World Cup betting picks: Best bets for USA vs Wales
Alex Buck makes his picks and predictions for USA vs Wales at the FIFA World Cup 2022 in Qatar.
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With the FIFA World Cup 2022 now just a heartbeat away, we look ahead to what should be one of the better World Cups of the modern era. The tournament in Qatar is the first being held in the months of November and December since the very first World Cup finals back in 1930.
Tournament hosts Qatar get us underway when they face Ecuador on Sunday 20th October, in what will be the longest wait soccer fans have had for a World Cup since 1950. The 22nd men’s FIFA World Cup tournament will see 32 teams battle it out in the group stages for a chance of winning the most prestigious trophy soccer has to offer.
This article analyses the USMNT World Cup odds vs Wales in the first round of fixtures in Group B, and also some best single game parlay picks for the match.
USA vs Wales Odds
3-way handicap: USA +170 | Draw +200 | Wales +195
Draw No Bet: USA –125 | Wales +100
Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 +155 | Under 2.5 (-195)
Double Chance: USA or Tie –240 | Tie or Wales –205 | USA or Wales -255
Both teams to score: Yes +105, No –130
1st Goal: USA +100 | No Goal +675 | Wales +105
USA vs Wales Preview
Group B at the 2022 World Cup contains one of the tournament favorites, England, alongside Wales, USA, and Iran. With each team in the top 20 of the FIFA World Rankings, it is one of the strongest groups on paper. With four teams all capable of advancing to the knockout stages of the tournament, a positive result in the first round of fixtures has never felt so important.
USA and Wales are set to face one another on the 21st November 2022 at the Al Rayyan Stadium at 2pm Eastern time.
The USMNT return to the world’s biggest stage after missing out on the 2018 World Cup, with the youngest 26-man squad in the tournament. The roster is incredibly talented and athletic, but understandably inexperienced on the World Cup stage given the youthful nature of the squad. With the likes of Chelsea’s attacker Christian Pulisic, Borussia Dortmund’s Giovanni Reyna, and AC Milan’s Sergino Dest, head coach Gregg Berhalter will be eager to see his team kick off their 2022 World Cup campaign with all three points.
Wales, meanwhile, were one of the few teams that had to play additional matches to reach the World Cup, as they qualified through the European playoff’s method (UEFA Path A). Playing in their first World Cup finals tournament since 1958, this 68-year gap is the largest between two appearances from a single nation in World Cup history. So much reliance for the Dragons falls at the feet of 33-year-old Gareth Bale. The five-time Champions League winner has every chance of producing vintage match-winning performances and upsetting the soccer betting markets.
As we get ready for kick off, let’s look at my USA vs Wales free soccer world cup picks and predictions.
USA vs Wales Predictions
Looking at the form of both nations going into this fixture, USA have won only once in their last five games, which came against an average Grenada side. Wales, meanwhile, have lost their last 5 fixtures in the Nations League. Their last win was against Ukraine in the World Cup Qualifiers.
The USA vs Wales Odds fall slightly in favor of the USMNT side. USA are +170 to be the match winner, whilst Wales are priced at +195 to take all three points. The two teams have played only head-to-head matches, with both being international friendly fixtures. The USA won one match and the other ended in a draw.
With so much riding on this fixture, it almost feels that whichever team comes out on top will join England in the knockout stages. Both sides have nearly equal odds to make it to the Round of 16, which is reflected on both teams’ win value to be at plus odds.
The Wales game plan will be to keep the game as close and competitive as possible, with Aaron Ramsey looking to feed Gareth Bale on the counter-attack. The game will begin to open up towards the end of the second half, if the scores are still even, with both teams knowing the importance of a win in their first game. Even though manager Rob Page would settle for a draw, with the hope of picking up all three points vs Iran in their second game, Wales do not want to be heading into their final match vs England needing a positive result to progress out the group.
The USA are an all-round better squad, and the money lines shouldn’t be as close as they are. As we get closer to the start of the match, these odds will begin to separate themselves. Gregg Berhalter’s side will prove too much over 90 minutes, with his youthful side outrunning and overpowering an ageing Wales team. Expect to see the USA to separate themselves in the second half to take all three points and put themselves in pole position to qualify alongside England in Group B.
USA vs Wales Same Game Parlay Picks
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
The both teams to score market seems a great place to start. The USA have conceded an average of 0.6 goals in their last five matches and have clean sheets in 50 per cent of their matches throughout 2022. Gregg Berhalter likes his defence to be compact and hard to break down. When you combine this with the fact Wales have not been particularly prolific in front of goal as of late, possibly due to the ongoing fitness concerns of Gareth Bale, then this seems a great market to dive in on.
USMNT have such an underrated squad going into the competition, with so many young players looking to prove themselves on the biggest stage in world soccer. None more so than USA poster boy Christian Pulisic, who has had a torrid start to the season at Chelsea. Don’t be surprised to see the out-of-favor attacker come good for his country and shoulder the country's expectation. This game is made for him to score in, especially if both teams go in search of a winner at the end of the game. Pulisic to score anytime stands out as great value bet.
2ND HALF GOALS
We expect to see the USA to separate themselves in the second half as the game opens and both sides go in search of a winner. USA will get the first goal of the contest, and with Wales doing everything to equalise, the attacking fluidity of Pulisic and co. will hit them on the counter-attack and put the game to bed. All the action will take place in the second half, with both teams keeping it close and competitive in the first period. Backing 2+ goals to be scored in the second half is a lovely addition to this same game parlay.