Same Game Parlay Picks (+100000) for Heat vs Celtics Game 7
Chris Sheridan reveals his NBA Playoffs SGP picks for Celtics vs. Heat on Monday, with a +100,000 seven-leg parlay predicated on big minutes for shortened rotations.
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Before we get into this seven-legger (the first one we have ever considered), let’s all agree that the best bet for Game 7 is that if it comes down to one final inbounds play with the Boston Celtics trailing by one point, the Miami Heat will defend it quite differently.
In fact, Friday night’s Derrick White moment might mark the last time in basketball history that an NBA coach leaves the inbounder unguarded.
White not only had zero obstacles in his passing lanes as he eyeballed his options on the final play of Game 6, he made the savvy move of going straight to the basket to be in position for the game-winning tip-in.
WHAT A GAME 📷 (via @NBAonTNT)#Celticsin7 ☘️ Derrick White's basket in final second.#NBAPlayoffs— YebScore.com : Satire Views - NFL, NBA, MLB,F1,WWE (@yebscore) May 28, 2023
Derrick White tip-in at buzzer, Celtics force Game 7 against Heat with unbelievable win pic.twitter.com/sCRBKT06wn
The Heat treated him like he did not even exist, and this one will certainly not go into the Erik Spoelstra Great Coaching Moments Hall of Fame. Spoelstra seemed to indicate afterward that the entire defensive focus was on preventing the Celtics from inbounding to Jayson Tatum.
It was a great finish, and we now have a Game 7 on Monday night in which Boston is a 7½-point favorite as the Celtics try to become the first team in NBA history to come back from an 3-0 deficit and win a seven-game series. Only three previous teams have forced a Game 7 after going down 3-0, and they all lost their Game 7s. So, we shall see if Boston becomes the first, and the oddsmakers certainly believe they will get it done easily and in a low-scoring affair. The Game 7 over/under is seven points lower than the Game 6 over/under and 13½ points lower than the Game 4 O/U.
We are not so certain about the thinking behind those listings, but those popular lines are not where the most money is to be made in Game 7.
Celtics vs Heat Game 7 Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under – NBA Playoffs Betting Lines 5/29
Moneyline: Boston Celtics (-334), Miami Heat (+260)
Spread: Boston Celtics -7.5 (-110), Miami Heat +7.5 (-110)
Total: Over/Under 203.5 points
Best NBA Same-Game Parlay Picks Today for Heat vs Celtics Game 7: 7-Leg Parlay Picks (+100,000)
Seven players logged at least 40 minutes in Game 6, and it would have been eight if Jaylen Brown hadn’t gotten into foul trouble. He played 39.
Both Spoelstra and Joe Mazzulla are going to go with the shortest of rotations Monday, and you have to get the feeling that Spoelstra might shy away from using Duncan Robinson down the stretch after he missed two crucial wide-open 3-pointers in the late going on Friday. That would lead to more run for Max Strus or maybe even a Haywood Highsmith sighting, but those are not guys we want to wager on.
As for Mazzulla, he only got four points and seven rebounds in 32 minutes from Al Horford in Game 6, while Robert Williams came off the bench and had 10 points and seven rebounds in just 17 minutes. So, it is not a stretch to imagine that the big fella with the braids might take over Horford’s job in Game 7.
And since this is a Game 7 in which we can see seven things being likely to happen, we are asking you to take a hard look at this seven-leg parlay in which the biggest risk could be the notion of Williams going for at least 12 points and eight rebounds.
If this one hits, we all meet up in Denver for the championship parade in June, OK? And then we attend the one in Serbia, too.
If we go with the above-mentioned theory, he splits the center minutes with Horford and plays 24 at a minimum. Foul trouble is a worry here because the Heat will be feeding Adebayo, but that there is called an inherent risk.
Leg-1 SPG Pick: Williams to score 12+ points (+475)
Leg-2 SPG Pick: Williams to grab 8+ rebounds (+285)
He was just 5-for-21 yet still finished within two assists of a triple-double. He should play all 48 minutes, and he seems like a cinch double-double (and you don’t want to burn a parlay with this many legs by having to hope for a triple-double late in the fourth quarter).
Leg-3 SPG Pick: Jimmy Butler to double-double (+120).
This would appear to be another automatic double-double. He already has had five in a row in this series.
Leg-4 SPG Pick: Jayson Tatum to double-double (-275)
He is Miami’s second-best player in spite of how he played in Game 6 -- shooting 4-for-16 in 46 minutes for a double-double of 13 points and 11 rebounds. He has two double-doubles in this series, and a third is not a cinch but should be within reach if he plays 46 minutes again.
Leg-5 SPG Pick: Bam Adebayo to double-double (-165)
Every NBA playoffs features a coming-out party for someone. Martin, who came over from Charlotte after Michael Jordan waived him following the 2021 season, had a behemothian 21 points and 15 rebounds in Game 6. He is Miami’s No. 1 mojo guy right now.
Leg-6 SPG Pick: Caleb Martin to double-double (+320)
He has double-doubled just once in this series (26 and 10 in Game 6) and just twice in the postseason, but Mazzulla will have to ride him because Grant Williams is giving them nothing and Malcolm Brogdon is questionable with a forearm injury. Yes, this is where we are getting greedy with this parlay. But as Gordon Gekko said, “Greed is good.”
Leg-7 SPG Pick: Jaylen Brown to double-double (+270)
Seven-leg parlay with all of the above picks for a price of +100,000. If you bet $100 and it hits, you win $100,100. Good luck.
Odds subject to change*
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