, but it wasn’t to be. Questions are beginning to surface about their ruthlessness and composure in the attacking phase which could end up being their Achilles heel this time round.
Looking ahead to the matchup between Argentina and the Netherlands, it is clear we have two sides who have improved dramatically since the start of the group stages.
For the Netherlands, they will need to adjust their tactics accordingly, still playing counter-attacking football, but carefully managing this throughout the game. They will need to keep possession more so than they did against the USA, to ensure Argentina are not relentlessly attacking their goal. If Van Gaal plans on utilizing the wing-backs in the same attacking manner they did against the USA team, then Argentina will get so much joy in the wide areas. This will leave their back three exposed to the floating Leo Messi, who will terrorize them all game.
For everyone that remembers, this is a rematch of the 2014 World Cup semi-final, where it took penalties to separate both teams after 120 minutes of football. A repeat this time round is completely viable, with Argentina favorites to win again.
The footballing Gods are predicting there’ll be goals, though. Both sides possess vulnerabilities to suggest we could be in for a high-scoring affair, especially with so much offensive talent on display. With all things considered, both teams to score and over 2.5 goals are the markets with the most value for me.
Morocco vs Portugal Odds
Match Winner: Morocco +475, Portugal -145, Draw +270
Total Goals: Over 2.5 (+120), Under 2.5 (-145)
Draw No Bet: Morocco or Tie (+130), Tie or Portugal (-625), Morocco or Portugal (-325)
Morocco vs Portugal Predictions and Same Game Parlay Picks
Morocco became the only underdog to cause an upset in the Round of 16. Up until their game against Spain, it had been the favorites knocking out the underdogs one by one, but Morocco got it right and it paid off for them in a major way.
The game plan was clear as they frustrated Spain and refused to let down their guard. In the first half, Morocco were happy to play a defensive game and take their chances on free-kicks and set-pieces, with Achraf Hakimi putting a free kick just over the crossbar early on.
From the second half onwards, Morocco played superb defense and their back line deserve immense credit for building a brick wall in front of their nation's goal. Spain’s talent and flair proved ineffective and, barring a few minor scares, Morocco held on. It looked as though they were happy to head for penalties, and what a decision it turned out to be.
The underdog story lives on at the World Cup tournament in Qatar and, in the quarter-finals, Morocco will face a Portugal side that chose the Round of 16 to introduce its next wave of international talent.
Cristiano Ronaldo was dropped alongside fullback Joao Cancelo, and it was Ronaldo’s replacement up front that stole the show. Striker Goncalo Ramos, who has come through the youth system at Benfica, got his shot in the starting XI for his country in what was just his fourth international cap, and he grabbed it with both hands.
The 21-year-old forward buried a thunderous strike to give his country the lead early in the first half, before scoring twice more as Portugal dismantled Switzerland in a 6-1 drubbing. Rafael Leao also got in on the action, scoring the sixth and final goal, cutting in from the left before sending a sweet strike into the far-left corner. The future generation sent Portugal through to the final eight, and manager Fernando Santos will now have another tough decision to make before the game against Morocco on Saturday.
Will Ronaldo return to the lineup, or will Goncalo Ramos earn another start after a clinical performance against the Swiss? We will have to wait and find out. Either way, I’d expect to see Morocco apply the same tactics that frustrated Spain into an untimely exit from the competition. The question is whether those tactics will be enough to keep a rampant Portugal side at bay for 90 minutes and potentially beyond. The extra minutes in the legs of the Moroccan players will be a factor here and I’m sure Portugal will look to get it done in 90 minutes.
England vs France Odds
Match Winner: England +205, France +145, Draw +230
Total Goals: Over 2.5 (+110), Under 2.5 (-130)
Draw No Bet: England or Tie (-165), Tie or France (-245), England or France (-275)
England vs France Predictions and Same Game Parlay Picks
The French national team were led by a glistening performance by superstar Kylian Mbappe that saw them coast by Poland in the Round of 16. The 23-year-old now has five goals in three starts at the tournament, overtaking Pele for World Cup goals in the process.
From start to finish, Mbappe was the catalyst, terrorizing the Polish defenders for the full 90 minutes. He was creating so much space for the other attackers and looked dangerous with every touch coming off the left-hand side. The decision to play him on the left showed its worth against Poland as Mbappe cut in twice in the second half to score two beautiful goals that sealed the deal for his country.
France will advance to play England largely unscathed but are facing a team that has scored the most goals in the tournament so far. Gareth Southgate’s team have played patient, calculated football that has proved frustrating for their opponents, but has resulted in a combined 12 goals scored.
England did, however, start very shakily against Senegal and, for a large portion of the first half, the game was very much in the balance. Senegal could have taken the lead on multiple occasions if it wasn’t for some wonderful goalkeeping or equally poor finishing. That could be a concern against a France team that has that ruthlessness in the attacking phase. England are yet to play from behind at the tournament, so won’t want to start that trend in a quarter-final against this complete French side.
Both teams create a lot of chances and they both have the quality to find the target too. There could be goals in this one and I wonder whether the lead is going to be something England go after, contrary to prior performances. However, it just isn’t Southgate’s style, especially in knockout football, instead looking to control the possession and wait patiently for those chances to come before trusting the quality in the side to find the back of the net.
France will want to take that lead and should play an attacking style of football to get it. They’re at their best with Mbappe, Griezmann and Ousmane Dembele running at defenders, and we haven’t really seen how the England defense will handle a game plan like that yet at this tournament. One thing is for sure, England’s back line has been sturdy so far, but it is not without flaws.
The same is true for France, however, and no team in the tournament has the abundance of attacking prowess that England has. With Bukayo Saka, Raheem Sterling, Marcus Rashford, Jack Grealish and Phil Foden all available to England in the wide areas, they have the tools to hurt anyone. With Harry Kane leading the line, they have a striker who is more than capable of scoring given any opportunity in front of goal. This ruthlessness was on show against Senegal.
Jude Bellingham is a star in the making and the introduction of Jordan Henderson seemed to settle the midfield down. England can overrun this France team in midfield and the French will have to be careful they don’t overcommit going forward and get caught out.
These two sides are two of the favorites for the tournament with excellent displays of quality so far in Qatar. I’m expecting to see goals in this one and I’ll back England to make it through to the next round with a slight edge on the night.