2022/23 Premier League outright tips: To be relegated
We assess the best bets in the 2022/23 Premier League relegation market.
There isn’t much juice in this price, but that only emphasises how far behind the rest of the Premier League Bournemouth appear to be.
Scott Parker’s side weren’t even outstanding in the second half of their Championship campaign, ranking sixth in 2022 and picking up just 11 wins from 21 matches.
Adding just Ryan Fredericks, Joe Rothwell and Marcus Tavernier to that squad hardly suggests that they are set to quickly improve. Their 2022/23 squad features several of the players that were relegated in 2020, such as Philip Billing and Jefferson Lerma, but without Callum Wilson and Ryan Fraser.
Other than Dominic Solanke, who scored 29 Championship goals last season, they are badly lacking quality in the final third, while Scott Parker’s Premier League CV – two relegations with Fulham, the second of which was after a full season managing a strong squad – doesn’t inspire confidence.
They're +200 to finish bottom of the Premier League.
The only key difference between this Everton squad and the one that stayed up in May is that they have lost their talisman and best player.
Richarlison was instrumental in the Toffees’ survival, scoring six of their last 13 goals and carrying their attack on his own.
Without him, the team that scored the fewest Premier League goals bar the three relegated sides in 2022 looks set to further deteriorate.
Frank Lampard is already talking openly about another relegation battle and it’s conceivable that another slow start could result in yet another mid-season managerial change.
If this squad, lacking in much skill or dynamism, belonged to a club with a less prestigious name, they would surely be a much shorter price for relegation.
In what is a strong Premier League line-up, several teams at the bottom of the relegation market look good enough to stay up.
Brentford are so smartly run that relegation feels unlikely, Nottingham Forest have done plenty of eye-catching transfer business and Southampton are always good for a hot streak or two to stay alive under Ralph Hasenhuttl.
That leaves space for a surprise package to drop into the mix and that team could be Wolves.
Bruno Lage’s side finished 10th last season, despite ranking 17th for xPoints and 19th for xG. Raul Jimenez, who hasn’t looked the same player since his serious head injury, will also miss the first few weeks of this term with injury, leaving the unconvincing Fabio Silva as their only natural centre-forward.
Having initially made a splash in the top tier, there’s a sense that things are stagnating at Molineux so it’s worth backing them to go down while the price is healthy.
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