MNF Broncos vs Bills Predictions, Odds, Picks, Props and SGP (+360)
Mike Ortiz Jr. makes his best MNF picks today and predictions for Broncos at Bills in Week 10 of the NFL 2023 season. Plus, tips on props and SGPs.
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NFL Schedule Week 10– Game info - Broncos at Bills
2023 NFL Regular Season Game
Denver Broncos (3-5, 1-2 Away) vs. Buffalo Bills (5-4, 4-1 Home)
Date: Monday, Nov. 10
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, N.Y.
TV Channel: ABC, ESPN, ESPN 2
Live Stream: ESPN+
Live Radio: KCOL (Broncos) and WGR Sports Radio 550 (Bills)
Week 10 of the 2023 NFL season will close out with an AFC matchup between the Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills. There were high expectations for this game back when the 2023 Monday Night Football schedule was released. Things were looking up in Denver, where head coach Sean Payton had teamed up with quarterback Russell Wilson. The future was also bright in Buffalo with quarterback Josh Allen back for another season. Unfortunately, neither team has posted the kind of record it expected to have by now. Given the current AFC East standings, there is certainly a lot at stake in this game for the Bills, who have yet to lose at Highmark Stadium this year. Let's take a closer look at this primetime game.
Broncos vs. Bills Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Week 10
Moneyline: Denver Broncos +275, Buffalo Bills -350
Spread: Broncos +7 (-105), Bills -7 (-115)
Total: Over/Under 47.5 points
Broncos at Bills Preview
The Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills have been heading in rather different directions in 2023. A two-game winning streak has turned the season around for the Broncos, making the playoffs at least a possibility. Meanwhile, the Bills’ inconsistencies have caused a lot of anguish for their fans, but the team is still knocking on the Dolphins’ door when it comes to first place in the AFC East. A win on Monday night could mean a lot to either one of these teams when it comes to reaching the postseason.
Broncos vs. Bills Predictions and NFL Picks Week 10
The Buffalo Bills have not lived up to expectations this season. Their 5-4 record and second-place standing in the AFC East doesn’t exactly scream “Super Bowl contender.” However, there is still plenty of time for the Bills to turn this season around and make a run at their first Super Bowl championship. Buffalo’s success going forward will depend on the team’s defense, which has been its strength in years past but is an Achilles heel this season. Meanwhile, the Broncos enter this Monday night game refreshed from a bye week and riding a two-game win streak. In their most recent game on Oct. 29, Denver contained quarterback Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs in a 24-9 home win. Give me the Broncos and the points in this one, because I feel that an upset or close game could be in the cards here.
The Pick: Denver Broncos +7 (-105)
While any preseason hype surrounding this matchup has certainly died down given the slow starts from both the Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills this season, Monday night’s game should still offer plenty of drama. Although the Bills’ defense has generally been stout -- allowing the NFL’s fifth-fewest points per game – there have been games where this unit didn’t show up at all. On Oct. 22, Buffalo allowed Mac Jones and the New England Patriots to carve up its defense for a 29-25 win, which was inexcusable. Defense has been an even bigger problem for the Broncos, who allow the most points per game to opposing offenses this season. We can expect to see Bills QB Josh Allen and receiver Stefon Diggs feast on the Broncos in this game. Give me the over on this total, because we should have a high-scoring game on our hands.
The Pick: Over 47.5 (-110)
Best NFL Player-Prop Bets for Broncos vs. Bills: Monday Night Football Week 10
Will we see a classic Russell Wilson primetime performance in Buffalo on Monday night? While Denver’s quarterback is having a much better second year with the Broncos, his transition to this team hasn’t been as smooth as everyone predicted when he first arrived in town. With 16 TD passes on the season, Wilson has already matched his total from last year. However, the Bills’ defense poses a tough test for any quarterback, because it allows the NFL’s fifth-fewest points per game. Despite that statistic, Buffalo’s pass defense has been subpar this season, ranking only 19th in the league. As a result, I expect Wilson to throw two or more touchdown passes on Monday night.
Best Same-Game Parlay Week 10 bets for Broncos vs. Bills: 3-Leg Parlay Pick (+360)
Passing TDs Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson is my favorite player prop of the night so it’s only fitting to make his passing TDs the first leg of this same-game parlay. The Bills’ defense is generally gritty, but not so much against the pass. Look for Denver head coach Sean Payton and Wilson to find ways to exploit the Buffalo defenders, which will result in “Primetime Russ” having a great night.
Leg-1 SGP Pick: Russell Wilson 2+ Passing Touchdowns (+150)
Passing TDs Russell Wilson won’t be the only quarterback who can expect to have a big night on Monday, because Denver’s defense is horrendous. Look for Buffalo’s Josh Allen to have a bounce-back game in this one as the Bills aim to start a winning streak of their own. Allen has thrown for at least two TDs in six of nine games this season.
Leg-2 SGP Pick: Josh Allen 2+ Passing Touchdowns (-205)
Total PointsSince this game is expected to be a track meet, it's only fitting to put the total into our same-game parlay. Look for a thrilling primetime shootout on Monday with all eyes on quarterbacks Russell Wilson and Josh Allen.
Leg-3 SGP Pick: Over 49.5 (+110)
Odds are subject to change*
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