USWNT vs Portugal Predictions, Odds and Same-Game Parlay Picks (+1600)
Alex Buck makes his 2023 Women’s World Cup picks and predictions for Group E’s USWNT vs. Portugal game.
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The U.S. women’s final group-stage match at the 2023 Women’s World Cup is set for Tuesday, Aug. 1, at 3 a.m. ET (which is 7 p.m. local time on Aug. 2 for those watching live in Auckland, New Zealand). After beating Vietnam 3-0 to open the tournament and battling to a tough, 1-1 draw vs. the Netherlands, the Americans have four standings points heading into their last game before the knockout rounds begin.
Portugal, meanwhile, managed to defeat Vietnam 2-0 in its most recent match, so this upcoming Group E game will be of the utmost importance to both teams.
How can the United States women's national soccer team best prepare for this crucial game, and how should the players approach it? The following preview of this exciting USA-Portugal matchup includes some helpful Women’s World Cup picks.
USWNT vs Portugal Odds
Moneyline: USA -400 | Draw +475 | Portugal +875
1st Goal: USA -400 | No Goal +850 | Portugal +340
Both teams to score: Yes +140, No -200
Draw No Bet: USA -2750 | Portugal +575
Double Chance: USA or Draw -2500 | USA or Portugal -750 | Draw or Portugal +275
Total Goals: 1.5: Over -450 | Under +275
Total Goals: 2.5: Over -130 | Under -105
Total Goals: 3.5: Over +200 | Under -310
Total Goals: 4.5: Over +475 | Under -1000
Total Goals: 5.5: Over +900 | Under -8000
USA vs Portugal Women's World Cup Preview
Date: Aug. 1, 2023 (in North America) (Note: Aug. 2 in New Zealand)
Time: 3 a.m. ET
TV channel: FOX
Live stream: FOX Sports App
The opening odds for the USWNT’s 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup group-stage game vs. Portugal have the Americans as the clear favorite, but the first two USA games haven’t convinced us that they are displaying the same dominance we have seen from them in recent years. Now, coming off a tie with the Netherlands, there can be no letup for this USWNT World Cup roster as the team heads into its third and final group-stage game.
A tie in this game at Auckland, New Zealand, will be enough to get the U.S. into the Round of 16, but it won’t likely be enough finish first in the group. That’s because the Netherlands is heavily favored to beat Vietnam in another game set to be played simultaneously in Dunedin, New Zealand.
If the USWNT and the Netherlands both win, it’s likely that goal differential will decide which team finishes first. The USA has a two-goal lead over the Dutch right now, having outscored opponents 4-1 as opposed to 2-1. Going into the Aug. 1 matches, the Americans have the advantage, so it’s certain that the Netherlands will be looking to run up the score against a struggling Vietnamese team.
The USWNT starting lineup struggled early against the Netherlands, falling behind 1-0 in the 17th minute on Jill Roord’s low-driven strike from the edge of the box. After taking the lead, the Dutch were largely able to control the pace of the game. They played some nice soccer in the first half and did a great job disrupting the USWNT’s advances.
As was the case multiple times against Vietnam, the U.S. struggled to move the ball up the field in the first half vs. the Netherlands. American soccer fans were therefore thrilled to see their team solve those problems in the second half.
With the Americans in desperate need of a goal, the trio of Sophia Smith, Alex Morgan and Trinity Rodman repeatedly displayed excellent teamwork. They played each other into space, worked their way through the Netherlands' sturdy defense, and created a couple of great chances.
Morgan had a prime scoring opportunity with a header off a cross from Rodman. Smith played Rodman in for a one-on-one confrontation with the Netherlands goalkeeper, but the young American forward fired her shot wide.
In the second half, the USWNT displayed all the energy and chemistry that any potential critics needed to see from it. Hopefully, the Americans can carry that momentum into their next game against Portugal.
This upcoming game will not be an easy ride for the U.S, and the Portuguese will be very aware that they have nothing to lose. A draw would likely lead to Portugal’s elimination, but an upset victory, combined with a Dutch win over Vietnam, would enable them to pass the Americans in the standings and advance to the knockout rounds.
If the Portuguese can pull off a miracle, they would send the two-time defending champs home and blow up all Women’s World Cup group-stage predictions in the process. It would be absolutely shocking to see the U.S. women make an early World Cup exit like that, and the team knows it must be ready to quickly dash any Portuguese hopes of winning.
Portugal held on for a close 1-0 loss to the Netherlands, but the scoreline didn’t do the game justice. The Dutch were in control for almost 90 minutes. If the Netherlands had its regular front line entirely healthy, what Portugal experienced against them would have been a lot worse.
In their 2-0 win over Vietnam, the Portuguese looked smooth and dominant. They missed several obvious scoring opportunities before going up 1-0 early in the game. That first goal only took seven minutes, but based on how it was playing, Portugal could have had three or four goals in that time frame.
Portugal’s Kika Nazareth and Jessica Silva are dangerous threats to move the ball forward, and their team also has some great finishers.
Whether you’re betting on the Women’s World Cup or simply a soccer fan, this Aug. 1 match is already shaping up as a can’t-miss event. The U.S. women’s soccer team’s odds to win sit at -334, making them the strong favorite, but Portugal has some talent in its starting 11 -- giving the Portuguese a greater chance at success than the odds might suggest.
USWNT vs Portugal Lineups & Injuries
Rose Lavelle came into the U.S. game against the Netherlands and provided some much-needed energy in the middle of the field throughout the second half. She was seemingly everywhere, and her touch and dribbling ability certainly made an impact.
Megan Rapinoe didn’t play at all for the USWNT after coming on as a substitute in the first game. Her absence might simply have been a tactical decision and was not necessarily injury-related.
Apart from those two players, there has been no significant USWNT news involving injuries or missed playing time since this tournament got under way. The American squad should be at full strength for its game against Portugal.
USA vs Portugal Predictions and Pick
Both teams to score
Both teams have everything to play for in this one, which likely means a patient opening 20 minutes followed by quickly-intensifying urgency, particularly from Portugal’s players.
The Portuguese know that if they don’t win this game, their shot at advancing to the knockout rounds will likely be over. As a result, Portugal will look to find weak spots in the U.S. defense and capitalize as early as possible. This likely won’t faze the Americans. The USWNT is used to the demands of major tournaments and its 2023 FIFA Women’s World Cup odds accurately reflect that fact.
Simply put, the U.S. women really know how to respond in big moments. They wore down and exhausted the Netherlands, causing the Dutch to lose their lead in the second half of both teams’ second group-stage game.
Portugal needs to be on the attack, because falling behind by a goal would be a disaster. I expect to see both teams score in this one, and an early Portuguese goal could turn this game into nail-biter for the Americans.
The Pick: Both Teams to Score - Yes (+140)
The Netherlands did a pretty good job of shutting down Sophia Smith -- refusing to give her a clean chance for 90 minutes. Portugal would love to do the same, but it is nowhere near as strong at the back as the Dutch former European champions, which is great news for an outstanding striker like Smith.
Trinity Rodman looked dangerous at times, too, and Alex Morgan put the ball in the back of the net only to see her goal overturned due to the offside rule. All three U.S. players could easily be the difference in this one, but Smith is still my pick as the most likely to score. She only needs one chance, and I predict that she gets it against Portugal’s defense.
The Pick: Sophia Smith to score anytime (+110)
This will undoubtedly be one of the most important games at this year’s Women’s World Cup tournament, and it’s a critically important one for the U.S. women. They need a positive result, which is a good situation, because that’s when this team tends to play its best soccer.
Somebody will emerge as the hero on Aug. 1 by driving the USWNT into the knockout rounds -- ideally atop Group E. I have no doubt that even if the Americans concede a goal in this game, they will still emerge as the winners. I also have a funny feeling about a 3-1 scoreline.
I’ll take the USWNT to win by two goals in the last of my free women’s soccer picks for the Americans’ 2023 group-stage games.
The Pick: USWNT to win by two goals (+235)
Best Women's World Cup Same Game Parlay Picks for USA vs Portugal: 3-Leg SGP (+1600)
Both teams to score
Leg-1 SGP Pick: Both teams to score - yes (+140)
Leg-2 SGP Pick: Sophia Smith to score anytime (+110)
SGP Pick: USWNT to win 1-3 (+1000)
Odds are subject to change*
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