PGA Championship Best Bets: Odds, Picks, Predictions & Sleepers
Chris Sheridan reveals his best bets for the 2023 PGA Championship at Rochester, NY including the player he expects to win, this year’s sleeper candidate, and a legitimate dark horse pick.
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We hope you were paying attention when we gave you Jon Rahm to win the Masters. You are welcome.
The 2023 PGA Championship takes place next weekend in Rochester, N.Y., and once again the top golfers from the LIV Tour and the PGA Tour will be one big happy family (sort of) as the second major tournament of the golf season is upon us.
If you need a refresher on the LIV vs. PGA thing, we’ve got you covered in this article. As for the best PGA Championships ever, we have you on that one, too. And information about the course where this event is being contested, and everything else you ever wanted to know about Oak Hill and the PGA, is right here.
If we are lucky, we get another John Daly and the same type of boost for a golf-club manufacturer that Callaway got with Daly and the Big Bertha. But luck is not what we are aiming for in this particular article. We are going for money, folks, and here’s hoping that Rahm to win the Masters at +800 was just an appetizer for a four-course meal that will take you and your buddies to Kapalua for the start of the 2024 PGA season.
Odds to win the PGA Championship 2023
Jon Rahm +750
Scottie Scheffler +800
Rory Mcllroy +1100
Brooks Koepka +2000
Justin Thomas +2000
Collin Morikawa +2200
Cameron Smith +2200
Patrick Cantlay +2200
Xander Schauffele +2200
Cameron Young +2500
Jordan Spieth +2500
Tony Finau +2500
Cameron Smith +2800
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2800
Max Homa +2800
Viktor Hovland +2800
Dustin Johnson +3300
Sungjae Im +3300
Hideki Matsuyama +4000
Jason Day +4000
Shane Lowry +4000
See the full PGA Championship 2023 betting lines on Betway Sportsbook
2023 PGA Championship Betting Preview and Predictions
The Betway board is going to be loaded with choices for you to peruse, but let’s start with a word to the wise: Your pre-tournament pick may have a terrible Thursday that will take him out of contention, in which case you will need to pivot and make another pick. But even a mediocre Thursday can be undone with a strong Friday to set your player up for a championship weekend.
Golf teaches us patience, and remember, they call it golf because all of the other four-letter words were taken. The No. 1 player in the world right now is Jon Rahm, followed closely by Scottie Scheffler with Rory McIlroy a distant third in terms of how they calculate points. Those rankings matter when it comes to setting odds, but what you want to look for is a player who will have an edge due to a number of factors.
For example, Adam Scott shot an 8-under par 63 at the Byron Nelson in his opening round Thursday. This is a guy who has been a model of consistency throughout his career and almost always makes the cut. He has not won since 2020 at Riviera in the Genesis Invitational, so he is not going to be our pick. But what about top five, which will be on the Betway board next weekend? Yes, we like that, and you should expect to see odds of at least +2000 for that to happen.
As for a winner, here is the way we see it: Don’t quit on a good thing.
Rahm followed up his Masters win with a tie for 15th at the RBC Heritage and a tie for second at the Mexican Open. He won the Genesis Invitational in February and the Tournament of Champions and the American Express in the first two weeks of January, followed two weeks later by a third-place finish at the WM Open in Phoenix. He has been top-15 in eight of nine tournaments, the outlier being a tie for 39th at Bay Hill in March.
The Spaniard has too good of a resume to bet against. Heck, even Scheffler had a tie for 45th among his 12 tournaments this season, 11 of which have included 12th-place finishes or better. But if we expect Sunday at Oak Hill to resemble Sunday at Augusta, Rahm is going to be the man.
2023 PGA Championship Best Bets: Top picks
We like Rahm to win and Scheffler to finish second, and should you care to wager that exact finish you will not be alone. We also like Scott to be top five, and if all three of those picks hit, you can name your new yacht “The Betway Express.”
PGA Championship Sleepers 2023
This is where it gets fun, because there is always someone on the leaderboard Sunday who nobody expected to be there. At the Masters, it was U.S. Amateur champ Sam Bennett, whose five bogeys against one birdie on Saturday upended a Masters title quest that began with two rounds of 68.
The No. 1 guy we like as a sleeper pick for the PGA is Tony Finau, who won the Mexican Open with an astounding 24-under par 260 (65-64-65-66) to defeat Rahm by three strokes.
The Betway board has him at +2500, and we counsel you to make your sleeper wager thusly: Bet Finau to win, and bet him for top five. When you are talking about 25-1 odds on a guy who posted a 24-under just a couple weeks ago, you are not exactly going out on a limb.
We wish you luck. PGA Championship betting odds are bound to change drastically over the course of the four-day event. Keep your eyes on your phone, as well as the TV, so that you can pivot if necessary. Our PGA Championship predictions are based upon logic and recent history. Please excuse the pragmatism.
The pick: Tony Finau at +2500.