British Open: Odds, Picks, Predictions and Sleepers
Chris Sheridan reveals his best bets for the Open Championship 2023, including a +1800 player to win, a +4500 worthy sleeper, and a +10000 dark horse.
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Odds to win British Open 2023
Rory Mcllroy +750
Scottie Scheffler +900
Jon Rahm +900
Brooks Koepka +1400
Cameron Smith +1600
Rickie Fowler +2000
Jordan Spieth +2000
Viktor Hovland +2000
Xander Schauffele +2000
Collin Morikawa +2200
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Shane Lowry +2500
Dustin Johnson +2800
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2800
Tyrell Hatton +2800
Tony Finau +3300
Wyndham Clark +3300
Justin Thomas +3300
Jason Day +3300
Cameron Young +4000
Hideki Matsuyama +4000
Max Homa +4000
Justin Rose +4000
Sungjae Im +5000
Joohyung Kim +5000
Sam Burns + 6600
Patrick Reed +6600
Ryan Fox +8000
Louis Oosthuizen +8000
Joaquin Niemann +8000
Corey Conners +8000
Si Woo Kim +10000
See the full 2023 British Open Championship odds on Betway Sportsbook
2023 British Open Championship Preview and Predictions
You have heard and read this before: Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, and Jon Rahm are the favorites. No matter which side of the pond you are on, you will hear and read more of the same leading up to Thursday’s first tee shot of the 2023 Open Championship, a.k.a. the British Open.
McIlroy and Scheffler arrived in Britain early and competed in the Scottish Open, both making big moves in Friday’s second round – with McIlroy opening 64-66 and Scheffler opening 68-65 at The Renaissance Club on the Firth of Forth.
So, yes. They are worthy favorites. And while we are not exactly advocating a strategy of betting against them, we do not approach sports-gambling journalism from the standpoint of “so-and-so is a lock.”
That being said, it seems as though McIlroy is exhibiting a locked-in mentality that we have seen from time to time for more than a decade. He went 68-64-66-64 at The Travelers Championship in late June, finishing seventh, and 65-67-69-70 at the U.S. Open at Los Angeles Country Club, finishing second to Wyndham Clark by one shot to extend his drought in majors to nine years.
Scheffler finished third after being the runner-up to Brooks Koepka (by two shots) at the PGA Championship, leaving him without a tournament victory since March 12, when he won the Players Championship.
The Open Best Bets: Top picks
Rahm, the No. 1-ranked player in the world, has not played competitively since missing the cut at The Travelers, where Keegan Bradley shot 23-under to send the golf course architects in Connecticut back to the drawing board. His game has been off since he finished second at the Mexico Open on April 30 just three weeks after winning The Masters.
So, don’t get us wrong, these guys are all different degrees of sharp at the moment. And the gun-to-the-head pick if it had to be one of those three would be McIlroy. But he is not going to be our best bet because a nine-year drought is a nine-year drought. There are enough bad meteorologists out there already, and it is ill-advised to predict that McIlroy, during a drought, will make it rain for everyone who wagers on him.
Instead, our best bet is a guy, Rickie Fowler, whose 67-67 opening at the Scottish Open gave him his ninth straight sub-70 round -- a streak that included a 60 at the Travelers Championship. And that came one week after he opened with a 62 at the U.S. Open before faltering to a 75 in the final round, when he was in the final pairing but bogeyed three of the first seven holes.
Still, the guy did make a U.S. Open record 23 birdies, and two weeks later prevailed in a three-way playoff with Collin Morikawa and Adam Hadwin to win the Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club after finishing at 24-under with a scorecard that included 26 birdies and an eagle. Over the final three rounds, he had only two bogeys.
The previous week at the Travelers, Fowler had 18 birdies and three eagles. He had 317 birdies this season prior to the Scottish Open, ranking him fourth in birdie percentage behind Patrick Cantlay, Rahm, and Scheffler. His consecutive 67s to begin the Scottish Open included nine birdies.
He is on the Betway board at +2000 and he is our best bet to win his first British Open. Like Clark at the U.S. Open, he is due for that first major. And during a July that is the hottest July in recorded human history, that hot birdie binge he has been on recently makes that +2000 line even more tempting.
The Pick: Rickie Fowler to Win at +2000
British Open Sleepers 2023
Next, we turn to the worthy sleeper category, which we recommend be your hedge bet as you try to win big or bigger.
And while winning is always the idea in sports gambling, winning big/bigger makes up for a lot of losses. And as any gambler knows, losses are part of the equation when dabbling in this particular hobby. They can be erased with smart/lucky wins.
Since birdies are what we like most about Fowler (especially the amount he has had lately), we would be remiss to neglect to mention that Clark had 335 of them before adding eight more over the first two rounds of the Scottish Open, which he started 68-67.
That made it nine out of 10 rounds in which Clark shot lower than 70 -- the only exception being a final round 70 that was still good enough to give him the U.S. Open title.
He went 68-67-67-66 at the Travelers, which was only good enough for 29th in that glorified putt-putt tournament, and he has not had a double-bogey since the 18th hole of The Memorial back on June 4.
Suffice to say that is a worthy streak, and if you are looking for a guy who paid his backers handsomely while winning a major and whose odds are probably not in line with his capabilities and recent play, look no further than the U.S. Open champ.
There are 18 golfers listed with shorter odds, and Clark won the Wells Fargo on May 7 in Charlotte by four strokes after accumulating 22 birdies and an eagle. That after finishing third at the Zurich Classic in New Orleans in late April, when he went 61-67-62-70 and had 30 birdies to finish 27-under.
Best Worthy Sleeper Pick: Wyndham Clark at +4500
British Open Dark Horse Pick 2023
In keeping with the birdie-binge theme, we would be doing our readers a disservice if we did not mention the fact that Sahith Theegala had 347 birdies over 82 rounds this season entering the Scottish Open, where he missed the cut by going 71-69 to give himself two extra days of sightseeing and kilt shopping in Scotland.
He entered the Scottish Open tied with McIlroy for 15th on the PGA Tour with 4.23 birdies per round, and if he can regain the form that placed him top-six or better in the first 11 PGA Tour tournaments of the season, you never know. He has not been hot of late, but the weather likely will not be hot at Royal Liverpool, either.
Best Dark Horse Pick to win British Open: Sahith Theegala at +10000
Odds are subject to change*