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Best NFL Parlay Picks Today for Divisional Weekend: 4-Leg Parlay Pick (+1291)

Leg-1 Parlay Pick: Houston Texans +9.5 (-110)

Leg-2 Parlay Pick: Packers vs. 49ers Over 50.5 Points (-110)

Leg-3 Parlay Pick: Buccaneers vs. Lions Over 49.5 Points (-110)

Leg-4 Parlay Pick: Buffalo Bills -3 (+100)

Odds are subject to change*

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Best NFL Bets for Divisional Round Weekend: Odds, Picks and Predictions

Texans vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Divisional Round

Moneyline: Houston Texans +350, Baltimore Ravens -450
Spread: Texans +9.5 (-110), Ravens -9.5 (+110)
Total: Over/Under 43.5 points

Texans at Ravens Preview

NFL fans get to kick off the Divisional Round of the playoffs with another dose of Houston rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud, who will be leading his feisty Texans team against the No. 1-seeded Baltimore Ravens. It has been a remarkable first NFL season for Stroud, involving several league records as well as last weekend’s playoff victory against one of the NFL’s best defenses.

He will have to solve another one of the league’s most daunting defenses on Saturday if the Texans' run is going to continue. The Baltimore Ravens allowed the NFL’s fewest points per game (16.5) during the regular season, and their roster includes several All-Pro players. Safety Kyle Hamilton and linebacker Roquon Smith both earned First Team All-Pro recognition for 2023, and they will be determined to make life difficult for Stroud.

One of the main beneficiaries of Stroud’s remarkable rookie season has been wide receiver Nico Collins. After catching passes for fewer than 500 yards in each of his first two years, Collins exploded for an impressive 1,297 receiving yards and eight touchdowns during the 2023-24 regular season. Good quarterbacks elevate their offensive weapons, and Stroud has certainly done that with Collins.

Houston head coach DeMeco Ryans’ first year at the helm has gone as well as any Texans fan could have hoped. His defense, though not filled with high-end talent, has held its own this year. Houston has limited opposing teams to the NFL’s sixth-fewest rushing yards per game, and the Texans’ secondary notched two pick-sixes in last weekend’s Wild-Card Round. Ryans rose to prominence as the defensive coordinator in San Francisco, and his first stint as an NFL head coach has been a major success story.

Ryans’ defense faces a tough test this weekend. As the AFC’s No. 1 seed, the Ravens are coming off a bye week. They are well-rested and pose a threat to Houston in several different areas. Baltimore quarterback Lamar Jackson leads an offense that has always been known for its rushing attack, and this year is no exception. The Ravens lead the league with 156 rushing yards per game – a full 15 more than the second-place Chicago Bears.

They also have explosive weapons in their receiving game. Rookie Zay Flowers and veteran Odell Beckham Jr. complement each other nicely at the wide receiver position, and star tight end Mark Andrews will be returning action after missing two months due to injury. Factor in the talent of PFF MVP winner Jackson at quarterback, and there can be no doubt that this offense will be hard for Houston to stop.

Texans vs. Ravens Prediction and Pick

The Baltimore Ravens are a deserving No. 1 seed in the AFC. They are well-coached and benefit from having some of the league’s best players on both sides of the ball. They also have the benefit of an extra week of rest. Despite all that, I think a 9.5-point spread disrespects the Texans and what they have accomplished to date.

When these teams last faced each other in Week 1 of the 2023 season, the Ravens prevailed 25-9. That is ancient history, however, because Houston rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud has become a completely different player since then. He has improved at a rate that is rarely seen at the quarterback position -- breaking records and leading game-winning drives along the way. Just last weekend, he was too much for star defensive lineman Myles Garrett and the rest of the Browns defense as the Texans racked up 45 points.

Of course, this game at Baltimore will not be as easy for Stroud as the one against Cleveland. He is going up against a talented and well-rested Ravens defense in their own building. Despite that, I expect him to put together some scoring drives, which means a 9.5-point spread is far too big. I will gladly take the Texans to cover.

The Pick: Houston Texans +9.5 (-110) 

Packers vs. 49ers, Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under – NFL Divisional Round

Moneyline: Packers (+350), 49ers (-450)
Spread: Packers +9.5 (-110), 49ers -9.5 (-110)
Total: Over/Under 50.5 Points - Over (-100), Under (-110) 

Packers at 49ers Preview

This is a matchup between two teams that are used to meeting in the playoffs, although nobody expected the Packers to still be standing at this point. Green Bay’s season has been something of a rollercoaster, particularly for quarterback Jordan Love.

There were initial high hopes for the Packers QB, who inherited his job from Aaron Rodgers. Midway through the season, however, Green Bay fans were concerned that Love might not be who they thought he was. As time went on, Love proved himself to his critics, and he is now viewed as a future NFL star.

The offense that surrounds Love is young, and there were always going to be growing pains in Green Bay, but head coach Matt LaFleur has assembled a fascinating unit that can call upon any number of talented young pass-catchers. Whether it is wide receiver Jayden Reed, tight end Luke Musgrave, wide receivers Bo Melton and Dontayvion Wicks, or tight end Tucker Kraft, the Packers have numerous inexperienced players who have made names for themselves in 2023-24.

Plug those talented youngsters into an offense that already has established second-year pros in wide receivers Christian Watson and Romeo Doubs, and the Packers are really cooking with gas. Indeed, Doubs alone had 151 receiving yards and caught a TD pass against the Cowboys last weekend.

Running back Aaron Jones is the offense’s main veteran presence, and last week he reminded everyone that he hasn’t lost a step. His 118 rushing yards and three touchdowns battered the Cowboys into submission and ended their season in humiliating fashion.

It was a surprisingly easy win for the Packers a week ago, but Green Bay can hardly expect the San Francisco 49ers to be so generous. The Packers might be a plucky underdog team playing with house money, but the 49ers have been set on a playoff run from Week 1.

San Franciso has one of the NFL’s most talented rosters, and the Niners are used to playing under the bright lights of the playoffs. Quarterback Brock Purdy and head coach Kyle Shanahan are the perfect partners to construct and operate an offense that plays into the strengths of its weapons.

Niners running back Christian McCaffrey is arguably the single most dangerous player in the NFL, and wide receivers Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk dominate in their respective roles. Samuel can bulldoze his way over linebackers as he racks up yards after the catch, whie Aiyuk can put cornerbacks in a blender and leave them clutching at thin air as he races downfield.

George Kittle is an ever-reliable option for San Francisco at tight end, which means Purdy always has a good target available to him. The key to this matchup for San Francisco will be the 49ers’ running game. This team is at its best when defenses have to focus on the run, and Green Bay ranks only 28th in the NFL when it comes to rushing yards conceded per game (128). If the 49ers have their way on the ground, we could see a very high score from the boys in red and gold.

Packers vs. 49ers Prediction and Pick

This is another game in which I expect the favorite to win, but the underdog here is being disrespected by a 9.5-point spread. Yes, the 49ers are well-rested and match up nicely against the Packers, but no one should overlook what the Packers did to the Cowboys last week.

The Green Bay offense is playing with confidence and its quarterback has elevated his game to an elite level in recent weeks. Jordan Love can make excellent passes to all areas of the field, which spells trouble for a San Francisco defense that has had issues defending the pass.

I think the 49ers should be able to establish the run in this game, which will make them very difficult to stop. I think Green Bay would do well to keep San Francisco below 35 points in the Niners’ own building. However, I also expect the Packers to put up points. I therefore can see this becoming an enjoyable back-and-forth affair, and I will be taking the over.

The Pick: Over 50.5 Points (-110)

Buccaneers vs. Lions Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Divisional Round

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +240, Detroit Lions -300
Spread: Buccaneers +6.5 (-110), Lions -6.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 49.5 points

Buccaneers at Lions Preview

This game is filled with intriguing storylines. The whole city of Detroit will be sky-high coming off the Lions’ first playoff victory in 32 years, and the home team is about to face a group of Buccaneers that nobody expected to reach the postseason’s Divisional Round.

In addition, both teams’ quarterbacks are enjoying seasons of rebirth after being discarded by their former teams. Tampa Bay’s Baker Mayfield was moved aside for Deshaun Watson in Cleveland, and Jared Goff was offloaded to Detroit as part of the Los Angeles Rams’ trade for Matthew Stafford.

These two quarterbacks will take the field this weekend with an opportunity to lead their respective teams to the NFC Championship Game, knowing that their former teammates in Cleveland and L.A. are at home watching from their sofas. That must make both men feel good.

I think this game will be full of offensive action, particularly of the aerial variety. The Buccaneers and Lions are both known for their stout run defenses, but neither has had much success against the pass. Both rank in the NFL’s bottom six when it comes to passing yards conceded, and given the offensive weapons on both sides of the field, I expect this to be an explosive playoff clash.

Wide receivers Mike Evans and Chris Godwin have been brilliant for Tampa Bay this year, with both exceeding 1,000 yards. However, in Monday night’s win over Philadelphia, these two were mostly relegated to the back seat as Cade Otton, David Moore, and Trey Palmer led the team in receiving.

Mayfield has been fearless when slinging the rock this year, which produced his first 4,000-yard season in the NFL, and the Bucs have to like their chances of moving the ball against a porous Detroit secondary.

It’s a similar situation for Lions quarterback Jared Goff and his offense on Sunday. Wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown and tight end Sam LaPorta have been nothing short of magnificent this year, but other receivers such as Josh Reynolds and Jameson Wiliams have also popped up with big plays when needed. The talent level among both groups of pass-catchers is eye-popping, and it should lead us to a high-scoring game.

Lions GM Brad Holmes was given a game ball after his team’s Wild-Card Round victory last week, and it was a well-deserved honor. Holmes’ decision to move back to the No. 12 spot in last year’s NFL Draft raised some eyebrows, as many wondered why he wouldn’t simply stand pat at No. 6 and draft consensus top running back Bijan Robinson.

Fast-forward to the end of the regular season, and both running back Jahmyr Gibbs and LaPorta (whom he selected with an extra pick obtained in the deal) have broken franchise records. Oh, and the rest of Detroit’s draft class was pretty good as well.

Buccaneers vs. Lions Prediction and Pick

This matchup is not so different from the Lions' Wild-Card Round matchup against the Rams, because it also pits two teams with strong run defenses and poor secondaries against each other.

Both the Lions and Bucs were among the NFL’s six worst teams when it came to defending against the pass during the regular season. Given the pass-catching talents of Tampa’s Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and Detroit’s Amon-Ra St Brown and Sam LaPorta, we could be in for a high-scoring affair on Sunday.

I see both teams having to rely on a pass-heavy game plan in this one. The Lions should manage to grab the lead, but Bucs QB Baker Mayfield and his offense won’t let them simply grind out the game with their running backs. This game will be played under a dome, and I think that helps to produce a classic Divisional Round shootout. I will be backing the over.

The Pick: Over 49.5 Points (-110)

Chiefs vs. Bills Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NFL Odds Divisional Round

Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs +125, Buffalo Bills -150
Spread: Chiefs +3 (-120), Bills -3 (+100)
Total: Over/Under 45.5 points 

Chiefs at Bills Preview

Many NFL experts and fans undoubtedly predicted that the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills would meet in this year’s NFL playoffs, but not necessarily in the way it has transpired. Both teams have had their own demons to contend with this season, but the playoffs offer them the perfect opportunity to wipe the slate clean and go on a run.

The Buffalo Bills were tested by the Pittsburgh Steelers during the second half of Monday’s Wild-Card Round matchup despite having looked unbeatable in the first half. The Bills were so dominant over the first two quarters that QB Josh Allen was barely touched during a 52-yard touchdown run that put his team up 21-0.

Allen played a mistake-free game on Monday, and that always makes the Bills very hard to beat. He is the ideal dual-threat quarterback, capable of dissecting opposing defenses from the pocket or producing house calls when a play breaks down. The Bills like to protect him during the season, but now that the playoffs are here, we can expect Allen to get a lot of usage from his legs.

Earlier this season, Buffalo was in a dire situation when the team decided to fire former offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey. With a 5-5 record and a nightmare schedule ahead of them, the Bills’ playoff chances appeared bleak. Fortunately, their new offensive coordinator, Joe Brady, knew what he was doing. With Brady calling plays, the team has gone 7-1.

Buffalo enters this Divisional Round matchup as home-field favorites to defeat the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs. This is a well-rounded Bills team that has managed to grind its way to this moment, and the rest of the AFC must surely regret letting Buffalo reach the playoffs

Kansas City has been the Bills' nemesis in recent years, but something feels different about this one. The Chiefs’ offense appeared disjointed for much of the regular season, and Sunday marks the first time in his career that Kansas City quarterback Patrick Mahomes will compete in a playoff game in the opposing team’s home stadium. Mahomes has twice won the Super Bowl away from Arrowhead, but those were neutral-site games with far less hostile crowds.

Statistically, this has been Mahomes’ worst year as a pro, but he has not been helped by his receivers. Drops and miscommunication have been the story of the Kansas City offense this year, and even superstar tight end Travis Kelce has struggled at times.

The Chiefs hit their low point between weeks 10 and 15 – a stretch that saw them go 2-4 with losses to the Eagles, Packers, Bills, and Raiders. Kansas City has shown vulnerabilities that we are not used to seeing from Chiefs teams led by head coach Andy Reid and Mahomes.

Nevertheless, this team is very familiar with the playoffs, and it still has the combination of future Hall of Famers Reid, Mahomes and Kelce. The Chiefs also benefit from the best defense they have had in years, so anyone would be foolish to count them out of this game in advance.

Chiefs vs. Bills Prediction and Pick

As much as I believe the Chiefs can turn it on in the playoffs, I also believe that this is a completely different Buffalo team than the one Kansas City faced earlier in the season. The Bills already pulled out a 20-17 win at Arrowhead on Dec. 10, and they now have the advantage of playing on their home field. I think they will be even better against the Chiefs this week.

Bills quarterback Josh Allen played mistake-free football against Pittsburgh, and running back James Cook brings a spark to the ground game that Buffalo has not had in recent years. The Bills also have additional help at tight end, where first-round draft pick Dalton Kincaid has rounded out into a very useful weapon. He and fellow TE Dawson Knox both caught touchdown passes last week, as the Bills are utilizing 12-personnel more than they have in previous seasons.

Buffalo’s defense has been obliterated by injuries throughout the year, but the Bills have continued to hold strong and should like their chances against a Chiefs offense that has had its own problems. Everything about the Bills looks and feels different here in 2024, and I think they will finally get past their playoff nemesis on Sunday.

The Pick: Buffalo Bills -3 (+100)

Odds are subject to change*

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