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Eagles vs Buccaneers Predictions, Props and SGP (+400) - Wild Card Round


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Eagles vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Wild Card Odds 1/15/24

Moneyline: Philadelphia Eagles -163, Tampa Bay Buccaneers +135
Spread: Eagles-3 (-105), Buccaneers +3 (-115)

Total: Over/Under 43.5 points

NFL Schedule Wild-Card Round – Game info - Eagles at Buccaneers

2023-24 NFL Wild-Card Round Game
Philadelphia Eagles (11-6) vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-8)
Date: Monday, Jan. 15
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue: Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla.
TV Channels: ABC, ESPN

Live Stream: ESPN+, NFL+
Live Radio: Sirius/XM

The Monday Night Football Wild-Card Round game will showcase two teams that limped their way into the playoffs. After enjoying a stellar start to their season, the Philadelphia Eagles made history by losing five of their final six games in becoming the first NFL team to fall short of 12 wins after starting a season at 10-1.

Philly has well-documented issues on defense, and the Eagles’ offense hasn’t been lighting it up of late either. This team was the Super Bowl runner-up last season, but it enters this year’s playoffs as an outsider. Nevertheless, opposing teams should still proceed with caution when it comes to playing against Philadelphia

The Eagles’ Monday night opponent, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, claimed the NFC South division title with a 9-0 victory over the hapless Carolina Panthers in Week 18. That win earned the Bucs the right to host a playoff game even though their 9-8 record is the weakest mark among the 14 NFL teams that qualified for the postseason.

Tampa Bay’s failure to score a touchdown in the regular-season finale against the worst team in the NFL is concerning, but the Buccaneers’ four-game win streak in December is still fresh in the players’ memories, and the Bucs undoubtedly like their chances of dealing the knockout blow to complete Philadelphia’s dramatic collapse.

This game is a battle of bad defenses, so NFL fans could be in for a fun Monday night to close out the playoffs’ Wild-Card Round.

Eagles at Buccaneers Preview

When the Eagles jumped out to a 10-1 record through their first 11 games, no one could have predicted that they were about to experience a collapse of the current freefall’s magnitude. Philadelphia was routed by the San Francisco 49ers on Dec. 3. That loss kickstarted a six-week stretch in which the Eagles were hammered by the Cowboys and suffered embarrassing defeats at the hands of the Arizona Cardinals and New York Giants -- both teams with top-10 picks in the next NFL Draft.

The Eagles enter this game with both of their star wide receivers banged-up. Quarterback Jalen Hurts is also hampered by a finger injury that he suffered in the Week 18 loss to the Giants. This has been a messy stretch for Philadelphia, but it is important not to get too carried away when discussing it. Despite the recent woes, this team’s offense still managed to average 354 yards per game this season, which was the eighth-best mark in the NFL.

Philadelphia’s A.J. Brown remains one of the most feared wide receivers in the league. Brown caught 106 passes for 1,456 yards during the regular season. He is supported well by fellow receiver DeVonta Smith, who had 1,066 receiving yards, and tight end Dallas Goedert, who had 592 yards despite missing time with a broken arm.

This is still an offensive unit with the potential to explode at any time, and Tampa Bay will surely be very aware of the threat the Eagles pose. The two teams met on Sept. 25 in Week 3, and the Eagles put up 472 yards in winning 25-11. In addition to the players mentioned above, it’s important to note that Philadelphia running back D’Andre Swift, who ran for 130 yards in the Week 3 game at Tampa, broke the 1,000-yard rushing mark during the regular season. Eagles QB Hurts threw for a career-best 3,858 yards and rushed for 605 more in 17 starts this season, and his combined touchdown total was a whopping 38.

Philadelphia’s offense clearly has the players it needs to put up a lot of points on Monday, but the Eagles will need to rediscover their mojo. Fortunately for them, the Buccaneers will offer up a beatable defense that can help Philly get back on track. Tampa Bay allowed 248.9 passing yards per game during the regular season to rank only 29th in the NFL. Were it not for Carolina’s paltry 68-yard passing effort in the season finale, the Bucs would have finished dead last in the league when it comes to defending against the pass.

As long as they are both healthy, Eagles wide receivers Brown and Smith should have no trouble getting loose against this Tampa Bay secondary, which should lead to a much more fluid offensive output from the visitors. The tougher matchup is for running back Swift, since the Buccaneers allowed the NFL’s fifth-fewest rushing yards per game (95.3) during the regular season. Reviewing the tape of Smith’s 130-yard performance at Tampa in September should remind the Bucs that they will need to be sharp in this game. Swift is a dynamic player who benefits from playing against defenses that must also account for Hurts’ rushing ability.

As bad as the Buccaneers have been when it comes to stopping the pass, the Eagles have been even worse. Only one NFL team, the Washington Commanders, allowed more passing yards per game than the 252.7 conceded by Philadelphia during the regular season. Failure to cover opposing receivers is a big reason why the Eagles have fallen so far.

Tampa Bay has been a mixed bag on offense this year, but the Bucs have certainly shown some flashes of great potential. Quarterback Baker Mayfield, in his first year with the franchise, threw for a career-high 4,044 passing yards and 28 touchdowns in 2023-24. He has helped both wide receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin eclipse 1,000 receiving yards, with the former also notching an impressive 13 touchdown receptions.

Philadelphia’s Brown and Smith appear poised to have a big game, but Evans and Godwin should also enjoy this Monday night matchup. The Eagles have offered up little in their efforts to stop opposition passing attacks, which could make this an exciting back-and-forth affair

Philadelphia’s run defense is also not as dominant as it was earlier in the season. The Eagles rank only 20th in the league when it comes to yards conceded per carry (4.3), and that is very good news for Tampa Bay running back Rachaad White, who was limited to just 38 yards on 14 carries last time these teams met.

White’s game has seen a massive improvement since that Week 3 matchup. The sophomore running back ended the regular season with 990 rushing yards and 549 receiving yards, adding nine touchdowns. His 1,539 total yards show what a dangerous dual-threat weapon he is, and he will be a very important part of Tampa Bay’s offense in this game.

Eagles vs. Buccaneers Predictions and PicksThe energy around Philadelphia is as bad as it gets at the moment, but the start of the playoffs offers the perfect reset opportunity. The Buccaneers are hardly the league’s most intimidating opponent, which gives Philadelphia a chance to steady its ship. Granted, one might have thought the same thing prior to Philly’s Week 18 game against the New York Giants, but at least part of the Eagles’ inability to win that one could be attributed to the fact that they were playing against a familiar divisional opponent.

The Eagles still have an abundance of offensive firepower, with wide receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, along with tight end Dallas Goedert, representing one of the NFL’s most talented pass-catching groups. Throw in the rushing abilities of running back D’Andre Swift and quarterback Jalen Hurts, and there will likely be too much for Tampa to deal with here. It’s time for Philadelphia to stop its slide, and I think the Eagles will return to winning on a playoff stage.

The Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -3 (-105)

This game features two of the worst pass defenses in the entire NFL, so we have to take the over here. Not only are both teams incapable of stopping the pass, but there will be numerous offensive weapons on the field, including Philadelphia’s A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert, plus Tampa’s Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Rachaad White. I expect to see lots of offense on display on Monday night, and a line of 43.5 looks very generous.

The Pick: Over 43.5 (-110)

Best NFL Player-Prop Bets for Eagles vs. Buccaneers

A.J. Brown

It is hard not to focus on the aerial attacks here. The Buccaneers and Eagles both rank as bottom-four defenses when it comes to passing yards conceded per game, so I expect both to rely on their quarterbacks to put up points.

Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown was electric at the start of the season, posting six consecutive games with at least 127 receiving yards between Weeks 3 and 8.  He was much less of a factor during the latter stages of the season, when the Eagles were marching toward their dismal finish. Philadelphia’s coaching staff admitted last week that it needs to get Brown going again, and this is the perfect matchup in which to unleash a star receiver.

The Pick: AJ Brown over XX Receiving Yards (-XX)

Rachaad White

I like A.J. Brown in this game because he is pivotal to the Eagles' offense, and I think the same is true for Tampa Bay running back Rachaad White. He was a big part of the Buccaneers' four-game winning streak in December before being kept quiet in the 23-13 loss to New Orleans that ended the streak

White is a very dangerous dual-threat option and is so important in helping Tampa Bay sustain its drives. There is no doubt that Philadelphia is stronger against the run than the pass, so I expect the Buccaneers to get White going as a receiver in an effort to keep him involved.

The Pick: Rachaad White over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

Best Same-Game Parlay Picks for Eagles vs. Buccaneers Wild-Card Round: 3-Leg Parlay Pick (+400)

Spread Bet

Leg-1: Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 (-130)

Total Points

Leg-2: Over 43.5 (-125)

Receiving Yards

Leg-3: Rachaad White 25+ Receiving Yards (-115)

Odds are subject to change*

NFL SGP @(+400): Bet $100 to Win $500

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