Women's World Cup Quarterfinals Best Bets: Odds, Picks, Predictions & Parlays
Alex Buck reveals his picks and predictions for the 2023 Women’s World Cup quarterfinals.
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2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup Best Bets for Quarterfinal Games
The 2023 Women’s World Cup bracket is down to its last eight teams, as some of the tournament's hottest teams continue to make their way toward the final. Joining these frontrunners are surprising underdogs that have also secured spots in the next stage. Get ready for this upcoming round of soccer betting, as we delve into our Women's World Cup predictions for the tournament’s quarterfinal matches.
Spain will meet the Netherlands in the only all-European quarterfinal. That game will be followed by Japan vs. Sweden, France vs. host nation Australia, and England vs. the tournament’s biggest surprise, Colombia.
Colombia was largely responsible for Germany’s elimination from the tournament. The Germans bowed out in the group stage after falling 2-1 to the upstarts from South America. Having qualified for the Round of 16, Colombia then took down Jamaica in a close match, and now finds itself facing the European champions from England for a spot in the final four.
Let’s jump into our soccer picks and parlays as the competition intensifies with predictions for all four 2023 World Cup quarterfinal games.
Spain vs Netherlands Odds
Moneyline: Spain -115 | Tie +245 | Netherlands +335
To Qualify: Spain -220, Netherlands +155
1st Goal: Spain -180, Netherlands +160, No Goal +800
Total Goals: Over 2.5 +110, Under 2.5 -145
Double Chance: Spain or Tie -500, Tie or Netherlands -110, Spain or Netherlands -335
Spain vs Netherlands Predictions and Pick
Spain has looked like one of the best teams at this year’s Women’s World Cup, but a 4-0 group-stage loss to Japan certainly left a blemish on the Spanish resume and proved that this team is beatable.
The main reason for Spain’s loss to Japan was compact defending by the Japanese, who are better than any other team at the tournament when it comes to counterattacking and capitalizing on limited chances.
Likely determined not to allow another loss, Spain returned to its winning ways in the Round of 16. The Spaniards dominated Switzerland and emerged as 5-1 winners. Spain would have had a clean sheet were it not for a misplaced back pass that led to an own goal.
The Netherlands has also shown good form at this competition, but the Dutch attack is clearly missing the talent of Vivianne Miedema, who has been absent for the entire tournament due to an ACL injury she suffered in late 2022.
The Dutch managed to get past South Africa in the Round of 16, but the South Africans had far better scoring chances throughout the first half and might have prevailed had they done a better job of finishing.
Spain’s build-up play and ability to create chances at this tournament has been second to none, and given how the Netherlands was exposed several times against South Africa, I’m concerned about the Dutch players’ ability to handle their Spanish quarterfinal opponents.
Spain has drawn criticism for its finishing, as the team has sometimes created 40-plus shooting opportunities but struggled to convert. That said, the Spaniards have so many playmakers going forward, and Aitana Bonmati has lived up to every ounce of the expectations laid upon her.
I have Spain advancing to the Women’s World Cup semifinals, and this team is going to be tough to beat the rest of the way.
The Pick: Spain -1 (+260)
Japan vs Sweden Odds
Moneyline: Japan +125 | Tie +220 | Sweden +235
To Qualify: Japan -163, Sweden +120
1st Goal: Japan -125, Sweden +125, No Goal +700
Total Goals: Over 2.5 +125, Under 2.5 -180
Double Chance: Japan or Tie -320, Tie or Sweden -160, Japan or Sweden -300
Japan vs Sweden Predictions and Pick
Japan’s tactical master class against Spain led to one of the most surprising results of this tournament so far – a 4-0 rout in the group stage. Oddsmakers have made the Spaniards one of the favorites to win the 2023 Women’s World Cup tournament, and Spain has played at an elite level. However, that didn’t stop Japan from the magnificent achievement of beating Spain with a win that put the Japanese into the discussion of potential finalists.
The Japanese were able to tuck in defensively and frustrate the Spanish players in their build-up play. They showed unmatched patience before bursting away on the counterattack and finishing every opportunity they created for themselves.
Midfielder Hinata Miyazawa, 23, is the tournament’s leading scorer so far, and two of her goals came during the rout of Spain. She has proven to be a very intelligent player who finds the perfect space in which to create chances for herself – something she demonstrated both against Spain in the group stage and against Norway in the Round of 16.
Sweden eliminated the two-time defending champion U.S. women in stunning fashion. There was plenty of drama throughout the penalty shootout that decided the Round of 16 game, but the Swedes were certainly lucky to avoid elimination. Their success at the tournament has come from set pieces -- dominating within 8 to 10 yards of the goal mouth -- but apart from that, their creativity has been severely lacking.
This game will take place at Eden Park in Auckland, New Zealand, on Friday, Aug. 11. The two teams also faced each other in the 2011 semifinals, when Japan beat the Swedes on its way to winning the tournament.
Japan must be careful not to get caught out of position from a corner kick, but if the Swedes’ performance so far is any indicator, Sweden will face an even bigger challenge finding goal-scoring opportunities.
The Swedes struggled against the USWNT, and Japan is the most disciplined team in this competition. The Japanese have not made it easy for any opponent so far, and many 2023 Women’s World Cup predictions are starting to favor Japan for the championship. I’m on that bandwagon as well.
The Pick: Japan to Qualify (-175)
Australia vs France Odds
Moneyline: Australia +270 | Tie +210 | France +115
To Qualify: Australia +130, France +115
1st Goal: Australia +140, France -125, No Goal +700
Total Goals: Over 2.5 +125, Under 2.5 -175
Double Chance: Australia or Tie -138, Australia or France -300, Tie or France -334
Australia vs France Predictions and Pick
Host nation Australia’s dream of winning the World Cup in front of its home crowd remains alive after a 2-0 win over Denmark in the Round of 16. However, the level of competition will be cranked up a notch in the quarterfinals during a rematch of a friendly the Aussies played against France in July. Australia won that game 1-0, and the hosts already know they must fend off a talented French attack if they plan on reaching the semifinal round.
Sam Kerr, the star striker and captain of the Australian Matildas, has seen limited action in the tournament due to injury. She made her 2023 World Cup debut during the final 15 minutes of the Round of 16 game. Her status against France has yet to be determined, but she should see some minutes as a substitute at the very least, especially if Australia needs a late moment of magic.
In Kerr’s absence, both Mary Fowler and Caitlin Foord have looked very dangerous, and it was Fowler's superb ball over the top that Foord calmly sent home to give the Aussies the lead in their win over Denmark. This team is not short on talent, and it could surprise the French if they play at their highest level.
Australia might enjoy the home-field advantage, but France has the momentum. France made very light work of Morocco in the Round of 16 and appears to be getting better with every game. The French played a little loose in a 6-3 win over Panama during the group stage and were surely disappointed after conceding three goals. They came back and slammed the door in a 4-0 win over Morocco, barely allowing their opponents into the game.
This should be a fun one. Both teams can create good chances and have goalscorers on their rosters. I will predict a goal-fest as one of my Women’s World Cup picks here – because I think at least three will be scored in this game. The French are favored to win, and it’s likely that they will, but I don’t want to completely rule out a win for the underdog Matildas.
The +125 odds for over 2.5 goals scored feels like great value here, adding a nice boost to a soccer parlay when it comes to betting on the Women’s World Cup quarterfinals.
The Pick: Over 2.5 Goals Scored (+125)
England vs Colombia Odds
Moneyline: England -188 | Tie +275 | Colombia +550
To Qualify: England -450, Colombia +280
1st Goal: England -225, Colombia +280, No Goal +600
Total Goals: Over 2.5 +140, Under 2.5 -200
Double Chance: England or Tie -900, England or Colombia -400, Tie or Colombia +150
England vs Colombia Predictions and Pick
England was red-hot entering the tournament’s knockout stages -- having put on a clinic in crushing China 6-1 to close out group-stage play. The English team had become the top choice among experts predicting the women’s World Cup champion, and its odds of winning the tournament were slashed when it overtook the USWNT as the favorite coming out of the group stage.
However, in the Round of 16, facing the gritty but certainly overmatched Nigerians, England looked like a completely different team. The English struggled to defend against Nigeria early and couldn’t clear their lines, finding themselves lucky to still be tied at 0-0 after a flurry of Nigerian scoring chances.
England's best chance to score a winner in regulation against Nigeria would have had to come on a set piece. Outside of those opportunities, the English failed to generate a genuine scoring opportunity for the entire 90 minutes. To make matters worse, Lauren James, who starred in the win over China, stepped on Nigeria’s Michelle Alozie, earning herself a straight red card. As a result, she has been suspended for at least this quarterfinal game against Colombia.
So, England must now face a Colombia team that has already defeated Germany, and the English will have to do it without James, their most dangerous player in the tournament thus far. England put itself in this difficult situation for the game at Stadium Australia, so the English will really need to be on their guard.
Colombia is capable of pulling off an upset, and we’ve seen it happen already. The Colombians’ first goal against Germany, scored by Linda Caicedo, was spectacular. It sent a roar throughout the stadium, where Colombia supporters have had a strong presence with many making the trip from South America.
England was at risk of losing to Nigeria. If it plays anything like it did in that game, the tournament favorites could find themselves in a similar struggle against Colombia.
This should be a tightly contested game, but England has the experience to advance. I don’t envision this being a high-scoring affair, but I will back England on the moneyline to round out my Women’s World Cup quarterfinal picks.
The Pick: England to win (-188)
Best Women’s World Cup Quarterfinals Parlay Picks: 4-Leg (+1906)
These 2023 women’s World Cup predictions make a really nice parlay, with four of our free soccer picks combining for almost +2000 odds.
Leg-1 Pick: Spain -1 (+260)
Leg-2 Pick: Japan to Qualify (-175)
Leg-3 Pick: Australia vs France Over 2.5 Goals (+125)
Leg-4 Pick: England to win (-188)
Odds are subject to change*
WOMEN'S WORLD CUP PARLAY @ (+1906): (Bet $100 to Win $2006). Get the best odds at Betway Sportsbook.
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