Super Bowl LVIII in Las Vegas is right around the corner, so it’s time to put together the best possible Super Bowl parlay bet that takes advantage of the highest-value odds related to the big game. It’s a quarterback matchup that pits Kansas City Chiefs poster boy Patrick Mahomes and Co. against the San Francisco 49ers’ ever impressive Brock Purdy. Given the amount of talent that will be on display, this game is sure to produce plenty of fireworks.

For these Super Bowl picks and same-game parlay, let’s take a look at the spread, points total, and some of our favorite player props for the Feb. 11 showdown in Las Vegas.
Best Super Bowl LVIII Same-Game Parlay Bets for 49ers vs. Chiefs: 4-Leg SGP Pick (+1000) Leg-1: Under 47.5 Points (-115) We will kick off this Super Bowl parlay with a bet on the total. The Kansas City Chiefs have not been the team we expected prior to the 2023 season. QB Patrick Mahomes, tight end Travis Kelce, and the Chiefs offense spent the last several years establishing themselves as one of the most high-powered, high-scoring units in football, but that reputation took a hit in 2023.

A year ago, the Chiefs were coming off a season in which they had led the NFL in points per game -- putting up an average of 29.2 while Kansas City’s defense also enjoyed a phenomenal season. Those outstanding performances on both sides of the ball resulted in a Super Bowl championship.

Last year, even the absence of star wide receiver Tyreek Hill didn’t seem to matter in Kansas City, as the Chiefs simply found other ways to put the football in the end zone. In 2023, however, Hill’s absence caught up to this team, and Kansas City repeatedly struggled to find reliable targets for Mahomes, who was no longer so easily able to convert his passes into points. Even Kelce had a down year in 2023, and he has come under fire for some crucial drops in big moments.

The result of Kansas City’s 2023 inconsistency has been a very poor performance against projected over/under totals. The Chiefs were only 5-12 against the over/under during the regular season. Including their three playoff games, Kansas City is just 1-5 when it comes to the total over the team’s last six appearances. That’s partly due to the Chiefs’ lockdown defense, which is supported by one of the NFL’s best secondaries.

More often than not this season, Kansas City’s defense has had to bail out the team in the face of subpar offensive showings. Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo called an outstanding game against quarterback Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, holding that talented team to just 10 points on its home field in the AFC Championship Game.

The San Francisco 49ers, who will face the Chiefs in this year’s Super Bowl, were 9-7-1 when it came to cashing overs during the regular season, and they are 1-1 so far in the playoffs. On Christmas Day, the Niners struggled against the Ravens, who have one of the NFL’s top five defenses. They scored just 19 points in their loss to Baltimore and only managed to cash the over in that one because of the Jackson and the Ravens, who contributed 33 points to the total.

Both Kansas City and San Francisco have superb defenses that rank in the NFL’s top five, and neither is allowing more than 18 points per game this season. I don’t doubt that both teams will see their play-makers step up in the Super Bowl, but I still believe the under is the safe play here when it comes to a parlay.

Leg-2: Point Spread San Francisco 49ers -1.5 (-120)

These two defenses are almost perfectly matched, based on their performances during the season. The Chiefs have allowed 16.8 points per game, which is good for second in the league, while the 49ers have allowed 18.4 and are right behind Kansas City in third place.

The Chiefs’ defense focuses on limiting explosive plays and playing incredibly tight man-coverage on the back end. Defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo was able to beat Baltimore quarterback Lamar Jackson with his unit’s execution in the AFC Championship Game, and he’ll be hoping to do the same against San Francisco’s Brock Purdy.

The 49ers, on the other hand, will look to pressure Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes and take advantage of a weak link in Kansas City’s two offensive tackles. Both Donovan Smith and Jawaan Taylor have had their struggles this season, and that could be an issue when they have to go up against San Francisco defensive ends Nick Bosa and Chase Young in the big game.

San Francisco is a little more vulnerable in its secondary, but the Chiefs’ array of offensive weapons is not quite as frightening as what the Niners have. Rookie wide receiver Rashee Rice has really stepped up and looks set to be a key part of Kansas City’s future. In addition, fans know tight end Travis Kelce will show up on the Super Bowl stage with girlfriend Taylor Swift in attendance.

However, unlike four years ago, when the Chiefs beat the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV, this time around I feel that San Francisco has enough to fend off Mahomes and the Chiefs offense. The Niners have been the more consistent team all season, while the Chiefs have been forced to find their rhythm late after what must be considered a down year by their own standards.

I have Purdy and the Niners taking this one all the way and covering what is a very conservative spread.

Leg-3: Travis Kelce 70+ Receiving Yards (-130)

Kansas City tight end Travis Kelce has already played in three Super Bowls with quarterback Patrick Mahomes, so they are hardly strangers when it comes to this environment. Over the three previous Super Bowls, Kelce has caught passes for a total of 257 receiving yards and two touchdowns. That includes his stunning, 133-yard performance in a Super Bowl LV loss to quarterback Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Kelce’s receiving-yardage total is set at 69.5 -- a number he easily surpassed in each of his last two Super Bowl appearances. The 49ers held him to six catches for 43 yards and a touchdown four years ago, but this is a very different defense that might not necessarily have the pieces to limit him to a low-yardage total this time.

Kelce has cleared 70 receiving yards in all three of his postseason games this year, and I don’t expect the Super Bowl to be any different.

Leg-4: George Kittle 45+ Receiving Yards (-140)

We round out our Super Bowl parlay here by focusing on San Francisco tight end George Kittle’s receiving-yardage line. The Kansas City Chiefs’ secondary is phenomenal when it comes to man-coverage, with players such as cornerbacks Trent McDuffie and L’Jarius Sneed often able to silence dangerous receivers on the outside. San Francisco WRs Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel will have their work cut out for them, but both Samuel and Kittle can be used in ways that nullify those star corners.

I expect to see Samuel moved around a lot to find ways to get him open during this game, but Kittle’s matchup against the linebackers and safeties is the one I really like.

The Chiefs become stubborn in the red zone, but there should be space for Kittle to get open. In the 2022 regular-season matchup between these two teams, Kittle had six catches for 98 yards and a touchdown.

He could be a major factor here in proving to be a reliable option for quarterback Brock Purdy when the other 49ers pass-catchers face tight coverage. I expect at least five receptions and at least 50 receiving yards from Kittle during the Super Bowl, and there might not be a more determined man on the field when this game rolls around. Kittle vowed to make it back to the Super Bowl after the 49ers’ 2020 loss to the Chiefs, and he now has his shot at revenge.

THE BIG GAME SAME GAME PARLAY @ (+1000): Bet $10 to Win $110

WELCOME OFFER: Bet $50 Get $200 if your first bet wins. Download Betway Sportsbook today!

Bet on Super Bowl odds

Find season-long NFL betting odds on the Betway. You'll find all the latest spreads, parlays, totals, NFL prop bets, moneylines, and NFL futures. Or call it how you see it with our live NFL betting in-play. All your NFL betting needs are covered at our online sportsbook.

Betway Sports Betting States