Spain vs England Women’s World Cup Final: Odds, Predictions, Same-Game Parlay Picks (+1000)
Alex Buck reveals his picks and predictions for the 2023 Women’s World Cup championship game.
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2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup Final Best Bets
No matter what happens in this weekend’s Women’s World Cup final, the event is going to finish with a first-time champion. Neither Spain nor England has ever won the women’s tournament before, and this all-European final is expected to be a thriller.
Late goals in a 2-1 semifinal win over Sweden enabled Spain to reach its first Women’s World Cup final. England did the same with a 3-1 victory over the host Australians.
Spain has looked like one of the best teams throughout this tournament, apart from a crazy 4-0 loss to Japan during group-stage play. That game aside, no team has created more chances or scored more goals than Spain at this year's competition.
Throughout the knockout rounds, I have been saying that Spain was quickly becoming one of the favorites. I’m glad I predicted them to go all the way in my mid-tournament Women’s World Cup betting picks.
England’s team has had its ups and downs in this tournament, too, although it has shown perhaps a little less consistency than Spain. Nevertheless, the English have one of the most experienced teams in women’s soccer today.
The Lionesses are the European champions -- having claimed that title last year -- and are now chasing a piece of history by winning the Women’s World Cup.
With the championship match on the horizon, it’s time for the final installment of our 2023 Women’s World Cup predictions. These free soccer picks for the Spain-England matchup should help fans gear up for the big game.
This is the last of our Betway Insider soccer parlays for the 2023 tournament, so let’s hope it turns out to be a winner on Sunday.
Spain (W) vs England (W) Odds
Moneyline: Spain +162 | Draw +200 | England +180
1st Goal: Spain +105 | No Goal +600 | England +115
Both teams to score: Yes +100, No -138
Draw No Bet: Spain -125 | England -110
Double Chance: Spain or Draw -225 | Spain or England -287 | Draw or England -211
Total Goals: 1.5: Over -211 | Under +150
Total Goals: 2.5: Over +140 | Under -200
Total Goals: 3.5: Over +333 | Under -550
Total Goals: 4.5: Over +750 | Under -2500
Spain (W) vs England (W) Preview
Date: Sunday, Aug. 20
Time: 6 a.m. ET
TV channel: FOX
Live stream: Fox Sports App
Spain’s team is playing some of the best soccer in the women’s game right now. The Spaniards have shown overwhelming build-up play and have a roster that includes some of the most creative players in the world. There’s a reason that Barcelona won the women’s Champions League this year, since seven of the starting 11 that overwhelmed Sweden in the World Cup semifinal are also teammates at Barca.
Alexia Putellas is back in the starting lineup, having worked hard to be ready for the World Cup after her long recovery from an ACL tear she suffered in the summer of 2022. Putellas won the last two Ballon d’Or Feminins, and this year her Spain and Barcelona teammate Aitana Bonmati is expected to win that award.
So, that makes it two Ballon d’Or winners in Spain’s starting eleven and a squad whose players know each other so well that they all understand their roles and can set up efficiently throughout each match they play.
Of course, the Spanish women have shown that they can be picked apart, because Japan's effective counterattack proved fatal to them in a shocking 4-0 loss early in the competition. However, since that setback, Spain hasn’t conceded more than a single goal in any game.
Four of Spain’s back five are Barcelona teammates, and the entire back line is both comfortable on the ball and able to distribute and start an attack.
The Spanish midfield is about as creative as it gets and one of the main reasons that Spain has been the most dangerous team throughout the tournament.
Simply consider the fact that Spain has created 249 chances in this tournament, with 183 coming from a pass that led to a shot on goal. The Spanish players don’t try to dribble their way into the box or beat somebody to create a shot -- they just very comfortably pass the ball around until a window opens up.
To put that 249 into further perspective, note that no other team in this competition has created more than 147 shooting opportunities. England has had 143, trailing both Japan and Australia as well as Spain.
That 249 number should be a pretty good indication of just how efficient and talented this Spanish team can be. England’s women will have their work cut out for them, but Spain only has a slight advantage in terms of its Women’s World Cup championship odds. Needless to say, this game is expected to be a very close one.
England’s Lucy Bronze knows most of the Spanish team, because she’s the lone player on her team who was also on the Barcelona squad that won the Champions League.
Manager Sarina Wiegman had England deploy a 3-4-1-2 type formation against Australia with both Bronze and Rachel Daly occupying the wide positions on either side and supporting the English back three.
The Lionesses have a wealth of talent throughout their ranks, and offensively they’re both efficient and dangerous in front of the opposing goal. All three of the starting attacking players -- Lauren Hemp, Emma Toone, and Alessia Russo -- scored in the 3-1 semifinal win over Australia.
England’s players controlled the possession against Australia, but they will struggle to do that against Spain and will have to spend more time than they would like playing in their own end of the field.
It’s going to be really important for England to distribute the ball well whenever it wins it back. If Spain’s loss to Japan is anything to go by, the English might find that firing balls forward to their dangerous attacking players and quickly catching Spain out of position will be key.
Spain (W) vs England (W) Lineups & Injuries
Coming back from her ACL injury, Spain’s Alexia Putellas started the semifinal game against Sweden and had also started in the group stage against Zambia. She lasted 45 minutes against Zambia as she worked her way back to full match strength. Against Sweden, she managed to play for nearly 60 minutes.
She is expected to start in the final and should be able to contribute around an hour of playing time for her country. When she’s out there, Putellas is one of the sport’s most gifted players, so keep an eye on her.
England’s Keira Walsh hurt her right leg earlier in the tournament and missed one game, but the injury proved to be far less worrying than initially thought, and she has been back in the starting lineup.
Spain (W) vs England (W) Predictions and Picks
This should be a thrilling game, since both teams include some of the greatest talent in all of women’s soccer. It will be a real spectacle to watch players such as Aitana Bonmati and Alexia Putellas compete in a World Cup final with a chance to add the ultimate trophy to their already long list of career accomplishments.
Sweden reduced the number of chances Spain was able to create in the semifinal by playing very tight and compact at the back. In fairness to the Swedes, that strategy managed to work for 80 minutes before they eventually conceded a goal.
Spain enjoyed the majority of the possession against Sweden with 63 percent for the match. The Spaniards will likely have more of the possession time against England, too.
Feeding their front players and getting behind the Spanish back four will be the key for England. The Lionesses have proven at this tournament that they can take their chances in front of the goal -- scoring on three of the 15 chances they created.
That said, the Spanish are just so overloaded with great players and have created so many opportunities at this tournament that I don’t see them falling short in the final.
The Pick: Spain to win (+162)
Now that I have predicted a win for Spain, I must add that I’ve been really impressed with Salma Paralluelo, who has now scored crucial goals in each of her team’s last two knockout-round games.
She scored Spain’s winner against the Netherlands in extra time and then broke the deadlock against Sweden, too. She’s an impactful substitute for her national team, and the 19-year-old could capitalize once again against tired English legs in the final.
I like the value with her at +300, and will add a goal for her to my Women’s World Cup picks for the final.
The Pick: Salma Paralluelo to score anytime (+300)
Let’s not completely rule England out of this, though. This is a great soccer team that has already achieved big things on the international stage under Sarina Wiegman.
With talented strikers and goal-scoring threats littered throughout both starting elevens, I think it’s fair to assume both teams will score in the final. Spain has allowed its opponent to score in all three knockout-round games it has played so far, and while it was only one goal in each game, the earlier 4-0 loss to Japan proved that the Spaniards are capable of a momentary lapse at the back.
Let’s round out these Women’s World Cup picks with a bet on both teams to score, which should make for a sensational final between two of Europe’s greatest teams.
The Pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes (+100)
Best Spain (W) vs. England (W) Same Game Parlay Picks: 3-legs (+1000)
Looking at soccer picks and parlays for the match, the three selections listed here serve up a nice +1000 three-piece parlay. The consensus among experts predicting the Women’s World Cup ever so slightly favors Spain, so adding Paralluelo to score gives this particular parlay a nice boost.
This is the last of our soccer parlays for this tournament, and it should be a fun one. Betting on both teams to score always means hoping for goals, which seems very plausible here.
Leg-1 SGP Pick: The Pick: Spain to win (+162)
Leg-2 SGP Pick: Salma Paralluelo to score anytime (+300)
Both Teams to Score
Leg-3 SGP Pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes (+100)
Odds are subject to change*
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