NFL betting: 5 picks against the spread for Week 12
Zach Brunner makes his NFL betting picks for Week 12 of the 2021 season, with five picks against the spread.
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TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-3) at Indianapolis Colts -115
The Colts have had success over the past few weeks thanks to Jonathan Taylor running wild. The offensive line is healthy and Frank Reich is finally committing to giving Taylor the ball through all four quarters.
However, if this running game is not working, the pressure will again be on quarterback Carson Wentz and the passing game, which is where things go south for the Colts. The Tampa run defense is very good, giving up only 3.8 yards per carry, which is the second-best in the NFL, so this game could get ugly.
CAROLINA PANTHERS (-2) at Miami Dolphins -110
The best unit in this game is the Panthers’ defense, while the worst is the Dolphins’ offense. Expect Miami to be very vanilla, then make costly mistakes.
Meanwhile, the Panthers offense is good enough to move the ball and put up points. It’s as simple as that. Look for Cam Newton to be a game manager, protect the football and not lose the game.
LOS ANGELES RAMS (-1) at Green Bay Packers -110
The Rams are coming off their bye to face an injury-riddled Packers squad. The Green Bay offensive line has some serious issues, being down both David Bakhtiari and now Elgton Jenkins.
Defensively, the Packers also struggle against teams that can run the ball, and Sean McVay likes to set his offense up through the run. Quarterback Matthew Stafford is more than capable of going into Lambeau Field and getting a win, and that is exactly what he will do.
Cleveland Browns at BALTIMORE RAVENS (-4) -105
After missing last week to an illness, quarterback Lamar Jackson will be back for the Ravens. Meanwhile, Baker Mayfield should not be playing through injury for the Browns. If he continues to go out there to show how tough he is, it will be to the detriment of his team.
Should Mayfield be smart and sit, it will be Case Keenum starting at quarterback, and he will be blitzed early and often. Look for the Ravens to look good at home, getting an important divisional win.
SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (+1.5) at Washington Football Team -115
The Seahawks are bad right now, and they must win out to have a chance at the playoffs. They are due for a win, and it bodes well for them that they will be playing in prime time. Russell Wilson is 10-2 on Monday Night Football and 29-9-1 overall in night games. Look for him to be capable of exposing this inconsistent Washington defense that has lost its best player.
On the other side, the Seattle defense is playing better, and should be able to capitalize on some of the mistakes Washington quarterback Taylor Heinicke makes as he will give them opportunities.