NFL betting: 5 picks against the spread for Week 10
Zach Brunner makes his NFL betting picks for Week 10 of the 2021 season, with five picks against the spread.
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Poor Jets, they don’t deserve this.
The Bills have not been consistent, but they have bounced back following embarrassing performances this season. After losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 1, they followed up with a 35-0 win over the Miami Dolphins.
After their surprising loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars last week, this should be another win for Buffalo by at least two touchdowns against a poor Jets team.
Along the same lines as the Bills, the Cowboys were embarrassed by an inferior opponent last week. Worst of all, it was quarterback Dak Prescott that looked bad.
Now facing a Falcons defense that has allowed opponents to complete nearly 68 per cent of their passes, however, Prescott and this high-powered offense should not only bounce back, but also make a statement to the rest of the NFL that last week was a fluke. They also get the benefit of playing in front of their home crowd, which is a real advantage for Dallas.
It may be worth waiting to see where the line moves for this game. Running back Nick Chubb is currently on the Reserve/COVID-19 list for the Browns. If he is activated, the line could shift towards Cleveland. Of course, the opposite news could have the opposite effect.
In either case, I like the Patriots to win an ugly game and cover the spread. Their methodical offense should do enough to move the chains and score points. Defensively, if they take away the running game and force Baker Mayfield to beat them with his arm, I don’t think the Browns quarterback is good enough to make it happen.
An angry Aaron Rodgers is a scary Aaron Rodgers, and the media has given the MVP plenty of fuel for the fire in this game. If that wasn’t enough, Seattle has been one of Green Bay’s biggest non-divisional rivals over the years, and it has been a one-sided rivalry at Lambeau Field, as Russell Wilson has gone 0-6 in Green Bay for his career.
The Packers have performed well against the spread this season, covering in eight straight games.
The rule the past couple of seasons has been to not bet on the Chiefs, as they will typically win but not cover the spread. However, their reputation has now taken such a hit that it makes sense to bet on them, especially in their matchup against a Raiders team that is tied atop the division.
Patrick Mahomes made a game-clinching play at the end of last week’s game that almost resembled an after-credits scene from a Marvel movie. The Raiders have holes in the secondary and on their offensive line. Look for Kansas City to exploit both weaknesses and cover the spread.