NFL betting picks: Best bets for Saints vs Seahawks
Zach Brunner provides his best NFL betting picks for Monday Night Football, including four player props.
Alvin Kamara over 3.5 receptions -160
The Seahawks have struggled to defend running backs in all facets of the game this season. They have allowed 39 receptions to running backs in six games, at an average of 6.5 per game.
Alvin Kamara is a better receiver than the average running back. He also has played 84 per cent or more of the snaps in each of the past four weeks, meaning nearly all of the running back production will go to him. Kamara is coming off a five-catch game, and he should do it again tonight.
Alvin Kamara over 127.5 rushing + receiving yards -115
Again, the Seahawks have struggled to contain running backs and Kamara is on the field for nearly every snap.
Seattle is allowing 181.5 total yards to running backs per game. Kamara should see 20 touches on Monday night, leading to him busting a couple plays and hitting the over.
Jameis Winston under 17.5 pass completions -130
The Saints have been conservative with Jameis Winston, having him attempt more than 23 passes just once this season. The Seahawks have allowed a 67.95 per cent completion rate this season.
If we assume Winston attempts 23 passes and completes 68 per cent of his attempts, it would equal only 15.64, well below the line of 17.5.
Marquez Callaway over 43.5 receiving yards -110
With Michael Thomas out, Marquez Callaway has emerged as the top wide receiver on the Saints’ roster. While that’s not saying much, he has gotten better as the season has progressed. In fact, he has improved upon his receiving yard totals each of the past three weeks: 41, 74 and 85.
Callaway’s snaps have also gone up, and he should be the player Winston targets downfield in this game. While it would be tough for him to improve upon his receiving total yet again, it may take only one catch for him to hit the over on this prop.