NFL betting picks: Best bets for Steelers vs Browns
Mike Ortiz Jr. makes his Thursday Night Football Picks and Predictions for Steelers vs Browns in Week 3, including his best bets and player props.
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Steelers vs Browns Odds, Over/Under, Moneyline - Week 3
Rain is currently in the forecast for Thursday night as the Pittsburgh Steelers will head on the road to FirstEnergy Stadium to take on the Cleveland Browns. Both teams come into this matchup at 1-1, but please don’t let their records fool you because they’re lightyears apart.
Moneyline: Pittsburgh Steelers +160, Cleveland Browns -190
Spread: Steelers +4.5 (-110), Browns -4.5 (-110)
Total: Over/Under 38.5
Steelers vs Browns Predictions – NFL Week 3 Picks
The Steelers decrowned the reigning AFC Champions in Week 1 and held around with the New England Patriots in Week 2. As for the Browns, they almost sizzled out against a bad Carolina Panthers team and then completely collapsed against the New York Jets in the fourth quarter to lose 31-30. I have no clue why the Steelers are underdogs in this one, take them on the moneyline for plus money to start Week 3.
The Pick: Steelers ML (+160)
While it’s not as bad as the Ben Roethlisberger-led offense from a year ago, this Mitchell Trubisky-led offense isn’t much better. Offensive coordinator Matt Canada definitely gets a lion-share of the blame as well, as his play-calling has been subpar to be nice. Trubisky needs to take more deep shots, but on a short week, don’t expect it.
On the other side of the ball, the Browns will look to continue to keep pressure off of Brissett by utilizing their solid one-two punch backfield with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt. With rain being a factor as well in this one, I lean the under.
The Pick: Under 38.5 (-110)
Best Steelers vs Browns Player Prop Bets
Pittsburgh Steelers Defense
There’s a growing concern about how the Steelers defense will hold up without TJ Watt. And that concern only grew after last Sunday when the Steelers failed to sack Patriots quarterback, Mac Jones.
Defensive end Cameron Heyward drew double team after double team against New England and will most likely face the same scenario Thursday night unless linebackers Myles Jack, Alex Highsmith, and Devin Bush can force pressure on Brissett and sack him a few times.
While opposing defenses have only gotten to Brissett twice this season, I expect this Steelers defense to turn that around and give Brissett a hard time on Thursday night. Expect Jack, Highsmith, and Bush to put pressure on Brissett and to allow safety Minkah Fitzpatrick to roam free.
With two interceptions through two weeks, if the Steelers get the pressure they need upfront on Brissett, not only do I think the Steelers will force him to throw an interception, but I think Fitzpatrick is the one who gets it.
The Pick: Jacoby Brissett to throw an interception (+105)
Pat Freiermuth
I absolutely love this matchup for Freiermuth on Thursday night. In the Browns first two matchups, Panthers tight end Ian Thomas had two catches for 53 yards, and Jets tight end Tyler Conklin had six catches for 40 yards. Certainly nothing crazy, but in their other games this season, Thomas only had one reception for 13 yards and Conklin had four receptions for 16 yards and a garbage touchdown. Now, I’m not saying that the Browns defense is terrible at covering opposing tight ends, but Freiermuth’s props for Thursday night are too low to not take advantage of.
The second-year player was third on the team in targets behind Diontae Johnson (169) and Chase Claypool (103), and third in red zone targets behind Najee Harris (43) and Diontae Johnson (25) last season. Improving to second in both of those categories this season, expect Freiermuth to improve on those numbers Thursday night.
The Picks: Pat Freiermuth over 38.5 receiving yards (-110)
Pat Freiermuth anytime touchdown scorer (+230)
Pat Freiermuth over 3.5 receptions (-160)
