NFL betting picks: Best bets for Dophins vs Saints
Zach Brunner provides his best NFL betting picks for Monday Night football, with four player props.
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The Saints are nearly impossible to run against, especially for a poor rushing team like Miami. New Orleans gives up 3.8 yards per carry, which is the best in the league.
Dolphins quarterback Tagovailoa will likely be passing more. Other teams have taken the same strategy, which is why the Saints surrender 240.2 passing yards per game. They are good enough to keep this game competitive, despit`e their quarterback mess, so Tagovailoa will need to keep throwing the ball.
With rookie Ian Book starting at quarterback for the Saints, it’s clear New Orleans will be relying heavily on Kamara. The talented running back has scored a touchdown in five of his past six games, and he has a strong chance to do so again on Monday.
What helps Kamara is that he is a true dual-threat back, meaning he can score both on the ground and through the air.
Waddle has been terrific in his rookie season and has firmly established himself as the number one receiver. He should see star cornerback Marshon Lattimore often in this game, which will result in tighter coverage and fewer targets, since Tua will likely look elsewhere instead of forcing it to him. Obviously, fewer targets mean fewer receptions and yards.
If those targets are going elsewhere, Gesicki is a strong candidate to see more. He is an extremely athletic tight end, creating a strong mismatch against most individual coverage.
Gesicki has also totaled over 40.5 receiving yards in 11 of his last 13 games. It shouldn’t take too many receptions for him to go over this relatively low line.