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Best Same-Game Parlay Picks for Buccaneers vs. Lions Divisional Round: 3-Leg Parlay Pick (+500)

Spread Bet

Leg-1 SGP Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 (-110)

Total Points

Leg-2 SGP Pick: Over 48.5 Points

Receiving Yards

Leg-3 SGP Pick: Mike Evans over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-130)

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NFL Schedule Divisional Round – Game info - Buccaneers at Lions

2023-24 NFL Divisional Round Game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-8) vs. Detroit Lions (13-5)
Date: Sunday, Jan. 21
Time: 3 p.m. ET

Venue: Ford Field in Detroit, Mich.
TV Channel: NBC
Live Stream: FuboTV

Detroit’s Ford Field was running high with emotion last weekend after the hometown Lions won their first NFL playoff game in 32 years. Their reward for that victory is another home playoff game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Lions fans have waited more than three decades for a postseason run like this, and it certainly seems that head coach Dan Campbell’s physical brand of football is working for the boys in blue.

The Lions will be facing a Tampa Bay team that is much more familiar with the playoffs, even though many NFL observers might not have expected the Bucs to get this far. Tampa dismantled Philadelphia 32-9 on Monday night – enabling the Eagles to complete their dramatic late-season collapse. That game was more than just another playoff win for the Bucs, it was also the latest chapter in quarterback Baker Mayfield’s redemption narrative.

Mayfield has been a fantastic story for Tampa Bay since the start of the season. Taking over from Tom Brady was never going to be easy, but Mayfield has done it in style and managed to take the Bucs one step further than Brady could last year.

Detroit quarterback Jared Goff also enjoying a rebirth of his own this season, so there is no shortage of likeable characters to root for in this game. Weak secondaries on both sides of the ball should also add some fireworks on Sunday, and this one is shaping up to be a very enjoyable watch.

Buccaneers vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Divisional Round

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +240, Detroit Lions -300
Spread: Buccaneers +6.5 (-110), Lions -6.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 49.5 points

Buccaneers at Lions Preview

After jumping out to a 14-3 first-quarter lead against the Los Angeles Rams in their playoff opener last Sunday, the Lions ended up having to grind out a 24-23 win -- their first postseason victory in 32 years. It was a beautiful day for Detroit fans, who witnessed a well-rounded performance on both sides of the ball.

Detroit quarterback Jared Goff was very efficient against the Rams -- completing 22 of 27 pass attempts for 277 yards and a touchdown. His TD pass went to star rookie tight end Sam LaPorta, who already appears to be one of the NFL’s best at his position. LaPorta has had an extra week to recover from a knee injury, so the Buccaneers secondary will need to be on high alert Sunday.

They also must worry about the presence of Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown, who caught seven passes for 110 yards in the win over L.A. last week. That was his 10th 100-yard game of the season, which only confirms his status as one of the league’s best receivers. St. Brown combined with Goff on a clutch 11-yard pass for a first down that iced the game by allowing the Lions to run out the clock. Tampa Bay gives up 248 passing yards per game, so a matchup with the Bucs presents St. Brown with another fantastic opportunity to break the 100-yard mark.

Of course, when NFL fans think of Detroit, they think of the Lions’ running game. The NFC North champs boast one of the most daunting 1-2 running-back punches in the NFL with David Mongomery offering the power and rookie Jahmyr Gibbs offering the game-breaking speed and agility. Detroit’s 132 rushing yards per game were the sixth-most among NFL teams during the regular season. Much of that success was due to an elite run-blocking offensive line and a genius play-caller in offensive coordinator Ben Johnson.

The Detroit offensive line’s matchup against the Buccaneers' defensive line will be one of the keys to this game. Led by Vita Vea at defensive tackle, the Buccaneers are a brutal run-stopping unit that yields only 92 yards per game on the ground. They allowed a total of just 42 rushing yards to D’Andre Swift, Jalen Hurts, and the Eagles last week, helping the Buccaneers dominate their playoff opener from beginning to end.

Tampa Bay will also have a challenge when it looks to run the ball. Detroit allows only 3.7 yards per carry, and the Buccaneers’ offensive line is not likely to cause problems for the Lions. Bucs running back Rachaad White rushed for 72 yards on 18 carries last Monday, but I expect him to struggle on the ground this week. Luckily, he is a very useful pass-catcher, so I still expect him to be involved in the offense.

Only two teams (Philadelphia and Washington) allowed more passing yards per game than Detroit (253.4) during the 2023-24 season. As a result, I expect that we will see another dose of gunslinger Mayfield. In his first season with the Buccaneers, the 28-year-old veteran QB threw for more than 4,000 yards for the first time in his career. His confidence has returned, and he has been effectively running the show for Tampa Bay.

Last week, Mayfield helped five different receivers each catch passes for more than 40 yards on a day that could have been even better were it not for a couple of Mike Evans drops. Detroit ranks among the bottom third of NFL teams when it comes to sacks, so Mayfield should have plenty of time to dial up deep shots to his talented group of receivers.

Evans and Chris Godwin both went over 1,000 receiving yards in 2023-24, but it was tight end Cade Otton, veteran wide receiver David Moore, and rookie receiver Trey Palmer who did the damage last week. There should be no shortage of passing yards in this Divisional Round matchup.

Buccaneers vs. Lions Predictions and PicksThe Buccaneers swept aside the Eagles with ease last week, and they will be full of confidence going into Ford Field and trying to spoil the party for a home crowd hungry for another playoff victory. The Lions are the better team, but there is much more pressure to deal with in playoff games, and the Buccaneers will fight hard.

I will be taking the Lions to win this game, but my bet here is on the Buccaneers to cover. They match up nicely against Detroit’s preferred approach of running the ball, and their talented group of receivers should have no problem gaining yardage against the Lions' secondary. I could see this one being closer than the spread suggests.

The Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 (-110)

We have to take the over here. The dome at Ford Field provides the perfect environment for players such as Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta of Detroit and Mike Evans and Chris Godwin of Tampa Bay to rack up a lot of receiving yards. Those are just four of the many talented pass-catchers in this game, which should give us its share of fireworks.

Neither team has a reputation for sacking opposing quarterbacks, and both secondaries are among the NFL’s bottom six when it comes to passing yards conceded. Both QBs should have no problem picking these defenses apart, and I think we will soar past the 48.5-point total.

The Pick: Over 49.5 Points (-110)

Best NFL Player-Prop Bets for Buccaneers vs. Lions

Amon-Ra St Brown

The Lions have several reliable pass catchers, but Amon-Ra St. Brown is the player they call upon in the biggest moments. Detroit quarterback Jared Goff looked St. Brown’s way when he needed to convert a 2nd-and-9 situation to ice the game against Los Angeles. He will be looking St. Brown’s way often in the Lions’ bid to reach the NFC Championship Game for the first time since the 1991 season.

St. Brown is a silky route-runner who can take any play to the house. That makes him a matchup nightmare for a Buccaneers secondary that gave up the NFL’s sixth-most passing yards per game during the regular season. His line of 88.5 yards is high, but St. Brown has exceeded 100 yards 10 times this year, and this matchup is about as good as they come.

The Pick: Amon-Ra St. Brown over 88.5 Receiving Yards (-134)

Mike Evans

I picked the over on Tampa Bay wide receiver Mike Evans last week, and he let me down with a couple of big drops. His current line of 67.5 yards is a testament to a Tampa Bay offense that has several weapons in its passing game, but there is no doubt that Evans is the alpha of this group.

His 1,255 yards and 13 touchdowns this season clearly make Evans the favorite target for quarterback Baker Mayfield, and he has an ideal matchup at Detroit on Sunday. The Lions allow the NFL’s third-most passing yards per game, and things won’t be as straightforward for Tampa as they were last week. Evans will need to be involved regularly if the Bucs hope to beat the Lions, so a line of 67.5 yards looks generous to me.

The Pick: Mike Evans over 67.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Odds are subject to change*

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