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Cowbells will be banned from the Golden 1 Center on Friday night as the powers that be in Golden State’s front office try to find a way to silence fans from Sacramento who will make their way to San Francisco two nights after a 123-116 Warriors victory over the Kings gave the defending NBA champions a 3-2 series lead.

The teams will meet again Friday night in San Francisco, where the Kings will try to avoid postseason elimination at the hands of the defending NBA champs. We should remind you right away that the Warriors had a 33-8 home record during the regular season, which was the third-best in the entire NBA.

Will that matter in the postseason against a No. 3-seeded opponent that led the NBA in scoring with 120.7 points per game? That is one of the first things to consider when getting ready to wager on this one as your weekend commences. Sacramento dropped Games 3 and 4 at the Golden 1 Center, so are they due for a W?

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under - NBA Playoffs Odds Lines 4/28

Moneyline: Sacramento Kings (+280), Golden State Warriors (-380)
Spread: Sacramento Kings + 7.5 (-105), Golden State Warriors -7.5 (-120)
Total: Over/Under 235.5 points

Kings vs Warriors Injury Report

Both teams are at full strength with the exception of Kings veteran Matthew Dellavedova. The Australian point guard has a fractured index finger, but he would not have been a factor even if healthy.

Kings vs Warriors Prediction

Desperation games bring out different things in different teams, and we have no body of work to judge the Kings on since they had not been to the postseason for 18 straight seasons before making it this year. What we saw from the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday night was horrific. They led by 16 at home entering the fourth quarter but lost to Miami anyway, ending their season after they led the league with 58 victories.

When it comes to the Kings, however, that result should have no bearing. Every series is entirely different, and what we have to go off of here is what Sacto has done against Golden State thus far in the regular season and postseason.

Mind you, the Warriors mailed in the regular season to an extraordinary degree, winning only 11 road games. But that is par for the course in Adam Silver’s load-management-obsessed league, and the Dubs have known all season that they would bring it when the games counted most.

That being said, a line of 7.5 seems exceedingly high. The Kings were 7.5-point ‘dogs only four times all season, including twice against the Warriors, but one of those games was meaningless to Sacramento late in the year when the No. 3 seed was already secured.

The Kings were 14-8-0 as a road underdog -- a 63.6 percent conversion rate that was third-best in the NBA behind Boston and Utah. Golden State went 23-14-1 as a home favorite.

We like the Kings and the points a lot, but we also believe that the NBA will want at least one Game 7 and would be thrilled with two if the Hawks can even their series against the Celtics at 3-3 on Thursday night. So pick No. 1 is the Kings on the moneyline, and we will use that below to construct a same-game parlay that will provide for much weekend merriment should it hit.

Best NBA Playoff Same-Game Parlay Picks for Kings vs Warriors Game 6: 2-Leg SGP Picks (+575)

We start with the +280 moneyline and cross our fingers that Mike Brown’s Coach of the Year regular-season success carries over. His team caught teams off guard during the regular season because they ran so much of their offense through center Domantas Sabonis in the low post. But in the playoffs, Steve Kerr has been game-planning for that wrinkle, and the Kings have used point guard De’Aaron Fox as a primary playmaker much more.

Kings - Moneyline

All those wins during the regular season will be meaningless if this effort is a failure. But the Kings are no dogs, even though they are ‘dogs. They were up 2-0 in this series, and how many times have they lost four in a row this season? That number is one, as they opened the season with four straight losses. That was a long time ago.

Leg-1 SGP Pick: Kings Moneyline (+260)


Three of the five games in this series have gone over, and the line of 235.5 seems fitting after the teams combined for 239 on Wednesday night. That’s because Tighter defense is expected from both teams in a closeout game.

Sacramento is an NBA-worst 6-16-0 on over/unders as a road underdog, and when you can use the phrase “NBA-worst” in a gambling article, you have a trend to key on.

Remember, the under is the only bet in sports that is a winner when the game begins and stays that way if/until it is eclipsed, so the operating thought for fans in this one is for a low-scoring first half to increase the odds that the final score stays under. Brown will likely double-team Warriors guard Steph Curry and try to make someone else beat them, so if you want to add a player prop to this parlay you might want to go with Klay Thompson exceeding whatever his individual point total is set at. That is a pick-your-poison thing for Sacramento, but let’s get back to the operative thought: The Kings are playing to keep their season alive, and they have accomplished too much to give up too easily. Desperation brings out defensive intensity in very good teams, of which they are one.

Leg-2 SGP Pick: Under 235.5 (-115)

Odds are subject to change*

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