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NFL Schedule Week 4 – Game info

2023 NFL Regular Season Game
Washington Commanders (2-1) vs Philadelphia Eagles (3-0)
Date: Sunday, Oct. 1
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pa.
TV Channel: Fox
Live Stream: NFL+

It will be a clash of longtime NFC East rivals Sunday when the 2-1 Washington Commanders visit Lincoln Financial Field to take on the 3-0 Philadelphia Eagles. The Commanders will be looking to pull off an upset that would spoil the Eagles’ perfect start to the 2023 season.

Washington suffered a humiliating 37-3 loss to the Buffalo Bills last weekend. Second-year quarterback Sam Howell struggled throughout and could not deal with immense pressure from the Buffalo pass rush. The Bills defense was on top of its game -- sacking Howell nine times and intercepting four of his passes.

Meanwhile, the Eagles improved to 3-0 by beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25-11 on Monday Night Football. Philadelphia once again relied heavily on its running game with D’Andre Swift breaking the 100-yard rushing barrier for the second straight week. Since the Dallas Cowboys slipped up against the Arizona Cardinals last week, a Commanders victory here in their first divisional matchup of the season would help establish them as the best team in the NFC East.

Commanders vs. Eagles Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Week 2

Moneyline: Washington Commanders +310, Philadelphia Eagles -425
Spread: Washington Commanders +8.5 (-110), Philadelphia Eagles -8.5 (-120)
Total: Over/Under 43.50 points (-110)

Commanders vs. Eagles Preview

Philadelphia has enjoyed great success of late and has a stronger roster than Washington, so it might be easy to write the Commanders off in this game. Since the 2019 season, these teams have faced each other six times -- splitting the series 3-3. Last season, the Commanders won the teams’ most recent meeting 32-12 when Taylor Heinicke started for them at quarterback. The Commanders are arguably in a better position this year with Sam Howell at QB, and they should be able to put up a fight against an Eagles team that is uncharacteristically allowing opponents more yards per game.

Howell has shown flashes of his potential, having thrown for 671 yards and three touchdowns on the year. His last game was a big concern for Commanders fans, because Howell really struggled against a good Bills defense. In his first two games, he had faced the weaker Cardinals and a Broncos defense that just yielded 70 points to the Dolphins.

The Eagles might be considered an even tougher defensive matchup for the Commanders than the Bills were. Philadelphia’s defensive line is one of the NFL’s most dominant, and it will pressure Howell all afternoon. He is the league’s most frequently sacked quarterback this season – having gone down 19 times. That’s a full six sacks ahead of the next-highest total for any NFL QB.

After a promising preseason, Commanders receiver Jahan Dotson has had a disappointing start to the regular season. He has barely been involved, even though we know how much of a difference-maker he can be. Whether it’s Howell or offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, someone needs to figure out how to scheme more plays for Dotson. Facing an Eagles secondary suffering from a few injuries, Dotson could be the key to gaining the edge on Sunday.

While Dotson has struggled, Washington running back Brian Robinson Jr. has been on fire to start the season -- rushing for a per-game average of 72 yards per game along with the two touchdowns he has scored. Robinson is outperforming everyone’s preseason expectations and seems to have phased out Antonio Gibson, who has been reduced to two or three carries per game. Skeptics might wonder if Robinson can sustain this level of play, but he just managed 70 yards on 10 carries against the Bills and shows no sign of slowing down.

Sunday’s game will by far be Robinson’s toughest test yet – going up against an Eagles team that has allowed only 145 total rushing yards through the season’s first three games. Philadelphia held New England’s Rhamondre Stevenson to 25 yards, Minnesota’s Alexander Mattison to 28, and Tampa Bay’s Rachaad White to 38. The Eagles are very good against the run, and if they get an early lead, Robinson’s involvement might fade like it did against the Bills, when he only carried the ball 10 times.

They might be 3-0, but this season has not been smooth sailing for the Eagles. Quarterback Jalen Hurts appears to be struggling in comparison to his performance last season. Whether it's rust or the departure of former offensive coordinator Shane Steichen, who is now the Colts’ head coach, something isn't quite connecting for Hurts. His team is grinding out wins, but it’s not pretty.

Surprisingly, Hurts has thrown as many interceptions as touchdowns so far this season. In keeping with his reputation, he does have three rushing touchdowns to his name, but his three interceptions are concerning, since he was only picked off six times last season. Obviously, the Eagles are still winning, but in closer games against tougher opponents, this could end up hurting them.

While Hurts hasn’t been his usual self, the Eagles have relied heavily on their running game. No one thought D’Andre Swift’s usage would be this high when the Eagles traded for him. In Week 2, he took over as the starting running back in the wake of Kenneth Gainwell's injury. During that game, he rushed for an impressive 175 yards and scored a touchdown on 28 carries. In Week 3 against the Bucs, Swift continued his strong performance -- rushing for 130 yards on 16 carries for an impressive average of 8.1 yards per carry.

Jason Kelce and the Eagles' offensive line have played a big role in making Swift so effective. They create massive running lanes with space enough for two or three Swifts to breeze through. The Eagles have made it clear that they’re going to ride the hot hand, so expect more of the same from Swift against the Commanders.

Wide receiver A.J. Brown was visibly angry after Philadelphia’s Week 2 win over the Vikings, when he caught only four passes for 29 yards. In Week 3, the Eagles made a point to target him more, and he did not disappoint with 131 yards off nine receptions. He did not manage to score, but his first touchdown of the year is coming.

Unfortunately for DeVonta Smith, Brown’s target share and Hurts’ decrease in passing attempts caused Smith to have a down week at Tampa Bay. It’s unclear whether this season’s version of Hurts will be able to accommodate two elite receivers, so big-yardage days could yo-yo between them for the rest of the season.

Commanders vs. Eagles Predictions and NFL Picks Week 4

The Eagles are the better team here. It doesn’t matter that they’re struggling on offense, because they have a game script that works. It’s a simple plan: Run the ball down the gut of the other team and get close enough for Jalen Hurts to quarterback-sneak into the end zone. Rinse and repeat.

The more the Eagles run the ball, the longer they will keep Washington’s offense off the field. When it does manage to get on the field, the Commanders offense will be up against a defense strong enough to make life difficult for quarterback Sam Howell.

The spread is on the larger side here, but I’m confident that the Eagles can shut down the Commanders and put enough points on the board to clear this line.

The Pick: Eagles -8.5 (110)

With the Eagles likely to keep the ball on the ground, the clock will keep running, and the Commanders won’t have much time to put up points against a good Philadelphia defense.

The Bills held the Commanders to three points last game, and the Eagles will be looking to replicate that performance here. Other than what they did against the Broncos, whom we now know can’t defend, the Commanders have hit the under line in their two other games. I’m going to back the under in this one, too. It might be a slow, painful day for the Commanders.

The Pick: Under 43.5 Total Points (-110)

Best NFL Player Prop Bets: Commanders vs. Eagles

D’Andre Swift

The Eagles are going to ride their hot hand, which means D’Andre Swift is going to get the ball a lot. With the holes he’s been getting, he should be able to make some large chunk plays and run this game out.

Swift’s rushing line is set to 64.5 yards, and he should sail past this. I’d even think about laddering 75+ and 100+ yards for some great value bets. The Commanders allowed 168 rushing yards against the Bills last week, and none of Buffalo’s running backs are as explosive as Swift.

The Pick: D’Andre Swift over 64.5 rushing yards (-125)

Brian Robinson

The Eagles are so good against the run. Brian Robinson’s rushing line currently stands at 53.5 yards. This season, the Eagles have not let a single player rush for more than 40 yards against them. Brian Robinson might be better than any back they’ve faced -- based on how he has started the season -- but the Eagles’ defense should be able to stop him.

The Pick: Brian Robinson under 53.5 rushing yards (-120)

Best Same-Game Parlay Picks for Commanders vs. Eagles Week 4: 2-Leg Parlay Pick (+300)

Spread Bet

Leg 1: Eagles -8.5 (120)

Total Points

Leg 2: Under 43.5 Total Points (-110)

Odds are subject to change* 

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