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Best Same-Game Parlay Picks for Commanders vs. Falcons Week 6: 2-Leg Parlay Pick (+270)

Spread Bet

Leg-1 SGP Pick: Atlanta Falcons -2.5 (-120)

Total Points

Leg-2 SGP Pick: Under 42.5 Points (-105)

NFL Schedule Week 6 – Game info

2023 NFL Regular Season Game
Washington Commanders (2-3) vs Atlanta Falcons (3-2)
Date: Sunday, Oct. 15
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Mercedes Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Ga.
TV Channel: CBS
Live Stream: FuboTV 

The Washington Commanders hit the road this weekend after suffering last week’s embarrassing Thursday night home loss to the Chicago Bears. Head coach Ron Rivera will be hoping his team can bounce back in what should be considered another very winnable game. Atlanta, meanwhile, is hoping to build on quarterback Desmond Ridder's best performance as a Falcon in last week’s 21-19 win over Houston.

Commanders vs. Falcons Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Week 6

Moneyline: Washington Commanders +120, Atlanta Falcons -140
Spread: Commanders +2.5 (-105), Cardinals -2.5 (-115)
Total: Over/Under 42.5 points  

Commanders at Falcons Preview

In their Week 5 Thursday Night Football matchup with Chicago, the Commanders found themselves chasing the game all night. They failed to contain Bears receiver DJ Moore early, and some poor tackling in the open field led to a disastrous 17-0 second quarter deficit from which they could not recover.

Chicago’s Moore caught eight passes for 230 yards and three touchdowns against a very poor-looking Commanders secondary, and Bears QB Justin Fields was able to comfortably sling the football down the field all night.

When the Commanders front seven can’t get to opposing quarterbacks, Washington’s secondary struggles. This team ranks in the lower half of the NFL for both passing and rushing yards allowed. In giving up an average of 32 points per game, Washington has the league’s second-worst total behind only the Denver Broncos.

Commanders quarterback Sam Howell has played at a mediocre level so far this season, but his defense certainly isn’t helping. Washington fell behind early in Week 3 against the Buffalo Bills, and it faced the same fate in its loss to the Bears.

Howell seems to be struggling to hit his marks when looking downfield. He threw a poor interception against Chicago over the middle of the field and had four others in a very forgettable 37-3 loss to Buffalo.

The combination of turnovers and a leaky defense is costing the Commanders tremendously right now. They need to clean up their play on both sides of the football if they want to remain competitive in the second half of the season.

Atlanta hasn’t exactly lit up the league this year either, but the Falcons offense had a standout performance last Sunday against Houston.

Tight end Kyle Pitts was finally involved and effective for Atlanta after it was rumored that he might not be 100 percent recovered from the MCL injury he suffered last season. Pitts had been quiet this year, but he found his game on Sunday with seven catches for 87 yards.

Give credit where it's due, because Falcons QB Desmond Ridder looked like a different player in Week 5. He had struggled pretty badly through the season’s first four weeks, and the Falcons offense had stumbled as a result. In Week 5, however, Ridder graded as one of the better quarterbacks in the league.

The former Cincinnati Bearcat threw for 329 yards and a touchdown while completing 75 percent of his passes against Houston. He also managed to involve both wide receiver Drake London and Pitts in the offense. Fans finally got to enjoy some of the offensive talent Atlanta has to offer. When they combine that production with the threat of their running game, the Falcons really might have something cooking.

Defensively, Atlanta has looked pretty good against the pass, in particular. The Falcons spent a lot of free-agency money to add talent to their defense, and that unit started clicking early this year.

Safety Jessie Bates is playing at an elite level and looks to be worth every dollar of his contract right now. Cornerbacks Dee Alford and Jeff Okudah have also been solid in coverage while supporting the team’s top CB, A.J. Terrell.

Washington’s Howell could have a tough time against this Atlanta secondary. He needs to speed up his progressions and trust his eyes if the Commanders hope to win this game.

Commanders vs. Falcons Prediction & NFL Picks Week 6

I expect to see the Falcons’ rushing attack play a major role in this game. The Commanders have been pretty slow out of the gate multiple times this year, so controlling possession, extending drives, and putting some early points on the board could make the difference for Atlanta.

Running back Bijan Robinson was relatively quiet against Houston last week, but he had a great day against Jacksonville in Week 4. Facing the Jaguars’ top-5 defensive front, Robinson ran for 105 yards and caught passes for another 32.

The Commanders have struggled defending against the run and are leaving too many gaps open at the secondary level. I have Atlanta winning this game and covering, provided that Ridder doesn’t lose a turnover battle with Howell.

The Pick: Atlanta Falcons -2.5 (-110)

Unless Atlanta really tees off on the Commanders’ secondary, I don’t see this being a particularly high-scoring game. The Falcons are giving up just 19.2 points per game this season, and they have kept better offenses than Washington’s relatively quiet.

While Washington is allowing more than 32 points per game, the Falcons are scoring 16.6. I’d expect to see them end up in the middle with a score line somewhere around 24-14 in Atlanta’s favor. I’ll back the under in this one.

The Pick: Under 42.5 Points (-110)

Best NFL Player Prop Bets: Commanders vs. Falcons

Sam Howell

I like the odds of Commanders quarterback Sam Howell throwing a pick here. If Washington falls behind, and the young QB needs to start testing this Falcons secondary down the field, it could end in disaster.

Howell has thrown six picks so far this season, including at least one in three of his five starts. He completes passes at a high rate because a lot of his attempts are short-yardage throws. However, when he starts to hang around in the pocket a little longer and look deeper downfield, mistakes creep into his game.

The Pick: Sam Howell Over 0.5 Interceptions Thrown (-141)

Bijan Robinson

Many expected Falcons running back Bijan Robinson to really announce himself on the main stage in last week’s matchup against Houston. The Texans did a pretty good job of keeping him quiet, but this could be the week for his breakout performance.

I have already mentioned the struggles that Washington has faced against the run. Against Chicago, the Commanders gave up more than 130 yards to a combination of running back Khalil Herbert and QB Justin Fields. The same thing happened against Buffalo’s James Cook and Josh Allen, when Washington yielded more than 140 yards to the Bills duo. Robinson therefore could see a lot of work in this game and put up some big numbers. I’ll take the over on 70.5 rushing yards for him here in Week 6.

The Pick: Bijan Robinson Over 70.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Odds are subject to change*

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