NFL betting picks: 5 best player props for Week 4
Zach Brunner picks out five NFL player prop betting picks for Sunday's Week 4 games.
Visit Betway’s NFL picks page for picks and predictions throughout the season.
Jalen Hurts rushing yards: Over 50.5 -115
In a game where the Philadelphia Eagles are expected to be trailing, betting the over on Hurts’ rushing yards is a good bet. He has started and played over 75 per cent of the snaps just six times in his NFL career. In those six games, he has averaged 69.5 rushing yards, going over the 60-yard mark five times.
The Eagles losing their starting right guard two weeks in a row can also be a positive thing. If Hurts sees pressure up the middle, it could force him out of the pocket, where he is more likely to tuck the ball and run.
For those reasons, it’s worth betting the over for Hurts against a team that surrendered over 100 rushing yards to Lamar Jackson a couple weeks ago.
Saquon Barkley rushing yards: Under 55.5 -115
Barkley has not looked good this season. Not only is he unable to break tackles, but he is also unable to avoid them. With his offensive line being one of the worst in the NFL, that’s not good news in this matchup against a strong Saints defense.
The Saints allow only 2.8 yards per carry, which ranks second in the league. Barkley went over this rushing total just once this season and I don’t think he does it again here.
Allen Robinson receptions: Over 4.5 +115
Robinson has been almost non-existent this season, though that lack of success largely can be blamed on the quarterback situation in Chicago.
However, he shouldn’t struggle again this week, as the Bears face a terrible Lions defense. The Detroit pass rush won’t embarrass the Chicago offensive line. The Lions may also have the worst secondary in the NFL, especially after the loss to Jeff Okudah to injury.
Robinson is from Detroit and has enjoyed beating them over the years. He has totaled five or more receptions and 74+ yards in each of the past four games against Detroit.
Sony Michel anytime touchdown: -120
This week, the Los Angeles Chargers face the Arizona Cardinals, who are allowing 5.4 yards per carry (second-worst in the NFL). The Rams’ offense has been among the best in the league, so they should have no problem moving the ball and running with efficiency.
Darrell Henderson is welcomed back to the lineup this week, but he still has injured ribs and weighs only 208 pounds. It doesn’t make sense for the Rams to give him the goal line carries, where he is guaranteed to take a lot of contact. Instead, look for Michel to come off the sideline to run the touchdown in.
Zack Moss anytime touchdown +125
Despite missing the first week of the season, Moss leads the Buffalo Bills in rushing attempts inside the 10-yard line (7). He has taken almost 44 per cent of their total rushes inside the 10 so it appears he is the Bills’ guy when they get in close. He has also received a pass inside the 10-yard line, which he turned into a touchdown.
Facing a bad Texans team, the Bills should drive down the field quite a bit. When they look to finish their drives in the end zone, it will likely be Moss’ name that is called.