World Cup betting picks: Best bets for Argentina vs Mexico
Alex Buck makes his picks and predictions for Argentina vs Mexico at the FIFA World Cup 2022 in Qatar.
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Argentina opened their World Cup campaign as the second favorites to win the entire tournament. Nobody predicted what followed, and many are calling it one of the greatest upsets in the history of the tournament. At 1-0 down to a Lionel Messi penalty and multiple goals disallowed for offsides, Saudi Arabia overcame odds of over +15000 to come back and beat the South American giants. Messi and co will now face a complex route to the knockout rounds in their remaining two games.
Mexico opened their World Cup campaign later the same day in a game that really should have had a little more action. After Argentina lost, Group C was blown wide open for Mexico or Poland to establish themselves as a front runner, to no avail. The Mexican outfit gave away a penalty that Guillermo Ochoa saved to keep the game square at 0-0, which was how it finished.
This article analyses the World Cup odds for Mexico vs Argentina in the second round of fixtures for Group C. There are also my favorite same game parlay World Cup picks for the match.
Argentina vs Mexico Odds
3-way handicap: Argentina -1 (+170) | Draw +1 (+240) | Mexico +1 (+130)
Draw No Bet: Argentina –500 | Mexico +300
Over/Under Goals: Over 2.5 (+105) | Under 2.5 (-150)
Double Chance: Argentina or Tie –650 | Mexico or Tie +130 | Argentina or Mexico -400
Both teams to score: Yes +110 | No –150
1st Goal: Argentina -210 | No Goal +750 | Mexico +225
Argentina vs Mexico Preview
Saudi Arabia head into round two of the group stage games as the current leaders of Group C. Their win against Argentina blew the group wide open.
Messi and the Argentines now find themselves at the bottom of the group with zero points. They were, however, happy to watch Mexico and Poland play out a stalemate draw. Argentina now finds themselves just one point behind both teams as opposed to trying to close a three-point gap. A win against Mexico would put Argentina right back into the mix, but it’s crucial that they do in fact win this game. The pressure is very much on.
There is no questioning that Argentina looked dangerous in the first half. Saudi Arabia rode their luck at times, playing with a very high back line, but managed to catch Argentina offside time and time again. The South American side even had three goals disallowed for offside during a 13-minute period. Had just one of those chances counted, we’d be talking about a very different outcome. Lautaro Martinez, Angel Di Maria and Messi will be looking to get back firing on all cylinders against a stubborn Mexico team.
The major concern in the aftermath of the game is how badly Argentina crumbled when they went behind in this fixture. They looked heavily disjointed from front to back. With Giovani Lo Celso’s absence from the squad, the midfield seems to be lacking that creative spark, a player to take the ball from the back four and distribute to the talented forward line. Argentina cannot afford a repeat of that second half display, with Messi in limbo and struggling to impact the result. I suspect manager Lionel Scaloni will analyze this game and make the relevant changes, with adjustments to personnel and tactical set up.
Mexico, meanwhile, failed to capitalize on Argentina’s loss by tying 0-0 with Poland. A win would have propelled the Mexicans into a very strong position approaching this game, but they now find themselves needing to get a positive result against an Argentina team that absolutely must win.
Mexico certainly has the ability to create chances but seemed somewhat frantic going forward in their match up with Poland. They took 11 shots, of which only four found the target, and it wasn’t until the 70th minute that their primary striker came into the game. Raul Jimenez has been battling injuries this season and has lacked competitive soccer as a result. He got 20 minutes in the opening game but struggled to make an impact.
Without Jimenez up front to target with crosses and balls into the box, Mexico's options to create chances vary dramatically. They instead rely on the creativity and flair of Hirving Lozano and Alexis Vega coming off the wings.
Ready for kick off, let’s look at my Mexico vs Argentina free soccer World Cup picks and predictions.
Argentina vs Mexico Predictions
This is as strong a defense as Argentina have had during the Messi era of international football. They have proven that they can piece it all together having been undefeated for 36 games before losing to Saudi Arabia on Tuesday.
Mexico struggled to break down Poland's defense and I’d expect them to have an even tougher time against Argentina. That said, there could be opportunities for Mexico down their right-hand side, as Argentine left back Nicolas Tagliafico likes to get forward and is a major contributor to the South American side's attack. If Mexico can spring Hirzing Lozano down the right-hand side on a counterattack, they could find some joy.
Ultimately, I think Mexico will struggle to create too many genuine chances on goal. Argentina needs to patch things up in places, but they were not short of opportunities to put the game away before succumbing to a 2-1 loss against Saudi Arabia. On a different day it could easily have been a very different result, and I expect to see them bounce back and make the most of those opportunities this time around.
Argentina will have to tighten things up at the back, regroup, and handle Mexico if they want to be taken seriously and advance in the tournament.
Below are my free soccer same game parlay picks.
Argentina vs Mexico Same Game Parlay Picks
Match Winner and Goalscorer Market
Lautaro Martinez looked to be Argentina’s biggest goal threat in the opening game against Saudi Arabia. The Inter Milan striker scored seven goals in CONMEBOL qualifying, matching Lionel Messi as the team's leading goalscorer.
Martinez was the focal point of the attack with Messi operating behind him. Had he not found himself in an offside position by the sleeve of his shirt, he would have at least one goal to his name right now. With tactical adjustments and more creativeness being added to the midfield of Argentina, Martinez will get plenty more opportunities to open his World Cup tally.
Argentina Team Total Goals and Both Teams To Score Market
Argentina were second favorites for a reason going into the World Cup. First game misery vs Saudi Arabia will be put to bed, and we should see the best from this Argentina team on Matchday 2.
Led by Lionel Messi, this team can score goals. Solving the disconnect from the midfield to the strikers will help them unlock their true potential vs Mexico. Mexico’s defense wasn’t tested much by Poland, with Lewandowski proving a frustrated figure upfront. However, the impending need for Argentina to take control of their own World Cup destiny will play a major part in this game.
Going the other way, Mexico offered very little going forward against Poland, and I can see this being a common theme in this fixture. The both teams to score market is offering great value to this same game parlay pick.