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INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -8.5 at Houston Texans (-110)

The Colts are coming off a tough loss against the Buccaneers, and they have a tough schedule ahead. In order to keep their playoff hopes alive, they need this win. It’s shaping up to be a statement victory.

This is a large spread, but teams often suffer a backdoor cover when they struggle to run the ball and play disciplined defense. These are areas where the Colts thrive. Look for quarterback Carson Wentz to play well early and for running back Jonathan Taylor to finish the job. 

Minnesota Vikings at DETROIT LIONS +7 (-110)

Both these teams will be missing their starting running backs, with Dalvin Cook and D’Andre Swift both injured. While this doesn’t necessarily mean the Lions will earn their first win of the season, they should continue to play competitive football at home.

Detroit has also had extra time to prepare after playing on Thanksgiving. The Vikings have a habit of playing games close, with 10 of their 11 being decided by seven points or fewer. The Lions’ last three games have also been decided by three or fewer points. 

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS -11 at Atlanta Falcons (-110)

The Falcons are about to be victims of a get-right game by Tampa. Despite getting the win last week, the Buccaneers continue to trip themselves up. Facing the Falcons, they should be able to work all of the kinks out.

Defensively, Tampa is strong against the run and is capable of generating a lot of pressure. We saw how much trouble Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan had against the Patriots, when he was pulled at the end of the game to protect his health. This Falcons offensive line is bad, and the Bucs are about to feast. 

Jacksonville Jaguars at LOS ANGELES RAMS -12.5 (-105)

Speaking of get-right games, the Rams need one in the worst way, and the football gods have given them the Jaguars as a sacrificial lamb. Jacksonville is bad, and continues to lose receiving weapons on its already lackluster offense.

The Rams’ offensive line should be able to get the job done in this game. The LA defense is also dangerous with a lead, as their pass rushers can pin their ears back and get to the quarterback. While this won’t answer all of the questions about this team, it will be a confidence-building win. 

San Francisco 49ers at SEATTLE SEAHAWKS +3.5 (-120)

The 49ers have been playing much better lately, but they have again suffered key injuries. Deebo Samuel has been one of the best wide receivers in the NFL, while Fred Warner continues to be one of the league’s best inside linebackers, but both will be out on Sunday.

The Seahawks are bad and Russell Wilson is making many mental mistakes. However, the loss of Warner on this Niners defense cannot be understated. This should be a close game, so I like getting the home team with points. It feels like a game that will be decided with a kick, and getting the spread at 3.5 protects us from that.