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One constant of this NHL season has been the Montreal Canadiens and Colorado Avalanche never failing to disappoint when it look like they’re a sure win. I’m confident that Colorado will turn their season around, but the Canadiens can’t be trusted.

Boston Bruins defeat Ottawa Senators -290 

Boston’s 5-4-0 record is nothing spectacular to look at, but so far this season the Bruins are second in the league in expected goals for percentage at 5-vs-5, both in raw terms and when adjusted for score and venue.

In all situations the Bruins are almost as strong, sitting eighth in the league overall. That team hasn’t got the results they’ve expected so far - they’ve actually been outscored slightly. The Senators though, have not played to the level many suspected this season, losing 8 of 11 contests, and are in the bottom-five of the league in expected goal differential.

Eventually things are going to start breaking right for the Bruins on a consistent basis, and now is a great time for that to start, facing a weak team on a four-game losing streak. 

Connor McDavid to score 2+ points vs Detroit -175

Without Tyler Bertuzzi in the lineup, the Red Wings have struggled mightily, but even with him playing, they have one of the worst teams in the league at preventing high danger scoring chances. In come the Oilers, one of the league’s best at creating them, with their two superstars leading the way.

McDavid has been on a tear lately, scoring perhaps the greatest goal of his career in a ridiculous comeback victory over the New York Rangers, but that one highlight may have overshadowed the fact that he’s also racked up 10 points in his last three games.

Expect more of the same against the defensively porous Red Wings.

Leon Draisaitl to score 2+ points vs Detroit +110

As goes McDavid, so goes Draisaitl.

Like his partner in crime, Draisaitl also has 10 points in his last three games. The Oilers’ dynamic duo have somehow been even better this season than they were last season, and it’s been amazing to watch. 

Pittsburgh Penguins defeat Chicago Blackhawks -130 

After starting the season so strong, the Penguins have stumbled of late, while the Blackhawks finally broke their losing streak and won another in overtime. The two teams may appear to be going in opposite directions, but the Blackhawks still haven’t been playing well at all, and the Penguins remain quite strong.

If there was ever an opportunity for the Penguins to get back on track, rolling into Chicago has to be among the better ones. Despite all their injuries, and losing important players to COVID protocols, the Penguins boast the fifth-best expected goals for differential in all situations this season.

A tough loss in their last game to the Minnesota Wild notwithstanding, the Penguins are playing good hockey, and Tristan Jarry seems to have really rebounded. Pittsburgh should have this one well in hand.